TheDon74
42.7% of all statistics are made up
I've seen about 20 different threads talking about how we can still win the division (I'm guilty of doing one myself and stick by it as a possibility) So I got curious about the wildcard scenario for us. I did these in the order in which everyone currently stands for the two wildcard spots.
* currently own spot
*Steelers 6-3 Remaining teams record 25-39 (-14)
@KC, @Bal, Oak, @Cle, GB, Bal, Mia
So they sit in 1st for the wildcard and have the easiest schedule the rest of the way. I'm thinking they have one of the spots locked down and I'm hoping they win out (besides our game). With 2 games still remaining against Baltimore they can knock the Ravens out of the way for us. With any luck they have their seed locked up and are sitting starters come week 17.
*Chargers 6-3 Remaining teams record 28-35 (-7)
@Den, KC, @Cle, @Dal, Cin, @Tenn, Wash
They play Denver this weekend for the AFC West lead so this spot will be occupied by Den or SD come Monday. I am pulling for the Chargers to win because for one they own the tie breaker against us and I would rather just see them out of the wildcard and into the divisional leader column. The other reason is if Denver losses this game I can see them going into a total tailspin the rest of the way. Plus SD as you can see has the 2nd easiest schedule the rest of the way so them out of this race is most likely best for us. Oh and Chris Sims is starting for Denver so I really see the wheels coming off that team down the stretch.
Jags 5-4 Remaining teams record 33-31 (+2)
Buf, @SF, Hou, Mia, Indy, @NE, @Cle
We get to go heads up with them and they still have to play Indy, Hou and @NE. I feel pretty good about them falling out of the way
Ravens 5-4 Remaining teams record 33-30 (+3)
Indy, Pitt, @GB, Det, Chi, @Pitt, @Oak
If the Steelers can beat them twice for us it would be great plus they have Indy this week.
Texans 5-4 Remaining teams record 32-32 (E)
Tenn, Indy, @Jax, Sea, @Stl, @Mia, NE
Again we get to play them heads up and they still have Indy and NE
Dolphins 5-5 Remaining teams record 28-26 (+2)
@Buf, NE, @Jax, @Tenn, Hou, Pitt
Well non of this matters if we don't take care of our own business. We can maybe afford to lose one more game to stay in this but it better not be against the Jags or Texans or we would really shoot ourselves in the foot.
Jets 4-5 Remaining teams record 35-29 (+6)
@NE, Car, @Buf, @TB, Atl, @Indy, Cin
Even if they beat NE (doubt it but I hope they do) we of course own the tie breaker and they would still have Cin and @Indy, their done (imo)
So while it's a pretty tough road to hoe it is somewhat in our own hands. We get to play 3 of these guys heads up yet and they play each other a bit and will knock each other off. I understand that one teams loss mean another's win so the combinations would have to fall right.
I'm still of course holding out hope for the division and if your interested in my analysis of how that can happen here's the link. I did this before the Jets game and SO FAR it's playing out exactly the way I had hoped and predicted.
GO PHINS!!!
http://www.finheaven.com/forums/f2/we-will-still-win-the-division-260991.html
* currently own spot
*Steelers 6-3 Remaining teams record 25-39 (-14)
@KC, @Bal, Oak, @Cle, GB, Bal, Mia
So they sit in 1st for the wildcard and have the easiest schedule the rest of the way. I'm thinking they have one of the spots locked down and I'm hoping they win out (besides our game). With 2 games still remaining against Baltimore they can knock the Ravens out of the way for us. With any luck they have their seed locked up and are sitting starters come week 17.
*Chargers 6-3 Remaining teams record 28-35 (-7)
@Den, KC, @Cle, @Dal, Cin, @Tenn, Wash
They play Denver this weekend for the AFC West lead so this spot will be occupied by Den or SD come Monday. I am pulling for the Chargers to win because for one they own the tie breaker against us and I would rather just see them out of the wildcard and into the divisional leader column. The other reason is if Denver losses this game I can see them going into a total tailspin the rest of the way. Plus SD as you can see has the 2nd easiest schedule the rest of the way so them out of this race is most likely best for us. Oh and Chris Sims is starting for Denver so I really see the wheels coming off that team down the stretch.
Jags 5-4 Remaining teams record 33-31 (+2)
Buf, @SF, Hou, Mia, Indy, @NE, @Cle
We get to go heads up with them and they still have to play Indy, Hou and @NE. I feel pretty good about them falling out of the way
Ravens 5-4 Remaining teams record 33-30 (+3)
Indy, Pitt, @GB, Det, Chi, @Pitt, @Oak
If the Steelers can beat them twice for us it would be great plus they have Indy this week.
Texans 5-4 Remaining teams record 32-32 (E)
Tenn, Indy, @Jax, Sea, @Stl, @Mia, NE
Again we get to play them heads up and they still have Indy and NE
Dolphins 5-5 Remaining teams record 28-26 (+2)
@Buf, NE, @Jax, @Tenn, Hou, Pitt
Well non of this matters if we don't take care of our own business. We can maybe afford to lose one more game to stay in this but it better not be against the Jags or Texans or we would really shoot ourselves in the foot.
Jets 4-5 Remaining teams record 35-29 (+6)
@NE, Car, @Buf, @TB, Atl, @Indy, Cin
Even if they beat NE (doubt it but I hope they do) we of course own the tie breaker and they would still have Cin and @Indy, their done (imo)
So while it's a pretty tough road to hoe it is somewhat in our own hands. We get to play 3 of these guys heads up yet and they play each other a bit and will knock each other off. I understand that one teams loss mean another's win so the combinations would have to fall right.
I'm still of course holding out hope for the division and if your interested in my analysis of how that can happen here's the link. I did this before the Jets game and SO FAR it's playing out exactly the way I had hoped and predicted.
GO PHINS!!!
http://www.finheaven.com/forums/f2/we-will-still-win-the-division-260991.html