Source: Miami Herald
PLAYOFF SCENARIOS
The Simple Plan
• Dolphins: They win the AFC East by beating Kansas City and the Jets.
• Jets: They win the division by beating Seattle and the Dolphins.
• Patriots: Their path to winning the division -- beat Arizona and Buffalo, hope the Jets or the Dolphins lose this week, then hope that whoever loses this week wins the season finale between those two.
Headache Time
• If the Dolphins lose to Kansas City and beat the Jets: They finish at 10-6 with a division record of 4-2 and a conference record of 7-5. Even if Indianapolis loses its two remaining games, the Colts will have an 8-4 conference record. So unless Baltimore loses both its remaining games (at Dallas, vs. Jacksonville), the wild card will be lost. That leaves the AFC East. The Dolphins will have split with the Jets, have the same division record, same conference record, but a better record against common opponents (9-3 vs. 7-5, at best). So they will need to hope New England loses at least the season finale to Buffalo to drop the Patriots to 10-6, at best, with a 3-3 division record, giving the Dolphins the AFC East on the division-record tiebreaker.
• If the Dolphins beat Kansas City but lose to the Jets: They finish at 10-6 with a division record of 3-3 and a conference record of 7-5. Under this scenario, again, they would need to hope Baltimore loses both remaining games to have a wild-card chance. As for the AFC East, the Dolphins wouldn't win the division. They would be, at best, in a tie with the Jets and would lose the first tiebreaker on head-to-head competition after the Jets' season-series sweep.
• If the Dolphins lose to Kansas City and the Jets: The kitchen is closed.