Season's Outlook: A Write-Up by MiaLuv | FinHeaven - Miami Dolphins Forums

Season's Outlook: A Write-Up by MiaLuv

mialuv13

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Okay, I'm going to start off by saying that I usually don't create threads, but this time around (and after 10 years of being on this site as a lurker/occasional poster and 2 usernames later (forgot passwords)) I felt that instead of spamming the 10th page of one of Hayden's or WV's outlook threads with a 5 page essay on the team, I'll just do a service and write my own write-up for anyone who is interested.

I won't do position by position because that doesn't allow for much of the symbiosis needed between the phases of the game, and because the positional analysis has already been rehashed by everyone on this site. I'll just stick to Defense and Offense highlighting some key stats that usually translate to a team's success and some observations. As always, I will try to cite my stats so that there is an open conversation for the usual bashings and lashings that come out of being an OP who posts stats. Here goes.

Elite. The Dolphins won't be elite overall, but they'll be good enough to win some more games.

To save a lot of you the trouble here's the TL;DR version. Defense: Create pressure, create turnovers, score points = more wins (No ****, OP). Offense: Balanced Attack, smart and efficient Tannehill takes the team to the next level, score points off turnovers = more wins (/s/ Brilliant insight, Watson! /s/). Overall: We should win at least one more game this season.

Defense
The one thing the Dolphins fail to do every year is capitalizing on other team's errors. In the last two seasons under Coyle the Dolphins have ranked 28th and 19th in turnovers (2012: http://espn.go.com/nfl/statistics/team/_/stat/givetake/year/2012 and 2013: http://espn.go.com/nfl/statistics/team/_/stat/givetake/year/2013). Last year the Dolphins ranked 24th on points off turnovers with 58 points (http://www.sportingcharts.com/nfl/stats/team-net-turnover-points-statistics/2013/). That's not good enough. Even with a trend upwards, creating 8 more turnovers from '12 to '13, the Dolphins only scored 3 more points off those turnovers. I need to see that change this season. We need more points from turnovers. I'll loop back to this in the Offense section since it is primarily an offensive deficiency. The main point here is that the Defense has to create more turnovers.

What this defense is elite at is their ability to create sacks. The Dolphins are one of 4 teams to be able to create 40+ sacks in each of the last 3 seasons. That pressure needs to translate into turnovers, and those turnovers need to turn into points on the offensive end.

Where this team is not solid at all at is their defensive physicality. They do not strike fear into team's position players. They are not a respected rush defense right now, and most players aren't scared to go up against this defense. Their tackling is ugly. Aside from a few players, the defense is notorious for their ****ty arm tackles. They don't body up or blow up receivers like the elite teams do. Teams fall forward against this defense. This defense doesn't create enough turnovers to neglect being a physical defense. If the team is going to continue the lack of physical tackling then they MUST create turnovers to counter-balance that deficiency.
Being 8th in scoring defense is nice and all, but we can't be certain that that will continue this season. A team can only bend so much; to be obnoxious and reiterate this again, THEY NEED TO CREATE TURNOVERS.

The Dolphins ranked 17th in 3rd down conversion defense (http://espn.go.com/nfl/statistics/team/_/stat/downs/sort/thirdDownConvPct/position/defense). Not horrid, but only 3 teams who ranked lower made the playoffs: New England, Philadelphia, and San Diego; all 3 are top 10 offenses and San Diego backed in because of our last 2 games.

Yet, even with these numbers, it's all in the past. With a fully healthy Wake this season, there is a high probability other players will get their chance to step up and take advantage of the scheming opposing OC's will have to do around Wake's dominance and the havoc he creates. Our Defense is trending upwards just by having a healthy Wake. Yes, he is that big of a factor. It will come down to physicality and turnovers from the rest of our guys. Or at least more turnovers to balance out the lack of physicality outside the d-line. I'm mum on our run defense. Our gap integrity is bleh and our tackling is yeesh. I'll stick to my healthy Wake factor on this whole defensive outlook.

