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Since Cameron Mentioned This About Beck

ckparrothead

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I thought I'd share some of my research I had on Beck prior to the draft.

Specifically, in his latest column, Cameron said the following:

Q. Let's turn to quarterback John Beck. The common theme seems to be that people marvel over his accuracy. Is that what you saw and how much tape did you watch?

A. What I tried to do over the years when I evaluate quarterbacks is to first look at all their tape. I watched every game John played for two years. But once you do that, to really get to know the player, what you need to do is focus on how he did on the road in the fourth quarter or in close games. I isolated all of those games for John Beck. That's the closest correlation to what he's going to be doing in the NFL every week.

What did I learn about John Beck? You should all look at the tapes. It's amazing what he did. Go look at the Utah game. Go look at the Boston College game. There are a million guys who can play great at home or can be accurate when it doesn't really matter. But on the road in close games? That's what sold me on Phillip Rivers and that's what sold me on John Beck.

So I thought I would dig up some of my research on Beck. I had been speaking to Boomer and Keith about Troy Smith's red zone proficiency. I also did research on Quinn and Beck. For now, I'll just share the Beck research.

For the fourth quarter, close games, I tracked 6 major games. Not all of them were entirely close. Those games were the Arizona, Boston College, TCU, New Mexico, Utah, and Oregon. I wanted to track the Wyoming game because it was against a good defense, however that game was just way out of hand in the fourth quarter.

For the red zone statistics, I went ahead and tracked that Wyoming game anyway, and dropped off the Arizona game because Arizona's defense is not very good. Specifically, the red zone stats are against BC, TCU, New Mexico, Utah, Wyoming, and Oregon.

And of course the away games are rather obvious, at Arizona, at Boston College, at TCU, at Air Force, at Colorado State, at Utah, and at Oregon.

FOURTH QUARTER (Arizona, BC, TCU, New Mexico, Utah, Oregon)
Statistics: 52/79, 589 yards, 7 TD, 2 INT, 2 rush TD - 107.0 QB Rating

RED ZONE (BC, TCU, New Mexico, Wyoming, Utah, Oregon)
Statistics: 22/34, 150 yd, 11 TD, 2 INT, 4 rush TD - 89.5 QB Rating

AWAY GAMES (@Arizona, @BC, @TCU, @Air Force, @CSU, @Utah, @Oregon)
Statistics: 190/283, 2344, 14 TD, 5 INT, 2 rush TD - 101.7 QB Rating


I found the anecdotal notes on the fourth quarter/close games to be the most interesting. These are my notes on the 6 games.

@Arizona
10 attempts, 6 completes, 43 yards, 0, 0
Notes: Down 13-10 at start of 4th quarter. Drove 50 yards from own 5 but drive stalled. Drove 38 yards for tying 31 yard FG with 5:23 remaining. Never saw the ball again. Arizona drove 54 yards in 5 minutes for a game-winning 48 yard field goal.

@Boston College
23 attempts, 12 completes, 130 yards, 1, 1
Notes: Starts down 20-13. Ties game with TD. BC goes ahead by FG. Beck drives 79 yards tying FG. Defense forces fumble. Beck drives 47 yards for go-ahead 44 yd FG with 2:53 remaining, but kicker misses. Next BYU drive starts at BYU 10 yard line, punt. Defense intercepts ball at BYU 48. Beck completes a 17 yard pass to try game-winning 51 yard FG. Kicker misses. A 15 yard penalty kills first OT drive. Second OT drive ends with an interception on 1st and 10...game over.

@TCU
9 attempts, 6 completes, 93 yards, 2, 0
Notes: Up 17-10 at start of 4th quarter. Beck leads a 72 yard TD drive. Follows with a 59 yard TD drive. No more meaningful plays.

