We now control our own destiny. | FinHeaven - Miami Dolphins Forums

We now control our own destiny.

ThunderDan13

ThunderDan13

Windy City Fin-Fan (ie. Lonely)
Joined
Aug 9, 2008
Messages
354
Reaction score
0
Location
Chicago for the next 4-5 years (West Kendall nativ
With only games left against conference opponents--particularly due to the fact that we play Jacksonville, Houston, and Pittsburgh--the Dolphins now control their own destiny to a wild-card play-off spot.

That's right folks. Win out and we would be guaranteed, at least, the last play-off spot.

With a win over Buffalo and NE, and a NE loss somewhere along the way, we will also control our own destiny in the division race.

Its a tough road, but more than likely we'll get some help along the way with some other losses.

It's all in the guys' hands now, they've clawed back and I hope they make a true run once again after being counted out.
 
It's nice to be in this position with all the injuries that have piled up on our starters. And barely 2 years removed from a 1 win season. Though 2 years after the Panthers won 1 game, they made it to the Super Bowl. Not fair. I guess we still can, i'm not getting my hopes up though. If we win these next 2 games then maybe.
 
i think we need baltimore to lose one more because they have a better conference record than us and i'm not sure how a tiebreaker with denver would work atm but they have one more win than us. We do play everyone else left infront of us though, a baltimore loss puts us in position to control our own destiny for at least the 6 seed.
 
we play all AFC teams from now on so we could end up with a better record than baltimore anyway. if we win out then definitely, Balt is 5-4 we're 3-3 in AFC i think.

Just keep winning!!
 
ThunderDan13 said:
Win out and we would be guaranteed, at least, the last play-off spot.
Click to expand...

Well... almost, but not quite.

We could still finish 11-5 (and 9-3 AFC) and tied with, for example, Jacksonville and Denver or San Diego, with the other two teams also 11-5 & 9-3 AFC.

Although we'd have beaten Jacksonville, that wouldn't count in a 3-way tiebreak, nor would our loss to San Diego. (It's called the "head-to-head sweep" rule, and applies only if one of the three teams has beaten or lost to both of the others.)

So in that case, the tiebreak would proceed to AFC record (even among all three), and then to strength of victory. I can't remember any tiebreak ever going to strength of victory, but it could happen.

It's an unlikely scenario, but since it's possible, we can't say that Miami definitively controls its playoff fate. Not quite yet anyway.
 
ThunderDan13 said:
Nice site, doesn't mean much since its going off win/loss percentage only for predictions, but shows what's mathematically possible.

http://playoffstatus.com/nfl/afcstandings.html
Click to expand...

According to the math, we've got a better shot at winning the division than we do getting the last wildcard. Which is what everyone's been saying from the beginning of the season...

The Ravens have a tough road ahead of them, so I expect them to be less of a factor for that last wildcard spot.
 
anything can happen, any given sunday, as they say...

but, I just don't see winning out the rest of the way. unless the secondary comes alive and starts playing lights-out and we find a consistent pass rush, and the passing game starts clicking, etc...

one game at a time, guys. we can't over look anybody. the Bills will be looking for payback for our blowout here and we need to be ready.
 
mfish41 said:
i think we need baltimore to lose one more because they have a better conference record than us and i'm not sure how a tiebreaker with denver would work atm but they have one more win than us. We do play everyone else left infront of us though, a baltimore loss puts us in position to control our own destiny for at least the 6 seed.
Click to expand...

no, if both Baltimore and us won out, they'd be 8-4 against conference opponents and we'd be 9-3.
 
ThunderDan13 said:
Nice site, doesn't mean much since its going off win/loss percentage only for predictions, but shows what's mathematically possible.

http://playoffstatus.com/nfl/afcstandings.html
Click to expand...

according to this we control our fate for that last wildcard spot (green #s), which i dont fully understand how Broncs and Pitt dont though, but whatever...

according to that Pats have 81% chance of winning division, we have 18% chance with an 8% chance of winning a wildcard spot... basically a 1 in 4 chance to make playoffs... that would dramatically change if we can beat NE in 2 weeks though...
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Its too early to be talking about controlling destiny ****. 6 games left.

We pretty much controlled that **** even last week. Win your last seven, youre getting in.

But, yea. Yesterdays events helped us out and cleared some things up. Now, while I like the idea of winning our last 6, that would be really difficult. Not sure we can pull that off. 5 out of 6, maybe.

Anyways, the thing that sucks is we know Palamalu will be back when we play the Steelers. He changes a lot for them. We could still beat them if we play well though.

I still think we have a better chance to win the division as it stands now. But, there is no way we can lose to NE and still win the division. We will know a lot more after we beat Buffalo, then play that game vs. NE.

I do know we have to hope the Saints beat NE next week, or it could be impossible even if we beat NE. We would then need to win out and hope NE loses one of their last four to take the division at 11-5. If the Saints beat them, we could still maybe take the division at 10-6 if we beat NE and they lose one of their last 4.

As far as wildcard goes, we need to take care of Houston and Jacksonville while Denver continues to free fall. That way if we beat NE as well, we should get a wildcard if we can get to 10 wins, even if the loss is to Pittsburgh.

If we lose to NE, wildcard will be our only hope and we will most likely have to win the rest of our games, including Pittsburgh. We will see. Its going to be interesting, thats for sure.

As for right now, I say we beat Buffalo and root for the Saints. That will set up a titanic, more or less FOUR GAME SWING game vs. the Pats for the division lead.

Lets talk playoff picture after we play that game. We will know so much more with 4 games to play.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top Bottom