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Trends in Tannehill's 2013 play

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If the Miami Dolphins offense is going to go from a good offense to a great one, quarterback Ryan Tannehill will have to do the same.

Tannehill was an afterthought in the 2012 rookie crop of quarterbacks, but took a step forward in his second year and laid the groundwork for further improvement by establishing his strengths and weaknesses. Now, in order to take another step forward, he must improve on the areas where defenses will try to make him pay.

Of course, his teammates can help him out significantly with better offensive line play and surer hands. His coaches can help him greatly with a more innovative style of play-calling on offense. What can Tannehill do, though? Where must he go from here?

To answer that question, we must first get a full understanding of where Tannehill has been. To do so, I've reviewed and charted each of Tannehill's drop-backs from the 2013 season to try to find trends in Tannehill's play. Here are the results, and my thoughts on what they mean for Tannehill's NFL future.
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Big Picture Takeaway

After cutting through all the numbers to inspect every result and thesis possible, there's one main takeaway left to express.

Sherman's offense was noteworthy for how predictable it was. One example is the aforementioned play-action percentages (43.2 percent from under center, 8.4 percent from shotgun). Another example: Before every pass, Tannehill would shout, "Go!" Before every run, he would shout, "Go! Go!"

One more example: 112 of 139 targets to Wallace were on the right side of the field, while 92 of 129 targets to Brian Hartline were on the left side of the field. The fact that those two receivers were practically isolated on their side of the field made it way too easy for coaches to pick and choose where their defenders would line up and roll coverage a particular direction on any given play.

The offense was overloaded with limitation and predictability, yet Tannehill improved dramatically from his performance in 2012 to 2013.

Introducing Lazor to the mix will do one of two things: it will either overload Tannehill to the point where his head is swimming after playing in Sherman's offense since college, or it will allow Tannehill to expand his game in ways he only dreamed of over the past several seasons.

Tannehill is a strong-armed, accurate quarterback and has the skill set to succeed in a variety of situations. As long as the Dolphins continue to play to his strengths while he continues expanding those strengths, the offense should continue to improve with its new look.
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http://bleacherreport.com/articles/...-from-dolphins-qb-ryan-tannehills-2013-season



Interesting article, looks like he agrees with what most here said about Coach Sherman's offense.
 
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Well I be damned...bleacher report comes thru with a great piece...very good stuff love the point about in routes and how well Jarvis Landry runs them...spot on

little to no double move routes last year...on Sherman for sure but double moves take time to develop and I can't kill shermy for not trusting the protection enough to implement them
 
I feel this offense suits Tannehill and other players on this offense massively. Actually playing to the strengths of our players and not using pre-93 plays should help. If this offense is like what Philly ran I expect big and better years out of Tannehill and Miller as well as Wallace. It's all hope at this point. Good post OP.
 
Nice read. I am excited to see what this offense can do. If this O can score it will help this D so much.
 
He loses me in the first two paragraphs. How can an offense go from "good" to "great" when it wasn't good?

Also, very odd to call the 8th pick in the draft an afterthought.

In looking at the numbers, the one I'll point out is screen passes. This is the point I've tried to make since joining this site: Screen passes are ridiculously over hyped. I'll never understand why so many fans are fascinated by them. I always knew they were illogical plays since you are relying on run after catch, and the top teams simply don't allow that. In this case the run after catch starts from behind the line of scrimmage more often than not. So that's a particularly brilliant combination: Catch behind the line and be quickly slammed to the ground. It wasn't until I started helping out at the stats office more than a decade ago that I had access to numbers that identified how worthless those plays are. We would laugh like heck when a team abused the screen pass, particularly on third down.

You'll note we completed all but 2 screen passes all season. But they were good for roughly 4.5 yards per attempt. Very familiar.

I realize that as soon as one screen pops open and rambles for 15 or 25 yards the floodgates will open with praise. I guess it's a trick play by nature and fans love to think they've pulled one over on the opponent.
 
Awsi Dooger said:
He loses me in the first two paragraphs. How can an offense go from "good" to "great" when it wasn't good?

Also, very odd to call the 8th pick in the draft an afterthought.

In looking at the numbers, the one I'll point out is screen passes. This is the point I've tried to make since joining this site: Screen passes are ridiculously over hyped. I'll never understand why so many fans are fascinated by them. I always knew they were illogical plays since you are relying on run after catch, and the top teams simply don't allow that. In this case the run after catch starts from behind the line of scrimmage more often than not. So that's a particularly brilliant combination: Catch behind the line and be quickly slammed to the ground. It wasn't until I started helping out at the stats office more than a decade ago that I had access to numbers that identified how worthless those plays are. We would laugh like heck when a team abused the screen pass, particularly on third down.

You'll note we completed all but 2 screen passes all season. But they were good for roughly 4.5 yards per attempt. Very familiar.

I realize that as soon as one screen pops open and rambles for 15 or 25 yards the floodgates will open with praise. I guess it's a trick play by nature and fans love to think they've pulled one over on the opponent.
Click to expand...

I would love to see our d's numbers vs the screen last year
 
Awsi Dooger said:
He loses me in the first two paragraphs. How can an offense go from "good" to "great" when it wasn't good?

Also, very odd to call the 8th pick in the draft an afterthought.

In looking at the numbers, the one I'll point out is screen passes. This is the point I've tried to make since joining this site: Screen passes are ridiculously over hyped. I'll never understand why so many fans are fascinated by them. I always knew they were illogical plays since you are relying on run after catch, and the top teams simply don't allow that. In this case the run after catch starts from behind the line of scrimmage more often than not. So that's a particularly brilliant combination: Catch behind the line and be quickly slammed to the ground. It wasn't until I started helping out at the stats office more than a decade ago that I had access to numbers that identified how worthless those plays are. We would laugh like heck when a team abused the screen pass, particularly on third down.

You'll note we completed all but 2 screen passes all season. But they were good for roughly 4.5 yards per attempt. Very familiar.

I realize that as soon as one screen pops open and rambles for 15 or 25 yards the floodgates will open with praise. I guess it's a trick play by nature and fans love to think they've pulled one over on the opponent.
Click to expand...

I guess it's just difference of opinion. I think the screen pass is a very good play, if executed properly. It's all about numbers and having blockers in front of you. Also, when playing football in high school, as an offensive lineman, our coach would always tell us we only need to block to allow the RB to run 3.7 yards minimum. That would equal just over 10yds after 3 attempts. So 4.5yd average is a pretty darn good play.
 
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