If we beat the falcons we are going 16-0. Book it.
What are the Dolphins' Chances of Making the Playoffs?
- Thread starter Shouright
- Start date
Baddteeth
Diehard
1,000,000% chance
GoonBoss
Finheaven Templar
60% of the time, MIA is going to the playoffs 100% of the time.
Barring serious injuries to key players Miami will make the playoffs this year..
Look around, the AFC is weak this year. The Steelers offense sucks and they are on the cusp of having some rebuilding years in the near future. Tons of injuries too and key players are older not getting any better but slower and worse. Baltimore lost a lot of players and they partied all offseason and look to be out of it (Ellerbe talked about how the team just slacked off all offseason partying it up after the super bowl win). Plus they are experience key injuries to key players early on (probably part of slacking off the training regimens in the offseason). I expect them to have a losing season following the SB win. The Jets are not in the playoff hunt (let's be real), and New England is not what they used to be,. Speaking of New England, let's take a look at Belichicks 2nd and 3rd round picks in recent memory:
• 08’ second round selection Terrence Wheatley was released during the 2010 season.
• 08’ third round selection Shaun Crable was released prior to the 2010 season.
• 09’ second round selection Pat Chung not resigned after spending last season as third on the depth chart.
• 09’ second round selection Ron Brace was released during last season.
• 09’ second round selection Darius Butler was released prior to the 11’ season.
• 09’ third round selection Tyrone McKenzie was released prior to the 10’ season.
• 10’ second round selection Jermaine Cunningham was waived injured in the preseason.
• 10’ second round selection Brandon Spikes has two tackles in 47 defensive snaps.
• 11’ second round selection Ras-I Dowling was released in preseason.
• 12’ second round selection Tavon Wilson has played one defensive snap.
• 12’ third round selection Jake Bequette has not played a defensive snap.
• 13’ second round selection Jamie Collins has played six defensive snaps.
• 13’ third round selection Logan Ryan has played two defensive snaps.
• 13’ third rounder selection Duron Harmon has played eight defensive snaps.
The only notable player is Spikes, who to this point provided an inconsistent performance over his tenure even when contributing. New England will always be a playoff contender as long as Brady is there, but the loss of weapons and very poor drafting in recent years, along with Brady retiring soon because of all the frustration that will ensue being on poor to average teams- means that team will be a doormat again as they were 2 decades ago before they make another SB imo. They look to be about finished, or very close to it while Miami looks to be ascending with a very good young roster and smart coaching staff (and of course a good young leader at QB).
Cincinnati ?? Andy Dalton sucks, and even if they win that division I don't see them winning a playoff game or going far with that sub mediocre QB. I never understood how some people in the media respect that guy, he just sucks, he has zero poise and just as much IT factor ability, and is not an above average QB (certainly not a playoff one a team can count on). The Chargers ? Just no. Only team in that division to be fearful over is Denver for obvious reasons.
Meanwhile, Luck and the Colts are looking to be no better than last year. I predicted a down year for the Colts last week before our game, and with a game in San Francisco this week with the 49ers looking for a huge rebound after Sunday night, the Colts will be 1-2 to start the 2013 campaign. Teams just do not do well when they are a doormat team (as the colts were in 2011) and then have a big spike season following (last year for the Colts), they just never follow it up looking through NFL history. See Miami's losing season in 2009 after the 2008 spike year of 11-5, following the 2007 first overall pick season of 1-15. The colts are headed for a median year, a down year from last year like Miami experienced in 2009.
Houston, of course they will be good. In my opinion its Denver and Houston then the rest. Miami should make the playoffs this year. The AFC is experiencing a shift with many teams, and if Miami is to make the playoffs this is the year to take that next step (and have it continue and build in following years).
Miami is in very good position when looking at the big picture and paying attention to shifts going on throughout the rest of the conference. When you have a good QB, and you have very good overall coaching staff that's up-to-date on things and not living under dinosaur era's of the 1930's (see Sparano/Henning), and when you have a very good defense (with some really nice athletic ability as a whole), you can do some real damage in this league and go places. And Miami has those 3 ingredients.
Look around, the AFC is weak this year. The Steelers offense sucks and they are on the cusp of having some rebuilding years in the near future. Tons of injuries too and key players are older not getting any better but slower and worse. Baltimore lost a lot of players and they partied all offseason and look to be out of it (Ellerbe talked about how the team just slacked off all offseason partying it up after the super bowl win). Plus they are experience key injuries to key players early on (probably part of slacking off the training regimens in the offseason). I expect them to have a losing season following the SB win. The Jets are not in the playoff hunt (let's be real), and New England is not what they used to be,. Speaking of New England, let's take a look at Belichicks 2nd and 3rd round picks in recent memory:
• 08’ second round selection Terrence Wheatley was released during the 2010 season.