New Mexico
7 attempts, 5 completes, 57 yards, 0, 1.....1 rushing TD
Notes: Up 35-17 at start of 4th quarter. Beck leads 65 yard drive ended with interception. NMU turns over on downs, Beck follows up with a 26 yard TD drive. No more meaningful plays.

@Utah
21 attempts, 15 completes, 168 yards, 3, 0
Notes: Down 24-14 at start of 4th quarter. Leads a 68 yard TD drive at start of 4th. Leads a 90 yard TD drive on next drive for go-ahead at 28-24. Utah scores go-ahead TD with 1:19 left to play. Beck drives 75 yards in 1:01 for winning TD as time expires.

@Oregon
9 attempts, 8 completes, 98 yards, 1, 0.....1 rushing TD, 1 sack
Notes: Up 24-0 at start of 4th quarter. Leads 83 yard TD drive to start 4th quarter, up 31-0. Leads 51 yard TD drive to go up again 38-8 after Oregon scores. Next drive goes 24 yards in 5:43, running clock down to 1:16 before Oregon gets ball back.


One thing I found pretty incredible about these close games, mostly on the road, was something I didn't realize until I saw that "1 sack" note of mine on the Oregon game...and that is that he didn't take a single sack in the 4th quarter of any of those first 5 close games. I had to re-check just to make sure because I thought my 1 sack note for the Oregon game had to just be an oversight, something where I noted the sack for that game but didn't look for it in the other games. Nope, it was accurate. He didn't take a single sack in the 4th quarter of any of those close games against quality opponents until the Oregon game when he was sacked with 4:15 left in the game, up 38-8.

The other thing to like is that BYU had close, competitive games...and they generally came out on top. Their two losses to Arizona and Boston College, they stayed competitive in those games. And I don't know that John Beck has a lot to be ashamed about how he ended those games. Against Arizona, Curtis Brown got shut down on the ground, and Beck threw a TD with a second one that got called back on offensive pass interference. In fact, the team generally hurt themselves with 10 penalties for 76 yards. He had some bad field position on the first drive in the fourth quarter, but he did tie the game up with the second drive...and then much like when Brady Quinn faced off with Matt Leinart in 2005, he couldn't control what happened from there. He probably hoped that the Wildcats wouldn't be able to run a full 5 minutes off the clock and kick a fiield goal to win the game, but them's the breaks.

Against Boston College, this was a classic game. BYU was on the road against BC, ranked #23 at the time and finishing the year ranked #20. They were down toward the end of the 3rd quarter 20-13 and went on a 96 yard touchdown drive. BC went for a go-ahead FG and Beck drives them 79 yards to match the score. BYU got an opportunity and Beck did drive them for a 44 yard field goal, but the kicker misses the go-ahead opportunity with less than 3 minutes to play. The BYU offense gets the ball again at their own 10 but they can't get anything going, but then they get a chance with 20 seconds left from their own 48 yard line and Beck actually completes a 17 yard pass giving them the chance at a game-winning 51 yarder...but they can't convert. The first overtime drive is killed with a 15 yard penalty. BC could not convert either, though. BC does get a TD in the second overtime, and Beck begins driving the team to match it, but a linebacker tipped up his 1st & 10 pass from the 14, which led to a Jamie Silva diving interception as he picked the ball up off the ground. Initially the refs ruled it incomplete. The refs overturned and called it an interception. Classic game, stuff like that happens.

I tell you what, though. It sure makes me feel a lot better that the interception was a controversial replay call off a tipped pass, instead of John Beck just throwing the ball straight into a defender's hands during a crucial moment in the game. Also makes me feel better that he put his team in position to try and win the game twice in the final minutes but the kicker couldn't convert.

If anything bothers me about these stats I would say the two interceptions in the red zone. For one, the Cougars were up 35-17 in the fourth quarter on New Mexico, Beck led a time-consuming 65 yard drive but capped it off with an interception at the 5 yard line. For the other, like I said, it was in double overtime against Boston College...ball tipped up by a linebacker.

