ckparrothead
Premium Member
Here's something to consider about Chad Henne.
He led 6 drives prior to the Bills and Jets games. He scored on 3 of them (2 TDs, 1 FG). That led Dan Henning to say that if you project those numbers over a career, that's a hall of famer. Well, through two starts, those numbers have not only projected out, but they've gotten better. He's now at 25 drives, with 10 TDs and 3 FGs. That's 3.16 points per drive. Most NFL games give you 10 to 12 drives. This averages to between 31 and 38 points per game.
What is more ridiculous about the data? The 8 TD drives averaged 69.5 yards per drive. That's ridiculous. Only one of them had the benefit of being shorter than 50 yards. The 3 FG drives averaged 57 yards, and only one of those had the benefit of being shorter than 50 yards (it was 44).
Now, it's not all grand. Of the 25 drives, 7 of them have gone less than 5 yards before stalling out. That's not good. When you're trying to play defensive, run-oriented field position games, you need to minimize those three-and-outs because they damage you. That's something they need to work on.
Was it all against bad defenses? You be the judge. The Cardinals went to the Super Bowl with that 2008 defense, and the day they played us their D were on fire and having a terrific home game (they played really well at home that year). The Chargers have a fairly porous defense. But if you ex- out the Miami games, the Jets had a #4 scoring defense and the Bills had a #13 scoring defense. I would say on the whole the defenses were between mediocre and good...and yet he led offenses that scored 31 points in each of his two starts, and he scored on about the same pace on the 6 drives he had prior to those starts.
This could be the start of something very exciting. Now think of all of that and then imagine what the offense could look like if they had a special teams or defensive unit that gave them short field position with fair frequency. Yikes.
Editor's Note: Yes I realize that I'm tossing out one of the San Diego drives. It was two plays, from the Miami 2 yard line, with 30 seconds left in a 23-13 ball game. That's a throwaway drive. Dan Henning also threw that drive away when he made his comment.
He led 6 drives prior to the Bills and Jets games. He scored on 3 of them (2 TDs, 1 FG). That led Dan Henning to say that if you project those numbers over a career, that's a hall of famer. Well, through two starts, those numbers have not only projected out, but they've gotten better. He's now at 25 drives, with 10 TDs and 3 FGs. That's 3.16 points per drive. Most NFL games give you 10 to 12 drives. This averages to between 31 and 38 points per game.
What is more ridiculous about the data? The 8 TD drives averaged 69.5 yards per drive. That's ridiculous. Only one of them had the benefit of being shorter than 50 yards. The 3 FG drives averaged 57 yards, and only one of those had the benefit of being shorter than 50 yards (it was 44).
Now, it's not all grand. Of the 25 drives, 7 of them have gone less than 5 yards before stalling out. That's not good. When you're trying to play defensive, run-oriented field position games, you need to minimize those three-and-outs because they damage you. That's something they need to work on.
Was it all against bad defenses? You be the judge. The Cardinals went to the Super Bowl with that 2008 defense, and the day they played us their D were on fire and having a terrific home game (they played really well at home that year). The Chargers have a fairly porous defense. But if you ex- out the Miami games, the Jets had a #4 scoring defense and the Bills had a #13 scoring defense. I would say on the whole the defenses were between mediocre and good...and yet he led offenses that scored 31 points in each of his two starts, and he scored on about the same pace on the 6 drives he had prior to those starts.
This could be the start of something very exciting. Now think of all of that and then imagine what the offense could look like if they had a special teams or defensive unit that gave them short field position with fair frequency. Yikes.
Editor's Note: Yes I realize that I'm tossing out one of the San Diego drives. It was two plays, from the Miami 2 yard line, with 30 seconds left in a 23-13 ball game. That's a throwaway drive. Dan Henning also threw that drive away when he made his comment.
