FINintheMOON
Practice Squad
Scenarios for FINS to get to Playoffs(Update 12/11)
OK… So I am sure that many of you will say this is a waste of time or that I am a homer or that I am dreaming or some other pessimistic comment, but I know that there are also many out here that would like to know exactly what it would take to make the playoffs as of now. We are not mathematically eliminated as of yet! I mean if the BROWNS could beat the CHIEFS and the TITANS can beat the COLTS and the PASTIES nearly lost to the LIONS, anything is possible!!!:D
Please look at this post for what it is… It outlines scenarios that would work in our favor to make the playoffs… As highly unlikely that may be in many minds, it has possibilities…
BTW, I am one that feels that if we make the playoffs, we will make it to at least the AFC Championship game!:dolphins:
Let’s start with the 2 teams that currently have us nailed to the wall. One of these 2 teams MUST lose at least 3 out of their last 4 game in order for us to gain one of the wild cards… That is if the other scenarios work out as well…
BENGALS (7-5) AFC (5-3)
Of the teams ahead of the FINS, they hold tiebreakers over the CHIEFS and STEELERS. They also have the second best conference record (5-3), second to the BRONCOS who has (7-3). The good news here is that their last 4 games are against AFC teams. These teams are in order of play as follows:
RAIDERS
COLTS
BRONCOS
STEELERS
I can see them losing to 2 of these teams but 3 would be a stretch.
JAGS (7-5) AFC (4-4)
Of the teams ahead of the FINS, they hold tiebreakers over the STEELERS, JETS and FINS. Again there is good news. All 4 of their last games are against AFC teams… The reason that they would have to lose 3 is due to the tiebreaker over us. They would have to be an 8-8 team for us to make it pas them for a playoff spot. The teams left on their schedule are in order of play as follows:
COLTS
TITANS
PATS
CHIEFS
This is the more promising scenario for us as all 4 of these teams could beat the JAGS without any stretch of the imagination… Of the 4 teams left, 2 have better records, 1 is tied but could easily handle the JAGS and the TITANS are really beginning to show some stuff of late.
Now, let’s say that either the BENGALS and/or the JAGS lose 3 of their last 4. Of the 5 teams left ahead of us, all have a losing record in the AFC with the exception of the BRONCOS. The good thing though is that the CHIEFS hold the tiebreaker over the BRONCOS. If the CHIEFS and BRONCOS and finish 9-7 and we win out, we hold the tiebreaker over the CHIEFS and it doesn’t matter what the BRONCOS AFC record is due to this fact.
Since we are talking about the CHIEFS and BRONCOS, Let’s look at them next. (NOTE: However, keep in mind that the JETS are currently ahead of both of these teams in the playoff picture, as well as the JAGS due to tiebreakers and strength of schedules.)
CHIEFS (7-5) AFC (3-5)
Again, we are blessed with the fact that yet another team ahead of us in the AFC has a final schedule against all AFC teams… The CHIEFS hold tiebreakers over the BRONCOS, STEELERS and JAGS(currently). They need to lose only 2 of their next 4 games. The teams left on their schedule are in order of play as follows:
RAVENS
CHARGERS
RAIDERS
JAGS
Now it is very easy to see that there are 2 teams that could easily put the CHIEFS away for us… The RAVENS and CHARGERS would be very good candidates to do so and it would also allow the CHIEFS to knock of the JAGS in week 17. This is what we want guys and gals!
BRONCOS (7-5) AFC (7-3)
Here is where it gets a bit intriguing… Of the teams ahead of us in the playoff picture, BRONCOS has a tiebreaker only over the STEELERS. They do need to lose 2 games though and the teams left on their schedule are in order of play as follows:
CHARGERS
CARDINALS
BENGALS
49ERS
The thing that really sucks about this is that in our first scenario the BENGALS have to lose this game or they have to lose to the RAIDERS if they win this game. Of the 3 games left, I can see the CHARGERS beating them but we would also have to hope that the CARDINALS or the 49ERS beat them as well. Now if the BENGALS do go 2-2, which is likely, we must have the JAGS lose 3 of their last 4. Bottom line is that we hope for a couple of upsets…
Now for the final 3 teams... What we have left is the JETS, STEELERS and BILLS. Let’s take a look at them.