Listen, one thing that I've heard a thousand times is that the defense carried the offense. Yes, it is pretty damn true, but at least one phase of the game on this team has to be Top 10 OVERALL for the Dolphins to hit the next level; and the defense is a hell of a lot closer than the offense is right now. We can't just expect to sport the same stat rankings in our scoring defense we had last year; there MUST be improvement in the turnover department. The defense must have an identity this year that is better than bend but don't break. Are they going to be sheepish or bullish in the turnover game?

TL;DR: Create pressure, capitalize on pressure by creating turnovers, score points off turnovers. Bingo Bango, we get more wins.

Offense
Dolphins play a finesse game. They don't have a physical o-line and they probably only have one known physical offensive player in Moreno (hopefully Landry gets added to this short-list). Teams are not scared of this offense and won't be scared until points are scored. When a finesse team doesn't score points they get wrecked. Where we have a chance to be near elite in the league is with our receiving corps. So. Many. Options. Defenses can't cover all the weapons all the time. If Tannehill can just be a smidgen more solid, then there is no reason they won't be a feared group. Of course, we all want Tannehill to be much more than a smidgen better, but even providing the team with a little more, the opportunities should be present. He just has to learn to take advantage of those opportunities.

O-line play will determine a lot of what this team will do this year. Everyone can agree on that. The o-line will make or break the team, Tannehill's career as a starter in the league, Philbin, and a lot of people within the organization. If the o-line doesn't jell, then no one will have a shot to do anything. Period. Without an adequate line, Tannehill can only show so much and he will be stuck in the "what if the o-line was better" loop.

Balance. Balance. Balance. If you didn't get it the first three times, this team needs balance on offense! Tannehill won't thrive without it. He doesn't need to be elite in this offensive scheme. He needs to manage the game at a high level and make the smart read and occasionally put the team on his back for a game-winning or game-changing drive. If he plays/the o-line lets him play smartly within the scheme, his stats will naturally progress into the top portion of the league. It's all part of the design in this offense. Natural progressions because of the looks that are created through balance of the scheme.

Preferably, Tannehill chooses to be a part of the scheme at the end of halves and the 1st and 4th quarter of games. Our offense was pretty crappy in the 4th quarter last year. Well, pretty crappy is giving the team credit, they were down right bad. They ranked 28th with 4.2 points per game in the 4th quarter (http://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/4th-quarter-points-per-game). Even more woeful was our 1st quarter points per game. They were dead-last in scoring in the 1st quarter of the game with 2.7 points per game (http://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/1st-quarter-points-per-game). They were also 23rd on 3rd down conversions (http://espn.go.com/nfl/statistics/team/_/stat/downs/sort/thirdDownConvPct). Key down to only be converting on 35% of plays.

Yes, we are all very aware of the Dolphins offense last year. It's a gruesome fact we had to endure over the offseason. With a more balanced game, the points should come. If Moreno can be that physical presence in the run game and the o-line creates enough space/time for this offense then we should see more points. If Tannehill can make smart reads and just play efficiently, his numbers will naturally increase. This offense is geared towards Tannehill's strengths. The most important intangible will be a balanced attack.

Looking at a team like Seattle, they are such a physical presence on the offensive line and they have two bruisers at RB making it so that Wilson can just sit back and enjoy some open and quick looks when the balance is there and he can let his team do their thing. Granted, Wilson is showing elite level game management and pinpoint accuracy on a lot of throws. But, my point is, the offense in Seattle is geared towards Wilson's success because of the perfect balance of run and pass. Teams aren't sure of what to expect because they have to respect both the run and the pass. They give Wilson read options, jet sweeps, and designed rollouts so that he can do what he is best at. I don't need to mention the piece of mind that Seattle's defense gives that offense. The Seattle offense is simple. They don't have many looks, but the looks they have are brutal because of the balance the system and the o-line create for both the rushing attack and for Wilson in the pocket or in the read-option.