Incidentally, I bet Rick Spielman loved John Beck. Hopefully, that doesn't bode ill for him!
 
Great post Ckparrothead, i love the Beck pick hope he turns into a GREAT QB, from what ive seen he's got great pocket awareness, accurracy and poise.
 
The fourth quarter is where average quarterbacks crack. Great research. The only thing about the sacks being low is I hope Miami's O Line can help him keep this stat low. Regardless, you have to figure how many sacks Culepper amassed because of hesitation, unawarness, ect. Now that this Green deal is "dead", I'm hoping Beck can get a chance to develop his skills in the NFL early.
 
CK, impressive research. This merely solidifies my belief in Beck as the future. Is there any way you could compare these stats to those of Brady Quinn in close games/4th quarter away games?
 
I thought I'd share some of my research I had on Beck prior to the draft.

Specifically, in his latest column, Cameron said the following:



So I thought I would dig up some of my research on Beck. I had been speaking to Boomer and Keith about Troy Smith's red zone proficiency. I also did research on Quinn and Beck. For now, I'll just share the Beck research.

For the fourth quarter, close games, I tracked 6 major games. Not all of them were entirely close. Those games were the Arizona, Boston College, TCU, New Mexico, Utah, and Oregon. I wanted to track the Wyoming game because it was against a good defense, however that game was just way out of hand in the fourth quarter.

For the red zone statistics, I went ahead and tracked that Wyoming game anyway, and dropped off the Arizona game because Arizona's defense is not very good. Specifically, the red zone stats are against BC, TCU, New Mexico, Utah, Wyoming, and Oregon.

And of course the away games are rather obvious, at Arizona, at Boston College, at TCU, at Air Force, at Colorado State, at Utah, and at Oregon.

FOURTH QUARTER (Arizona, BC, TCU, New Mexico, Utah, Oregon)
Statistics: 52/79, 589 yards, 7 TD, 2 INT, 2 rush TD - 107.0 QB Rating

RED ZONE (BC, TCU, New Mexico, Wyoming, Utah, Oregon)
Statistics: 22/34, 150 yd, 11 TD, 2 INT, 4 rush TD - 89.5 QB Rating

AWAY GAMES (@Arizona, @BC, @TCU, @Air Force, @CSU, @Utah, @Oregon)
Statistics: 190/283, 2344, 14 TD, 5 INT, 2 rush TD - 101.7 QB Rating


I found the anecdotal notes on the fourth quarter/close games to be the most interesting. These are my notes on the 6 games.




One thing I found pretty incredible about these close games, mostly on the road, was something I didn't realize until I saw that "1 sack" note of mine on the Oregon game...and that is that he didn't take a single sack in the 4th quarter of any of those first 5 close games. I had to re-check just to make sure because I thought my 1 sack note for the Oregon game had to just be an oversight, something where I noted the sack for that game but didn't look for it in the other games. Nope, it was accurate. He didn't take a single sack in the 4th quarter of any of those close games against quality opponents until the Oregon game when he was sacked with 4:15 left in the game, up 38-8.

The other thing to like is that BYU had close, competitive games...and they generally came out on top. Their two losses to Arizona and Boston College, they stayed competitive in those games. And I don't know that John Beck has a lot to be ashamed about how he ended those games. Against Arizona, Curtis Brown got shut down on the ground, and Beck threw a TD with a second one that got called back on offensive pass interference. In fact, the team generally hurt themselves with 10 penalties for 76 yards. He had some bad field position on the first drive in the fourth quarter, but he did tie the game up with the second drive...and then much like when Brady Quinn faced off with Matt Leinart in 2005, he couldn't control what happened from there. He probably hoped that the Wildcats wouldn't be able to run a full 5 minutes off the clock and kick a fiield goal to win the game, but them's the breaks.

