Use of PFF's 2016 AFC prediction errors to correct their 2017 predictions

[Ray R]

I wondered what PFF's 2017 AFC predictions would look like if I used the errors in their AFC 2016 Won-Loss predictions to correct their 2017 Won-Loss predictions. I claim no scientific rational for doing this, but it seems as reasonable as whatever PFF does to generate their predictions in the first place.

PFF 2016 predictions, Actual record, Variance: PFF 2017 Predictions, PFF Predictions with my corrections

1 Steelers 13 - 3, 11 - 5, -2, 11 - 5, 9 - 7
2 Patriots 12 - 4, 14 - 2, +2, 12 - 4, 14 - 2
3 Raiders 11 - 5, 12 - 4, +1, 11 - 5, 12 - 4
4 Bengals 11 - 5, 6 - 9, -5, 7 - 9, 2 - 14
5 Broncos 10 - 6, 9 - 7, -1, 6 - 10, 5 - 11
6 Chiefs 9 - 7, 12 - 4, +3, 9 - 7, 12 - 4
7 Texans 8 - 8, 9 - 7, +1, 6 - 10, 7 - 9
8 Ravens 8 - 8, 8 - 8, 0, 7 - 9, 7 - 9
9 Bills 8 - 8, 7 - 9, -1, 8 - 8, 7 - 9
10 Jaguars 8 - 8, 3 - 13, -5, 6 - 10, 1 - 15
11 Jets 7 - 9, 5 - 11, -2, 2 - 14, 0 - 16
12 Chargers 6 - 10, 5 - 11, -1, 10 - 6, 9 - 7
13 Colts 6 - 10, 3 - 13, -3, 7 - 9, 4 - 12
14 Titans 5 - 11, 9 - 7, +4, 9 - 7, 13 - 3
15 Browns 4 - 12, 1 - 15, -3, 4 - 12, 1 - 15
16 Dolphins 4 - 12, 10 - 6, +6, 8 - 8, 14 - 2

I like these results better. They make me smile.
I blame someone else for any errors, real or imagined.

 

[foozool13]