Lazor's offense is geared toward Tannehill doing what he is best at. Being athletic. He is also beating into Tannehill's head to make quicker reads and make quicker decisions. Lazor's offense is geared towards putting their best players in the best positions possible for their skill set. At least we hope this is true since we (hopefully) only saw a shell of our offense in preseason. As long as he exploits defenses' weaknesses with our strengths, then we should be in for a fun time. But if that o-line can't create space/time then say goodbye to 2014 and our hopes of being a contender. Unfortunately, our starting offense this preseason left a sour taste in my mouth that I'm hoping they can undo.

**On a side note and totally unnecessary rant: WV, wtf man. You set up a whole section of your Get Real thread for Moore? For our perennial, $4M a year back up QB? Yea, he's a great pro to have on a team and can step in when needed. But c'mon man. I'm not sure if you wrote that up to troll us or to use that as a "told you so" thing if Tannehill goes down or fails miserably. Your #1 pick in his 3rd year as a starter stays in until he either completely botches the season or gets injured. If none of that happens, Moore stays on the bench. Moore is awesome, man, I agree with you, love the guy's guts, but the cards have been dealt and Moore is still riding that bench hard and happily being paid $4M a season. Sadly, he's never gotten a fair shake, and probably won't ever get a fair shake, but it's just how it goes. Lazor's offense seems to be predicated on an athletic QB, which we have in Tannehill.

Sorry, back to the write up, that just took me for a loop. A lot of people dished out some "No Thanks" on your thread, but I agreed with pretty much everything you said except the Moore thing.

Lastly, the Dolphins need to freaking score points off turnovers. For a reminder, we were 24th overall in points off turnovers. Here's the top 10 teams that scored off of turnovers last season (http://www.sportingcharts.com/nfl/stats/team-net-turnover-points-statistics/2013/):

1. KC
2. SF
3. SEA
4. NE
5. DEN
6. CHI
7. PHI
8. CAR
9. DAL
10. CIN

8 of those 10 teams made the playoffs which accounts for 2/3 of the teams in the playoffs. Of these 10 teams 6 of them won their divisions. 3 of the top 5 teams won their respective divisions and the two teams that didn't were 11-5 and 12-4. Of the top 5 teams in this category their records were 11-5, 12-4, 13-3, 12-4, and 13-3 for a combined record of 61-19. Points off turnovers is crucial to be a top team in the league. There is usually a high correlation between points off turnovers and winning. Obviously, there is a naturally occurring correlation between scoring lots of points in general and points off turnovers.

TL;DR: Balance=Points. Points=Wins. Get ball from defense, score points, win games. Easy Peasy....

Overall
This teams has a pretty easy projected strength of schedule, but we can probably all attest to s.o.s being a bunch of bull**** by the end of the season. We face the NFC North and the AFC West plus the Ravens and Jags. Both strong conferences. We match up very well with the AFC West teams except for Denver. We also match-up well with the NFC North teams except GB if Rodgers/Lacy gets going and the Lions if Megtron gets going. We have had horrible luck going up against the Ravens and we always seem to lose close games to them in the most ridiculous and irritating ways. The Jags are the Jags and will probably be letting Bortles get some playing time once Henne pulls a Henne on their season and drops them to 2-6 at this point. I just hope we don't pull a Dolphins on the Jags and get blown out like against a no-win but good defensive Tampa Bay team last year.

If we are balanced on offense there is no doubt in my mind that we will score more points. SO, if the defense can create more turnovers then, ipso facto! We will score more points off turnovers because our offense should be more balanced. I really do wish it was that easy. It's always easy to stat crunch to come up with what you want to prove :rolleyes2: (and I just rendered my whole post useless with that comment).