JETS (7-5) AFC (3-5) DIV(3-1)
The JETS currently hold the 6th seed in the playoffs as of today. They hold a tiebreaker over the BILLS. I am scratching my head over this because the JETS lost to the JAGS in week 5(41-0) and they have a worse AFC record than the JAGS as well. I am still looking into this and will let you know my findings when I find them…:tantrum:
Anyway, the teams left on their schedule are in order of play as follows:
BILLS
VIKINGS
FINS
RAIDERS
Now for us to get by the JETS, we need 1 of 2 scenarios to happen… 1) They lose to the BILLS and us. If they do not lose to the BILLS, 2)Then they would have to lose their last 3 games. The only way we get to the playoffs without these 2 scenarios is the BENGALS and JAGS both have to lose 3 of their last 4.
STEELERS (6-7) AFC (4-6)
The STEELERS have 3 games left. They have tiebreakers over the FINS and the CHIEFS. The teams left on their schedule are in order of play as follows:
PANTHERS
RAVENS
BENGALS
Now the game that we want them to win is the BENGALS game. Of the remaining 2 games, they need to lose 1.
BILLS (5-7) AFC (3-5)
Last, but not least as we have to play in Buffalo in the middle of December. With a win against the BILLS, they are no longer a concern…:goof:
Well, there you have it. A path as plain as day to the playoffs. But that path is completely dependant on others stepping up and out of our way. To summarize, I submit the following wins and losses that need to happen for us to make the playoffs at 9-7. The teams are listed as they are currently ranked for the wildcard race.
BENGALS:
Need to lose to 3 of the following teams:
RAIDERS
COLTS
BRONCOS
STEELERS
We want them to lose to the RAIDERS, COLTS and STEELERS for the best case scenario. If they don’t lose to the RAIDERS, then they need to lose to the BRONCOS and the BRONCOS need to lose another.(See BRONCOS below)
JETS:
Need to lose in one of the 2 following scenarios:
BILLS and FINS
OR
VIKINGS, FINS and RAIDERS
Now if the JETS don’t lose in either of these scenarios, we could still make it with the BENGALS AND JAGS losing 3 of their last 4.
JAGS:
Need to lose 3 of their last 4:
COLTS
TITANS
PATS
CHIEFS
Preferably to the first 3 but any of the 4 will work.
CHIEFS:
Need to lose 2 of their last 4:
RAVENS
CHARGERS
RAIDERS
JAGS
Perfect scenario would be to lose the first 2 and win the last 2.
BRONCOS:
Need to lose 2 of their last 4:
CHARGERS
CARDINALS
BENGALS
49ERS
The best case would be losing to the CHARGERS and CARDINALS or 49ERS. However, a loss to the BENGALS would work as well as long as the BENGALS lose to another team.(See BENGALS above)
STEELERS:
Need to lose 1 of their last 3.
PANTHERS
RAVENS
BENGALS
Preferably the RAVENS.
BILLS:
Need to lose 1 of their last 4 and for us to have a chance, it needs to be a loss against us.
Now for the bad news;
1. If the BENGALS and JAGS only lose 2 games, we are done.
2. If the BENGALS only lose 2 games and the JETS do not lose to the BILLS and go 2-2, we are done.
3. If the JAGS only lose 2 games and the JETS do not lose to the BILLS and go 2-2, we are done.
Hope this is clear as MUD!!! There maybe 1 or 2 different scenarios that may work to our favor based on strength of schedule or other scenarios, but there is no doubt that it could not be more than 1 or 2.