Against Boston College, this was a classic game. BYU was on the road against BC, ranked #23 at the time and finishing the year ranked #20. They were down toward the end of the 3rd quarter 20-13 and went on a 96 yard touchdown drive. BC went for a go-ahead FG and Beck drives them 79 yards to match the score. BYU got an opportunity and Beck did drive them for a 44 yard field goal, but the kicker misses the go-ahead opportunity with less than 3 minutes to play. The BYU offense gets the ball again at their own 10 but they can't get anything going, but then they get a chance with 20 seconds left from their own 48 yard line and Beck actually completes a 17 yard pass giving them the chance at a game-winning 51 yarder...but they can't convert. The first overtime drive is killed with a 15 yard penalty. BC could not convert either, though. BC does get a TD in the second overtime, and Beck begins driving the team to match it, but a linebacker tipped up his 1st & 10 pass from the 14, which led to a Jamie Silva diving interception as he picked the ball up off the ground. Initially the refs ruled it incomplete. The refs overturned and called it an interception. Classic game, stuff like that happens.

I tell you what, though. It sure makes me feel a lot better that the interception was a controversial replay call off a tipped pass, instead of John Beck just throwing the ball straight into a defender's hands during a crucial moment in the game. Also makes me feel better that he put his team in position to try and win the game twice in the final minutes but the kicker couldn't convert.

If anything bothers me about these stats I would say the two interceptions in the red zone. For one, the Cougars were up 35-17 in the fourth quarter on New Mexico, Beck led a time-consuming 65 yard drive but capped it off with an interception at the 5 yard line. For the other, like I said, it was in double overtime against Boston College...ball tipped up by a linebacker.

Incidentally, I bet Rick Spielman loved John Beck. Hopefully, that doesn't bode ill for him!
we can only hope he'll make it here !:cooldude:
 
I thought I'd share some of my research I had on Beck prior to the draft.

Specifically, in his latest column, Cameron said the following:



So I thought I would dig up some of my research on Beck. I had been speaking to Boomer and Keith about Troy Smith's red zone proficiency. I also did research on Quinn and Beck. For now, I'll just share the Beck research.

For the fourth quarter, close games, I tracked 6 major games. Not all of them were entirely close. Those games were the Arizona, Boston College, TCU, New Mexico, Utah, and Oregon. I wanted to track the Wyoming game because it was against a good defense, however that game was just way out of hand in the fourth quarter.

For the red zone statistics, I went ahead and tracked that Wyoming game anyway, and dropped off the Arizona game because Arizona's defense is not very good. Specifically, the red zone stats are against BC, TCU, New Mexico, Utah, Wyoming, and Oregon.

And of course the away games are rather obvious, at Arizona, at Boston College, at TCU, at Air Force, at Colorado State, at Utah, and at Oregon.

FOURTH QUARTER (Arizona, BC, TCU, New Mexico, Utah, Oregon)
Statistics: 52/79, 589 yards, 7 TD, 2 INT, 2 rush TD - 107.0 QB Rating

RED ZONE (BC, TCU, New Mexico, Wyoming, Utah, Oregon)
Statistics: 22/34, 150 yd, 11 TD, 2 INT, 4 rush TD - 89.5 QB Rating

AWAY GAMES (@Arizona, @BC, @TCU, @Air Force, @CSU, @Utah, @Oregon)
Statistics: 190/283, 2344, 14 TD, 5 INT, 2 rush TD - 101.7 QB Rating


I found the anecdotal notes on the fourth quarter/close games to be the most interesting. These are my notes on the 6 games.




One thing I found pretty incredible about these close games, mostly on the road, was something I didn't realize until I saw that "1 sack" note of mine on the Oregon game...and that is that he didn't take a single sack in the 4th quarter of any of those first 5 close games. I had to re-check just to make sure because I thought my 1 sack note for the Oregon game had to just be an oversight, something where I noted the sack for that game but didn't look for it in the other games. Nope, it was accurate. He didn't take a single sack in the 4th quarter of any of those close games against quality opponents until the Oregon game when he was sacked with 4:15 left in the game, up 38-8.

