8. The Dolphins were never going to the playoffs in 2017, no matter the QB
The
Miami Dolphins were profoundly lucky last season.
They finished the year ranked 25th in FPI and 16th in overall efficiency. And they had a
negative point differential. Yet somehow, they squeaked into the postseason.
So no, FPI wasn't going to pick them to make the playoffs again with
Ryan Tannehill as quarterback. And FPI won't pick them to make the playoffs with
Jay Cutler either. It's not that the model thinks Cutler will be awful, it's just that he'll be at about the same level as Tannehill, maybe a tad worse -- and that, frankly, is not good enough to get this team to January.
Miami won 10 games last year. Expect just seven wins in 2017.