What Miami needs to do to win! | FinHeaven - Miami Dolphins Forums

What Miami needs to do to win!

Ray R

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I have examined our games quarterly results per game this season and see a simple stat that explains our losses with a little more detail then the final score.

When we fail to score in a quarter more then our opponents fail to score in quarter, then we lose the game.
This happened in 5 of the games that we lost.

When we tied our opponent in the number of quarters where one team didn't score, we won half of those games.

Based on this analysis, if we score every quarter, we can expect to win half those games. Since we were close to winning in one tie and two of our losses, that means we should be able to win ~1/3 of our ties.

All that means is we will win more then we loose if we score each quarter. This is a general assessment of what the quarterly scoring results tell us. The details of why we are not scoring each and every quarter at a higher rate then our opponents means our offense is a bigger part of our losses than our defense is.

We need to work on both, but the offense needs the most help. It is clear from our scoring patterns that we can score but are inconsistent at it. This points to game planning and the ability to change strategies' quickly as the game unfolds is what is holding back our offense. The fact that our defense isn't creating many scoreless quarters is a different problem. I don't know if it's a weakness in training, the middle linebackers skill set or some combination of both, but I think that is where the problem is.

There is some good news (I'm a homer and I do need to keep up appearances) - LOL
But there is some real good news in the quarterly analysis - Our number of scoreless quarters has been dropping since the Bill's game and we are now down to one scoreless quarter for our last two games.

Now "you all" (I've lived in NC almost 30 years and am beginning to pick up the lingo) can begin the "turd polishing" (useless refinement of over focused stats), "Lemming" wailings (I told you we stink) and whatever unfocused anger with the team leads you to.

Just remember that the "sky is not falling" according to my quarterly analysis. It may have fallen at the Bill's game, but we are improving more every game and the quarterly stats show that we are scoring more; and scoring more often. We are about to cross the bridge on the way to "Perfectville", which is where I assume we all really want to go.

For the record, here are the box scores so you can judge for yourself:

GameOpponent1st Qtr.2nd Qtr.3rd Qtr.4th Qtr.O.T. QtrScoreless Qtr.'sTeam w/most scoreless Qtr.'s Loses
#1Patriots01033"--"1Tie
Dolphins7370"--"1Tie
#2Bills140714"--"1
Dolphins0000"--"4Dolphins Lose
#3Raiders2107660
Dolphins14001132Dolphins Lose
#4Colts071010"--"1
Dolphins30014"--"2Dolphins Lose
#5Bucs717021"--"1
Dolphins10070"--"2Dolphins Lose
#6Jags3776"--"0
Dolphins7607"--"1Dolphins Lose
#7Falcons013710"--"1Tie
Dolphins07714"--"1Tie
 
Thanks must of took some time. We have a lot of issues, not clicking in any phase. We score more than them and we win
 
If we play football in all four quarters it increases our chances of winning.
 
Like every Dolphins fan here, I am greatly disappointed with our season once again. We were all thinking playoffs after a strong 10 win 2020 season and we have fallen backwards once again into the pit of mediocrity. Like always, there is plenty of people to point the finger at of why things have went south. The GM, the head coach, some of our overpaid players, and all are justified but they aren’t the main problem. The #1 problem and reason this franchise continues to fail over the past 20 years falls on the shoulders of the man who’s owned this team for the past 20 years and that’s Stephen Ross.
Think about it. This franchise has been an atrocity since Ross has taken over. We’ve had countless failed coaches, GM’s, QB’s. We’ve had numerous incidents involving coaches, players, etc that have brought our franchise negative publicity that we never had before his ownership. Every decision Ross has made has been a failure. He is a terrible owner. And like every franchise in all sports, when you have poor ownership you have a poor franchise. I’m a diehard Bucks and Brewers fan as well since I’m a Wisconsinite. Both of those franchises were terrible until they both got new ownership which turned out to be the right new ownership. And until this franchise gets new ownership we will continue to be stuck in a pit of never ending mediocrity because the man at the top of the mountain making the decisions is blind to everything he can see.
 
Good post.
But I didn’t think we were playoff team. Thought it would be close. Also now we are not mediocre. We are one of worst in league. Even Philbin and Gase kept seasons interesting till November.