I STILL BELIEVE THOUGH!!!:dolphins: :wink:
OK… So I am sure that many of you will say this is a waste of time or that I am a homer or that I am dreaming or some other pessimistic comment, but I know that there are also many out here that would like to know exactly what it would take to make the playoffs as of now. We are not mathematically eliminated as of yet! I mean if the BROWNS could beat the CHIEFS and the TITANS can beat the COLTS and the PASTIES nearly lost to the LIONS, anything is possible!!!:D
Please look at this post for what it is… It outlines scenarios that would work in our favor to make the playoffs… As highly unlikely that may be in many minds, it has possibilities…
BTW, I am one that feels that if we make the playoffs, we will make it to at least the AFC Championship game!:dolphins:
Let’s start with the 2 teams that currently have us nailed to the wall. One of these 2 teams MUST lose at least 3 out of their last 4 game in order for us to gain one of the wild cards… That is if the other scenarios work out as well…
BENGALS (7-5) AFC (5-3)
Of the teams ahead of the FINS, they hold tiebreakers over the CHIEFS and STEELERS. They also have the second best conference record (5-3), second to the BRONCOS who has (7-3). The good news here is that their last 4 games are against AFC teams. These teams are in order of play as follows:
RAIDERS
COLTS
BRONCOS
STEELERS
I can see them losing to 2 of these teams but 3 would be a stretch.
JAGS (7-5) AFC (4-4)
Of the teams ahead of the FINS, they hold tiebreakers over the STEELERS, JETS and FINS. Again there is good news. All 4 of their last games are against AFC teams… The reason that they would have to lose 3 is due to the tiebreaker over us. They would have to be an 8-8 team for us to make it pas them for a playoff spot. The teams left on their schedule are in order of play as follows:
COLTS
TITANS
PATS
CHIEFS
This is the more promising scenario for us as all 4 of these teams could beat the JAGS without any stretch of the imagination… Of the 4 teams left, 2 have better records, 1 is tied but could easily handle the JAGS and the TITANS are really beginning to show some stuff of late.
Now, let’s say that either the BENGALS and/or the JAGS lose 3 of their last 4. Of the 5 teams left ahead of us, all have a losing record in the AFC with the exception of the BRONCOS. The good thing though is that the CHIEFS hold the tiebreaker over the BRONCOS. If the CHIEFS and BRONCOS and finish 9-7 and we win out, we hold the tiebreaker over the CHIEFS and it doesn’t matter what the BRONCOS AFC record is due to this fact.
Since we are talking about the CHIEFS and BRONCOS, Let’s look at them next. (NOTE: However, keep in mind that the JETS are currently ahead of both of these teams in the playoff picture, as well as the JAGS due to tiebreakers and strength of schedules.)
CHIEFS (7-5) AFC (3-5)
Again, we are blessed with the fact that yet another team ahead of us in the AFC has a final schedule against all AFC teams… The CHIEFS hold tiebreakers over the BRONCOS, STEELERS and JAGS(currently). They need to lose only 2 of their next 4 games. The teams left on their schedule are in order of play as follows:
RAVENS
CHARGERS
RAIDERS
JAGS
Now it is very easy to see that there are 2 teams that could easily put the CHIEFS away for us… The RAVENS and CHARGERS would be very good candidates to do so and it would also allow the CHIEFS to knock of the JAGS in week 17. This is what we want guys and gals!
BRONCOS (7-5) AFC (7-3)
Here is where it gets a bit intriguing… Of the teams ahead of us in the playoff picture, BRONCOS has a tiebreaker only over the STEELERS. They do need to lose 2 games though and the teams left on their schedule are in order of play as follows:
CHARGERS
CARDINALS
BENGALS
49ERS
The thing that really sucks about this is that in our first scenario the BENGALS have to lose this game or they have to lose to the RAIDERS if they win this game. Of the 3 games left, I can see the CHARGERS beating them but we would also have to hope that the CARDINALS or the 49ERS beat them as well. Now if the BENGALS do go 2-2, which is likely, we must have the JAGS lose 3 of their last 4. Bottom line is that we hope for a couple of upsets…
Now for the final 3 teams... What we have left is the JETS, STEELERS and BILLS. Let’s take a look at them.