Here's my win loss for the year game-by-game: (Even=+1/-1 in W/L column) (NOTE: This is the first time I've gone through the schedule and made my predictions, so at this point I don't even know what record I think they will have):

1. Patriots (home)- Even. (Miami is 5-1-1 ATS last 7 games as home dogs . . . Woot Woot)
2. Bills (away)- Win. (Revenge, mother ****ers)
3. Chiefs (home)- Win.
4. Raiders (away)- Win.
5. Bye- (4-1 at bye would be sweet and completely doable)
6. Packers (home)- Even. (My ****ty deductive reasoning is that Tannehill is 1-1 after bye weeks so . . . yea . . . 50/50 or what-not)
7. Bears (away)- Loss.
8. Jaguars (away)- Win.
9. Chargers (home)- Win.
10. Lions (away)- Even. (I would be willing to put down a small bet on the spread for this game being Lions +1.5 after weighing in the home field).
11. Bills (home) (ThNF)- Loss. (This team just loves being embarrassed when the spotlight is on them)
12. Broncos (away)- Loss.
13. Jets (away) (MNF)- Even. (Some of the most epic match-ups in NFL history have been between the Dolphins and Jets on MNF)
14. Ravens (home)- Loss.
15. Patriots (away)- Loss.
16. Vikings (home)- Win.
17. Jets (home)- Win.

Turns out my overall record for the Dolphins is:

Best: 11-5 Worst: 7-9 Median: 9-7

The Dolphins were a few bounces of the football away from being a playoff team (stupid ass swatting the ball call against the Pats). Time to take the next step and get into the playoffs and at least get into the divisional round.

For any one who stuck through this long ass post, let's get this Miami Dolphins Season Going!! Looking forward to the Official Game Day Thread convos with you all.

:brewskis::brewskis:
-- Cheers --
 
8.5-9 is what I keep coming up with as the median. Just like in 2011 week one is probably our season.

And if the offense is better the turnover stat should be better for obvious reasons. And if the turnover stats are better the offense should be better. :tongue:
 
Okay, I'm going to start off by saying that I usually don't create threads, but this time around (and after 10 years of being on this site as a lurker/occasional poster and 2 usernames later (forgot passwords)) I felt that instead of spamming the 10th page of one of Hayden's or WV's outlook threads with a 5 page essay on the team, I'll just do a service and write my own write-up for anyone who is interested.

I won't do position by position because that doesn't allow for much of the symbiosis needed between the phases of the game, and because the positional analysis has already been rehashed by everyone on this site. I'll just stick to Defense and Offense highlighting some key stats that usually translate to a team's success and some observations. As always, I will try to cite my stats so that there is an open conversation for the usual bashings and lashings that come out of being an OP who posts stats. Here goes.

Elite. The Dolphins won't be elite overall, but they'll be good enough to win some more games.

To save a lot of you the trouble here's the TL;DR version. Defense: Create pressure, create turnovers, score points = more wins (No ****, OP). Offense: Balanced Attack, smart and efficient Tannehill takes the team to the next level, score points off turnovers = more wins (/s/ Brilliant insight, Watson! /s/). Overall: We should win at least one more game this season.

Defense
The one thing the Dolphins fail to do every year is capitalizing on other team's errors. In the last two seasons under Coyle the Dolphins have ranked 28th and 19th in turnovers (2012: http://espn.go.com/nfl/statistics/team/_/stat/givetake/year/2012 and 2013: http://espn.go.com/nfl/statistics/team/_/stat/givetake/year/2013). Last year the Dolphins ranked 24th on points off turnovers with 58 points (http://www.sportingcharts.com/nfl/stats/team-net-turnover-points-statistics/2013/). That's not good enough. Even with a trend upwards, creating 8 more turnovers from '12 to '13, the Dolphins only scored 3 more points off those turnovers. I need to see that change this season. We need more points from turnovers. I'll loop back to this in the Offense section since it is primarily an offensive deficiency. The main point here is that the Defense has to create more turnovers.

What this defense is elite at is their ability to create sacks. The Dolphins are one of 4 teams to be able to create 40+ sacks in each of the last 3 seasons. That pressure needs to translate into turnovers, and those turnovers need to turn into points on the offensive end.

Where this team is not solid at all at is their defensive physicality. They do not strike fear into team's position players. They are not a respected rush defense right now, and most players aren't scared to go up against this defense. Their tackling is ugly. Aside from a few players, the defense is notorious for their ****ty arm tackles. They don't body up or blow up receivers like the elite teams do. Teams fall forward against this defense. This defense doesn't create enough turnovers to neglect being a physical defense. If the team is going to continue the lack of physical tackling then they MUST create turnovers to counter-balance that deficiency.
Being 8th in scoring defense is nice and all, but we can't be certain that that will continue this season. A team can only bend so much; to be obnoxious and reiterate this again, THEY NEED TO CREATE TURNOVERS.

