LegionOfZoom
Active Roster
The Dolphins need to go 2-2 or 3-1 the first 4 games imo to have a chance of making the playoffs.
Way to early spreads for week 1 released. Dolphins favored.
- Thread starter LegionOfZoom
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utahphinsfan
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Being 3-2 after the 1st game against the jest would have me doing cartwheels
Just win, baby!
steveo style
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Means Vegas thinks the Patriots are 0.5 pts better than the Dolphins when you take out home field consideration.
all Vegas does is try to balance the bets....it has nothing to do with who they think is the better team.....if the money goes 50% for each team then they're guaranteed 10% of the take
That was the story line of decades past. With todays more complex metrics and tracking it is not nearly that simple. Most averages put it at less than 2 points now, and if you go team by team it varies substantially from there.
"In 2019, home teams went 136-124-1 (52.3 percent), the second-lowest home-team win percentage ever. On top of that, their scoring margin was just +0.1, the lowest in NFL history. Home teams also went 109-144-8 (43.1 percent) against the spread*, further signaling that NFL home-field advantage may be dwindling quicker than the market has realized."
NFL odds: How much is home-field advantage really worth on the spread? | FOX Sports
There's no place like home, right? Sam Panayotovich breaks down how things have changed over the past decade in the NFL.
www.foxsports.com
"After adjusting for team strength, I have calculated HFA to range from 0.1-1.2 points depending on the team. Given the variance from year to year, it likely falls in the middle of that range at half a point for HFA."
How Much NFL Home Field Advantage Is Worth To Playoff Teams
How much is home-field advantage worth in the NFL now? And how could that impact the playoffs? Our analysts break it down.
www.actionnetwork.com
Jssanto
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I like your optimism but I think 1-3 is mor likely and I would be happy with 2-2. I agree 3-1 is cartwheel time.
I think early in the year our offense can take teams by surprise. There is no film to study for tendencies. DCs will basically be guessing and probably playing it on the safe side, worrying about the ridiculous speed of our skills. A lot will come down to Oline playing as a cohesive unit.
We start 0-5 then win 16 straight games including the Super Bowl.
I think it will be closer to 5.5/6 points by gametime when Miami's offense shows competency in pre-season.
Will be 90+ degrees, Pats in dark blue uniforms. I honestly see Miami blowing them out and making an early statement.
Will be 90+ degrees, Pats in dark blue uniforms. I honestly see Miami blowing them out and making an early statement.
Rick Cartman
It is what it is
Northern teams usually melt in September down here.
One of my favorite games was watching Brady implode down here in week 1 in 2014.
One of my favorite games was watching Brady implode down here in week 1 in 2014.
opticblazed
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might be prudent to take that now. that spread should move to 3.5 or more by game time. i see miami winning this one by double digits
Interesting. Wasn't aware of that sort of stuff. Thanks!That was the story line of decades past. With todays more complex metrics and tracking it is not nearly that simple. Most averages put it at less than 2 points now, and if you go team by team it varies substantially from there.
"In 2019, home teams went 136-124-1 (52.3 percent), the second-lowest home-team win percentage ever. On top of that, their scoring margin was just +0.1, the lowest in NFL history. Home teams also went 109-144-8 (43.1 percent) against the spread*, further signaling that NFL home-field advantage may be dwindling quicker than the market has realized."
NFL odds: How much is home-field advantage really worth on the spread? | FOX Sports
There's no place like home, right? Sam Panayotovich breaks down how things have changed over the past decade in the NFL.
"After adjusting for team strength, I have calculated HFA to range from 0.1-1.2 points depending on the team. Given the variance from year to year, it likely falls in the middle of that range at half a point for HFA."
How Much NFL Home Field Advantage Is Worth To Playoff Teams
How much is home-field advantage worth in the NFL now? And how could that impact the playoffs? Our analysts break it down.
I agree. There are so many tropes that get repeated that aren't necessarily true.That was the story line of decades past. With todays more complex metrics and tracking it is not nearly that simple. Most averages put it at less than 2 points now, and if you go team by team it varies substantially from there.
"In 2019, home teams went 136-124-1 (52.3 percent), the second-lowest home-team win percentage ever. On top of that, their scoring margin was just +0.1, the lowest in NFL history. Home teams also went 109-144-8 (43.1 percent) against the spread*, further signaling that NFL home-field advantage may be dwindling quicker than the market has realized."
NFL odds: How much is home-field advantage really worth on the spread? | FOX Sports
There's no place like home, right? Sam Panayotovich breaks down how things have changed over the past decade in the NFL.
"After adjusting for team strength, I have calculated HFA to range from 0.1-1.2 points depending on the team. Given the variance from year to year, it likely falls in the middle of that range at half a point for HFA."
How Much NFL Home Field Advantage Is Worth To Playoff Teams
How much is home-field advantage worth in the NFL now? And how could that impact the playoffs? Our analysts break it down.
hope you're right but how often have this team blown out anybody in the last 20 years?