JETS (7-5) AFC (3-5) DIV(3-1)
The JETS currently hold the 6th seed in the playoffs as of today. They hold a tiebreaker over the BILLS. I am scratching my head over this because the JETS lost to the JAGS in week 5(41-0) and they have a worse AFC record than the JAGS as well. I am still looking into this and will let you know my findings when I find them…:tantrum:
Anyway, the teams left on their schedule are in order of play as follows:
BILLS
VIKINGS
FINS
RAIDERS
Now for us to get by the JETS, we need 1 of 2 scenarios to happen… 1) They lose to the BILLS and us. If they do not lose to the BILLS, 2)Then they would have to lose their last 3 games. The only way we get to the playoffs without these 2 scenarios is the BENGALS and JAGS both have to lose 3 of their last 4.
STEELERS (6-7) AFC (4-6)
The STEELERS have 3 games left. They have tiebreakers over the FINS and the CHIEFS. The teams left on their schedule are in order of play as follows:
PANTHERS
RAVENS
BENGALS
Now the game that we want them to win is the BENGALS game. Of the remaining 2 games, they need to lose 1.
BILLS (5-7) AFC (3-5)
Last, but not least as we have to play in Buffalo in the middle of December. With a win against the BILLS, they are no longer a concern…:goof:
Well, there you have it. A path as plain as day to the playoffs. But that path is completely dependant on others stepping up and out of our way. To summarize, I submit the following wins and losses that need to happen for us to make the playoffs at 9-7. The teams are listed as they are currently ranked for the wildcard race.
BENGALS:
Need to lose to 3 of the following teams:
RAIDERS
COLTS
BRONCOS
STEELERS
We want them to lose to the RAIDERS, COLTS and STEELERS for the best case scenario. If they don’t lose to the RAIDERS, then they need to lose to the BRONCOS and the BRONCOS need to lose another.(See BRONCOS below)
JETS:
Need to lose in one of the 2 following scenarios:
BILLS and FINS
OR
VIKINGS, FINS and RAIDERS
Now if the JETS don’t lose in either of these scenarios, we could still make it with the BENGALS AND JAGS losing 3 of their last 4.
JAGS:
Need to lose 3 of their last 4:
COLTS
TITANS
PATS
CHIEFS
Preferably to the first 3 but any of the 4 will work.
CHIEFS:
Need to lose 2 of their last 4:
RAVENS
CHARGERS
RAIDERS
JAGS
Perfect scenario would be to lose the first 2 and win the last 2.
BRONCOS:
Need to lose 2 of their last 4:
CHARGERS
CARDINALS
BENGALS
49ERS
The best case would be losing to the CHARGERS and CARDINALS or 49ERS. However, a loss to the BENGALS would work as well as long as the BENGALS lose to another team.(See BENGALS above)
STEELERS:
Need to lose 1 of their last 3.
PANTHERS
RAVENS
BENGALS
Preferably the RAVENS.
BILLS:
Need to lose 1 of their last 4 and for us to have a chance, it needs to be a loss against us.
Now for the bad news;
1. If the BENGALS and JAGS only lose 2 games, we are done.
2. If the BENGALS only lose 2 games and the JETS do not lose to the BILLS and go 2-2, we are done.
3. If the JAGS only lose 2 games and the JETS do not lose to the BILLS and go 2-2, we are done.
Hope this is clear as MUD!!! There maybe 1 or 2 different scenarios that may work to our favor based on strength of schedule or other scenarios, but there is no doubt that it could not be more than 1 or 2.
I STILL BELIEVE THOUGH!!!:dolphins: :wink:
Jim Mora's voice is running through my head for some reason