The other thing to like is that BYU had close, competitive games...and they generally came out on top. Their two losses to Arizona and Boston College, they stayed competitive in those games. And I don't know that John Beck has a lot to be ashamed about how he ended those games. Against Arizona, Curtis Brown got shut down on the ground, and Beck threw a TD with a second one that got called back on offensive pass interference. In fact, the team generally hurt themselves with 10 penalties for 76 yards. He had some bad field position on the first drive in the fourth quarter, but he did tie the game up with the second drive...and then much like when Brady Quinn faced off with Matt Leinart in 2005, he couldn't control what happened from there. He probably hoped that the Wildcats wouldn't be able to run a full 5 minutes off the clock and kick a fiield goal to win the game, but them's the breaks.

Against Boston College, this was a classic game. BYU was on the road against BC, ranked #23 at the time and finishing the year ranked #20. They were down toward the end of the 3rd quarter 20-13 and went on a 96 yard touchdown drive. BC went for a go-ahead FG and Beck drives them 79 yards to match the score. BYU got an opportunity and Beck did drive them for a 44 yard field goal, but the kicker misses the go-ahead opportunity with less than 3 minutes to play. The BYU offense gets the ball again at their own 10 but they can't get anything going, but then they get a chance with 20 seconds left from their own 48 yard line and Beck actually completes a 17 yard pass giving them the chance at a game-winning 51 yarder...but they can't convert. The first overtime drive is killed with a 15 yard penalty. BC could not convert either, though. BC does get a TD in the second overtime, and Beck begins driving the team to match it, but a linebacker tipped up his 1st & 10 pass from the 14, which led to a Jamie Silva diving interception as he picked the ball up off the ground. Initially the refs ruled it incomplete. The refs overturned and called it an interception. Classic game, stuff like that happens.

I tell you what, though. It sure makes me feel a lot better that the interception was a controversial replay call off a tipped pass, instead of John Beck just throwing the ball straight into a defender's hands during a crucial moment in the game. Also makes me feel better that he put his team in position to try and win the game twice in the final minutes but the kicker couldn't convert.

If anything bothers me about these stats I would say the two interceptions in the red zone. For one, the Cougars were up 35-17 in the fourth quarter on New Mexico, Beck led a time-consuming 65 yard drive but capped it off with an interception at the 5 yard line. For the other, like I said, it was in double overtime against Boston College...ball tipped up by a linebacker.

Incidentally, I bet Rick Spielman loved John Beck. Hopefully, that doesn't bode ill for him!

You spoke in your post about Troy Smiths red zone proficiency and with your knowledge can you tell me and the others what was Ted Ginns red zone
proficiency in his 3 years as a wide receiver for Ohio.

The reason I ask is that I am getting two different stories regarding his red zone production and I respect your opinion and would love to hear what you have to say regarding Ginn.

Thanks
 
The next Dan Marino! Hopefully....

That was a great post I enjoyed the read and the research. We need someone who can win the game when it becomes tight. That 9-7 season with saban could have been alot better had the dolphins made a completion or two in the fourth quarter. Like the first New England game when we lost in the last second that year.
 
CK, impressive research. This merely solidifies my belief in Beck as the future. Is there any way you could compare these stats to those of Brady Quinn in close games/4th quarter away games?
That would be great. If it has not been done by the time I get home tonight, I will do it.
 
beck will be able to throw the ball away instead of getting sacked. good sign of maturity.
 
Yeah excellent write up and research CK. As said above, I wonder what BQ stats looked like with the similar parameters.
 
great write up but I have to defebd my alma mater, Arizona's defense is awesome. They will be the best in the Pac-10 this year. Beck really struggled against them as I was there rooting on my Cats. Though the first game is not a fair way to judge anyone's overall ability. Nice post
 
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