The Dolphins ranked 17th in 3rd down conversion defense (http://espn.go.com/nfl/statistics/team/_/stat/downs/sort/thirdDownConvPct/position/defense). Not horrid, but only 3 teams who ranked lower made the playoffs: New England, Philadelphia, and San Diego; all 3 are top 10 offenses and San Diego backed in because of our last 2 games.

Yet, even with these numbers, it's all in the past. With a fully healthy Wake this season, there is a high probability other players will get their chance to step up and take advantage of the scheming opposing OC's will have to do around Wake's dominance and the havoc he creates. Our Defense is trending upwards just by having a healthy Wake. Yes, he is that big of a factor. It will come down to physicality and turnovers from the rest of our guys. Or at least more turnovers to balance out the lack of physicality outside the d-line. I'm mum on our run defense. Our gap integrity is bleh and our tackling is yeesh. I'll stick to my healthy Wake factor on this whole defensive outlook.

Listen, one thing that I've heard a thousand times is that the defense carried the offense. Yes, it is pretty damn true, but at least one phase of the game on this team has to be Top 10 OVERALL for the Dolphins to hit the next level; and the defense is a hell of a lot closer than the offense is right now. We can't just expect to sport the same stat rankings in our scoring defense we had last year; there MUST be improvement in the turnover department. The defense must have an identity this year that is better than bend but don't break. Are they going to be sheepish or bullish in the turnover game?

TL;DR: Create pressure, capitalize on pressure by creating turnovers, score points off turnovers. Bingo Bango, we get more wins.

Offense
Dolphins play a finesse game. They don't have a physical o-line and they probably only have one known physical offensive player in Moreno (hopefully Landry gets added to this short-list). Teams are not scared of this offense and won't be scared until points are scored. When a finesse team doesn't score points they get wrecked. Where we have a chance to be near elite in the league is with our receiving corps. So. Many. Options. Defenses can't cover all the weapons all the time. If Tannehill can just be a smidgen more solid, then there is no reason they won't be a feared group. Of course, we all want Tannehill to be much more than a smidgen better, but even providing the team with a little more, the opportunities should be present. He just has to learn to take advantage of those opportunities.

O-line play will determine a lot of what this team will do this year. Everyone can agree on that. The o-line will make or break the team, Tannehill's career as a starter in the league, Philbin, and a lot of people within the organization. If the o-line doesn't jell, then no one will have a shot to do anything. Period. Without an adequate line, Tannehill can only show so much and he will be stuck in the "what if the o-line was better" loop.

Balance. Balance. Balance. If you didn't get it the first three times, this team needs balance on offense! Tannehill won't thrive without it. He doesn't need to be elite in this offensive scheme. He needs to manage the game at a high level and make the smart read and occasionally put the team on his back for a game-winning or game-changing drive. If he plays/the o-line lets him play smartly within the scheme, his stats will naturally progress into the top portion of the league. It's all part of the design in this offense. Natural progressions because of the looks that are created through balance of the scheme.

Preferably, Tannehill chooses to be a part of the scheme at the end of halves and the 1st and 4th quarter of games. Our offense was pretty crappy in the 4th quarter last year. Well, pretty crappy is giving the team credit, they were down right bad. They ranked 28th with 4.2 points per game in the 4th quarter (http://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/4th-quarter-points-per-game). Even more woeful was our 1st quarter points per game. They were dead-last in scoring in the 1st quarter of the game with 2.7 points per game (http://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/1st-quarter-points-per-game). They were also 23rd on 3rd down conversions (http://espn.go.com/nfl/statistics/team/_/stat/downs/sort/thirdDownConvPct). Key down to only be converting on 35% of plays.