• 08’ third round selection Shaun Crable was released prior to the 2010 season.
• 09’ second round selection Pat Chung not resigned after spending last season as third on the depth chart.
• 09’ second round selection Ron Brace was released during last season.
• 09’ second round selection Darius Butler was released prior to the 11’ season.
• 09’ third round selection Tyrone McKenzie was released prior to the 10’ season.
• 10’ second round selection Jermaine Cunningham was waived injured in the preseason.
• 10’ second round selection Brandon Spikes has two tackles in 47 defensive snaps.
• 11’ second round selection Ras-I Dowling was released in preseason.
• 12’ second round selection Tavon Wilson has played one defensive snap.
• 12’ third round selection Jake Bequette has not played a defensive snap.
• 13’ second round selection Jamie Collins has played six defensive snaps.
• 13’ third round selection Logan Ryan has played two defensive snaps.
• 13’ third rounder selection Duron Harmon has played eight defensive snaps.
The only notable player is Spikes, who to this point provided an inconsistent performance over his tenure even when contributing. New England will always be a playoff contender as long as Brady is there, but the loss of weapons and very poor drafting in recent years, along with Brady retiring soon because of all the frustration that will ensue being on poor to average teams- means that team will be a doormat again as they were 2 decades ago before they make another SB imo. They look to be about finished, or very close to it while Miami looks to be ascending with a very good young roster and smart coaching staff (and of course a good young leader at QB).
Cincinnati ?? Andy Dalton sucks, and even if they win that division I don't see them winning a playoff game or going far with that sub mediocre QB. I never understood how some people in the media respect that guy, he just sucks, he has zero poise and just as much IT factor ability, and is not an above average QB (certainly not a playoff one a team can count on). The Chargers ? Just no. Only team in that division to be fearful over is Denver for obvious reasons.
Meanwhile, Luck and the Colts are looking to be no better than last year. I predicted a down year for the Colts last week before our game, and with a game in San Francisco this week with the 49ers looking for a huge rebound after Sunday night, the Colts will be 1-2 to start the 2013 campaign. Teams just do not do well when they are a doormat team (as the colts were in 2011) and then have a big spike season following (last year for the Colts), they just never follow it up looking through NFL history. See Miami's losing season in 2009 after the 2008 spike year of 11-5, following the 2007 first overall pick season of 1-15. The colts are headed for a median year, a down year from last year like Miami experienced in 2009.
Houston, of course they will be good. In my opinion its Denver and Houston then the rest. Miami should make the playoffs this year. The AFC is experiencing a shift with many teams, and if Miami is to make the playoffs this is the year to take that next step (and have it continue and build in following years).
Miami is in very good position when looking at the big picture and paying attention to shifts going on throughout the rest of the conference. When you have a good QB, and you have very good overall coaching staff that's up-to-date on things and not living under dinosaur era's of the 1930's (see Sparano/Henning), and when you have a very good defense (with some really nice athletic ability as a whole), you can do some real damage in this league and go places. And Miami has those 3 ingredients.
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where's th'fish
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Well, according to the FO playoff odds updated today, we stand at 47%. That's despite the fact we are rated as the 5th best team in the first two weeks because our initial projection was so low that we're only at 15th when you factor in the two. The initial projection might have been too low, but it's a long season and I don't like our depth.
Remember that other teams' players get hurt, too.
where's th'fish
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Very true, all teams suffer injuries, that's why depth is so important. So far, however, it's hard to argue we've been one of the lightest hit by them. Patriots, Niners, Broncos... those guys have had it hard
The teams we've played have been hit, though, and so have the Falcons.
It's very early in the season to speculate.
where's th'fish
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Oh, yeah! The Falcons, too. So far, we've been very lucky that way.
MexDolfan
Seasoned Veteran
In 2010, we started 2-0 on the road and it became nasty at home with just one win in Miami. I trust in Joe Philbin and crew and I think this team will be special at Sun Life Stadium, but some games are pretty hard like this week.
It will be fun to watch, but aside of numbers the rest of our schedule is very complicated so I keep my 10-6 expectations, that could be enough to make playoffs.
That team was also in the running for the playoffs with a 6-5 record through 11 games, when Chad Henne melted down and had a 62.7 QB rating over the remaining five games, with 7 INTs to only 4 TDs, and the team lost four of those games to finish 7-9. His QB rating previously that season was 82.5, with 11 INTs and 11 TDs.