Not even kidding.
I was looking at their records and they were always 3 -3 or 4–3. Or 2-4 at this point. This is worse than ever
 
Like every Dolphins fan here, I am greatly disappointed with our season once again. We were all thinking playoffs after a strong 10 win 2020 season and we have fallen backwards once again into the pit of mediocrity. Like always, there is plenty of people to point the finger at of why things have went south. The GM, the head coach, some of our overpaid players, and all are justified but they aren’t the main problem. The #1 problem and reason this franchise continues to fail over the past 20 years falls on the shoulders of the man who’s owned this team for the past 20 years and that’s Stephen Ross.
Think about it. This franchise has been an atrocity since Ross has taken over. We’ve had countless failed coaches, GM’s, QB’s. We’ve had numerous incidents involving coaches, players, etc that have brought our franchise negative publicity that we never had before his ownership. Every decision Ross has made has been a failure. He is a terrible owner. And like every franchise in all sports, when you have poor ownership you have a poor franchise. I’m a diehard Bucks and Brewers fan as well since I’m a Wisconsinite. Both of those franchises were terrible until they both got new ownership which turned out to be the right new ownership. And until this franchise gets new ownership we will continue to be stuck in a pit of never ending mediocrity because the man at the top of the mountain making the decisions is blind to everything he can see.
Good to see a fellow Wisconsinite here!!
Great Gatsby Movie GIF by Sony


And yes I agree about the ownership 100%. Ross has made a lot of horrible decisions since becoming owner.
 
Ross and Grier are the two common threads, presiding over year after year of failure. Their record speaks for itself. One playoff game in 13 years. Far below .500. It’s enough data to tell you all you need to know.
 
The #1 problem and reason this franchise continues to fail over the past 20 years falls on the shoulders of the man who’s owned this team for the past 20 years and that’s Stephen Ross.
Team ownership is the primary reason 90% of pro franchises in football, baseball, basketball, hockey etc.... do not have consistently winning records. It's very difficult to hire especially competent scouts, managers, coaches etc... The team owners give it their best try but it's not easy to have on the field success with a pro sports franchise.
 
Like every Dolphins fan here, I am greatly disappointed with our season once again. We were all thinking playoffs after a strong 10 win 2020 season and we have fallen backwards once again into the pit of mediocrity. Like always, there is plenty of people to point the finger at of why things have went south. The GM, the head coach, some of our overpaid players, and all are justified but they aren’t the main problem. The #1 problem and reason this franchise continues to fail over the past 20 years falls on the shoulders of the man who’s owned this team for the past 20 years and that’s Stephen Ross.
Think about it. This franchise has been an atrocity since Ross has taken over. We’ve had countless failed coaches, GM’s, QB’s. We’ve had numerous incidents involving coaches, players, etc that have brought our franchise negative publicity that we never had before his ownership. Every decision Ross has made has been a failure. He is a terrible owner. And like every franchise in all sports, when you have poor ownership you have a poor franchise. I’m a diehard Bucks and Brewers fan as well since I’m a Wisconsinite. Both of those franchises were terrible until they both got new ownership which turned out to be the right new ownership. And until this franchise gets new ownership we will continue to be stuck in a pit of never ending mediocrity because the man at the top of the mountain making the decisions is blind to everything he can see.

Ross bought the team in 2008-09. Other than that you are correct. He has been a horrendous owner. Wayne was bad but this clown is way worse. I want Grier and Flores gone but then I realize that there is little chance of Ross replacing them with competent people let alone winners. We are the Lions, Bears, Browns of recent years until Ross sells the team.
 
Thanks must of took some time. We have a lot of issues, not clicking in any phase. We score more than them and we win
True, the question is : why aren't we scoring more?

We had the same problem last year, but we won most of the time.

This year we have as many or more NFL level players and we still don't score enough. Our last two games show an increasing in scoring, but why? What is it we can capitalize on to win more games?

My analysis may be simplistic but it's factual and it shows we are not consistently scoring each quarter. It also shows the better teams are scoring consistently each quarter with a degree of regularity; so there is some method to my "madness" (I'm afraid any reference to mad on this forum is likely to either start a firestorm of self-justification or comments about my mental acumen).

At any rate, by breaking down the most obvious statistic (Won - Loss) to its next largest constituent part - the quarter- it's easier to see trends and other relationships. That is what I analyzed and where I found the potential issues I described.

I hope this helps.
 
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