Yes, we are all very aware of the Dolphins offense last year. It's a gruesome fact we had to endure over the offseason. With a more balanced game, the points should come. If Moreno can be that physical presence in the run game and the o-line creates enough space/time for this offense then we should see more points. If Tannehill can make smart reads and just play efficiently, his numbers will naturally increase. This offense is geared towards Tannehill's strengths. The most important intangible will be a balanced attack.

Looking at a team like Seattle, they are such a physical presence on the offensive line and they have two bruisers at RB making it so that Wilson can just sit back and enjoy some open and quick looks when the balance is there and he can let his team do their thing. Granted, Wilson is showing elite level game management and pinpoint accuracy on a lot of throws. But, my point is, the offense in Seattle is geared towards Wilson's success because of the perfect balance of run and pass. Teams aren't sure of what to expect because they have to respect both the run and the pass. They give Wilson read options, jet sweeps, and designed rollouts so that he can do what he is best at. I don't need to mention the piece of mind that Seattle's defense gives that offense. The Seattle offense is simple. They don't have many looks, but the looks they have are brutal because of the balance the system and the o-line create for both the rushing attack and for Wilson in the pocket or in the read-option.

Lazor's offense is geared toward Tannehill doing what he is best at. Being athletic. He is also beating into Tannehill's head to make quicker reads and make quicker decisions. Lazor's offense is geared towards putting their best players in the best positions possible for their skill set. At least we hope this is true since we (hopefully) only saw a shell of our offense in preseason. As long as he exploits defenses' weaknesses with our strengths, then we should be in for a fun time. But if that o-line can't create space/time then say goodbye to 2014 and our hopes of being a contender. Unfortunately, our starting offense this preseason left a sour taste in my mouth that I'm hoping they can undo.

**On a side note and totally unnecessary rant: WV, wtf man. You set up a whole section of your Get Real thread for Moore? For our perennial, $4M a year back up QB? Yea, he's a great pro to have on a team and can step in when needed. But c'mon man. I'm not sure if you wrote that up to troll us or to use that as a "told you so" thing if Tannehill goes down or fails miserably. Your #1 pick in his 3rd year as a starter stays in until he either completely botches the season or gets injured. If none of that happens, Moore stays on the bench. Moore is awesome, man, I agree with you, love the guy's guts, but the cards have been dealt and Moore is still riding that bench hard and happily being paid $4M a season. Sadly, he's never gotten a fair shake, and probably won't ever get a fair shake, but it's just how it goes. Lazor's offense seems to be predicated on an athletic QB, which we have in Tannehill.

Sorry, back to the write up, that just took me for a loop. A lot of people dished out some "No Thanks" on your thread, but I agreed with pretty much everything you said except the Moore thing.

Lastly, the Dolphins need to freaking score points off turnovers. For a reminder, we were 24th overall in points off turnovers. Here's the top 10 teams that scored off of turnovers last season (http://www.sportingcharts.com/nfl/stats/team-net-turnover-points-statistics/2013/):

1. KC
2. SF
3. SEA
4. NE
5. DEN
6. CHI
7. PHI
8. CAR
9. DAL
10. CIN

8 of those 10 teams made the playoffs which accounts for 2/3 of the teams in the playoffs. Of these 10 teams 6 of them won their divisions. 3 of the top 5 teams won their respective divisions and the two teams that didn't were 11-5 and 12-4. Of the top 5 teams in this category their records were 11-5, 12-4, 13-3, 12-4, and 13-3 for a combined record of 61-19. Points off turnovers is crucial to be a top team in the league. There is usually a high correlation between points off turnovers and winning. Obviously, there is a naturally occurring correlation between scoring lots of points in general and points off turnovers.

TL;DR: Balance=Points. Points=Wins. Get ball from defense, score points, win games. Easy Peasy....

