interesting post, thanks for sharing. I found this rather intriguing: Undrafted players (14%) were the 3rd most likely group to comprise 2014’s starters…only behind 1st round (30%) and 2nd round (18%) picks.Maybe this will help
https://www.forbes.com/sites/prishe...-how-contingent-is-success-to-draft-position/
it's a few years old but shows the numbers of each round and starting as well as roster percentages
That is interesting. I always hear that the draft is a crapshoot but this really emphasizes how difficult it must be to evaluate players.interesting post, thanks for sharing. I found this rather intriguing: Undrafted players (14%) were the 3rd most likely group to comprise 2014’s starters…only behind 1st round (30%) and 2nd round (18%) picks.
interesting post, thanks for sharing. I found this rather intriguing: Undrafted players (14%) were the 3rd most likely group to comprise 2014’s starters…only behind 1st round (30%) and 2nd round (18%) picks.
For example Jalen Davis (undrafted) is as good as the corner we did draft (Armstrong). Davis had a 3rd round grade from numerous sites I saw. There's many kids like him who fall through the cracksThe pool of undrafted players is much, much larger than the pool of players chosen in rounds 3-7, and the talent gap between the two isn't significant enough to override the simple mathematical probabilities.
I see your point but there's still tons of talent in the third round and that's where the drop-off seems to be. I think it says more that the draft is difficult to nail since there are so many drafted guys that don't pan out and so much talent that doesn't make it in.The pool of undrafted players is much, much larger than the pool of players chosen in rounds 3-7, and the talent gap between the two isn't significant enough to override the simple mathematical probabilities.
That is interesting. I always hear that the draft is a crapshoot but this really emphasizes how difficult it must be to evaluate players.
Great point in those later rounds teams especially start trying to plug holes with need picks more than grabbing the best player available. I enjoy attempting to forcast the position and rounds and sometime the players the phins pick every year. Didn't see the safety in the first but he looks likes the best player in that round cool. But a TE LB in the first 3 rounds a rb in the 4th and kicker in the 7th nailed it. Figured a saftey in the 4th instead of another TE and DT on the first 3 rounds. Point is you have to be careful when drafting for needs more than talent because first you end up with a under talented roster and 2nd other teams will jump your picks during the draft.So much is decided by need as much as talent. Going undrafted is often better than getting drafted late because you, instead of the team, gets to pick where you go. You get to see where your talent might help a squad rather than a team just trying to pick up camp fodder.
The maximum is actually 32 rounds!Also remember that there were once 17 rounds of drafting - and even then, you had guys that went undrafted such as Jim Langer - HOF and one of the best centers to ever play.
Nick Buoniconti - 13th round. And there's one Hall of Famer (Roosevelt Brown) taken in the 27th round in 1953! The 321st pick. The greatest OT of his era. That guy might not even be signed as an UDFA nowadays.There are a lot of examples of guys taken in the double digit rounds who had excellent careers etc.
Great find on Roosevelt Brown and setting me straight on the number of rounds. I had 17 in my head for some reason or another.The maximum is actually 32 rounds!
Nick Buoniconti - 13th round. And there's one Hall of Famer (Roosevelt Brown) taken in the 27th round in 1953! The 321st pick. The greatest OT of his era. That guy might not even be signed as an UDFA nowadays.