Overall
This teams has a pretty easy projected strength of schedule, but we can probably all attest to s.o.s being a bunch of bull**** by the end of the season. We face the NFC North and the AFC West plus the Ravens and Jags. Both strong conferences. We match up very well with the AFC West teams except for Denver. We also match-up well with the NFC North teams except GB if Rodgers/Lacy gets going and the Lions if Megtron gets going. We have had horrible luck going up against the Ravens and we always seem to lose close games to them in the most ridiculous and irritating ways. The Jags are the Jags and will probably be letting Bortles get some playing time once Henne pulls a Henne on their season and drops them to 2-6 at this point. I just hope we don't pull a Dolphins on the Jags and get blown out like against a no-win but good defensive Tampa Bay team last year.

If we are balanced on offense there is no doubt in my mind that we will score more points. SO, if the defense can create more turnovers then, ipso facto! We will score more points off turnovers because our offense should be more balanced. I really do wish it was that easy. It's always easy to stat crunch to come up with what you want to prove :rolleyes2: (and I just rendered my whole post useless with that comment).

Here's my win loss for the year game-by-game: (Even=+1/-1 in W/L column) (NOTE: This is the first time I've gone through the schedule and made my predictions, so at this point I don't even know what record I think they will have):

1. Patriots (home)- Even. (Miami is 5-1-1 ATS last 7 games as home dogs . . . Woot Woot)
2. Bills (away)- Win. (Revenge, mother ****ers)
3. Chiefs (home)- Win.
4. Raiders (away)- Win.
5. Bye- (4-1 at bye would be sweet and completely doable)
6. Packers (home)- Even. (My ****ty deductive reasoning is that Tannehill is 1-1 after bye weeks so . . . yea . . . 50/50 or what-not)
7. Bears (away)- Loss.
8. Jaguars (away)- Win.
9. Chargers (home)- Win.
10. Lions (away)- Even. (I would be willing to put down a small bet on the spread for this game being Lions +1.5 after weighing in the home field).
11. Bills (home) (ThNF)- Loss. (This team just loves being embarrassed when the spotlight is on them)
12. Broncos (away)- Loss.
13. Jets (away) (MNF)- Even. (Some of the most epic match-ups in NFL history have been between the Dolphins and Jets on MNF)
14. Ravens (home)- Loss.
15. Patriots (away)- Loss.
16. Vikings (home)- Win.
17. Jets (home)- Win.

Turns out my overall record for the Dolphins is:

Best: 11-5 Worst: 7-9 Median: 9-7

The Dolphins were a few bounces of the football away from being a playoff team (stupid ass swatting the ball call against the Pats). Time to take the next step and get into the playoffs and at least get into the divisional round.

For any one who stuck through this long ass post, let's get this Miami Dolphins Season Going!! Looking forward to the Official Game Day Thread convos with you all.

:brewskis::brewskis:
-- Cheers --
Great post, like that you backed everything with a link. Pretty much agree with everything you said, while most of it was common sense, the part about finesse vs. physical is spot on and hasn't been brought up enough on this site. Anyways! nice post, you should start more threads, not SoBe more, but more...
 
Because we have only 4 games before the bye. :lol:

We can be 4-0, 3-1, 2-2, 1-3 and 0-4 but we can not be 4-1. Not doable. :lol:

Lmao, missed that one. 4-1 is literally a physical impossibility. 3-1 is what I meant to say.
 
excellent write up miamiluv. I'd be over the moon if we ended the season 11-5 and in the playoffs. Here's hoping we start the season off right by beating the snot out of the Pats.
 
Great post MiaLuv! I agree with your post completely. I'm looking forward to an improved team and better season but that defense must create short fields and score as a defense and the offense must convert 3rd downs to extend drives and score. The D should be solid to good and good enough to win with if we can score 23+ per contest.

Please keep posting brother because you are on point and funny too! Brewskis bro! Here's to happiness this Sunday!
 
Where this team is not solid at all at is their defensive physicality. They do not strike fear into team's position players. They are not a respected rush defense right now, and most players aren't scared to go up against this defense.

I blame Philbin for hiring Coyle. Whatever Coyle changed when he was hired must be the cause of the poor run defense. It started getting worse before Ireland swapped LBs, so the LB change can't be the whole cause. IMO, Coyle is trying to build a "finesse" defense, when we need a smash-mouth defense. Personally, I want a physical offense too, but Ross wants finesse.
 
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