Threw down 2,500 on the over 7.5 wins!

Discussion in 'Miami Dolphins Forum' started by Crazysimon, Jun 2, 2012.

  1. Crazysimon

    Crazysimon Scout Team

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    Let's go fins!
     
  2. King Dingaling

    King Dingaling Well-Known Member

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    I hope you win it by week 9
     
  3. sinPHIN

    sinPHIN A True Fan

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    hope you win. wish i had money to throw around
     
  4. akfinfan

    akfinfan FinHeaven VIP

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    What's the payout? Just double?
     
  5. DuderinoN703

    DuderinoN703 We? What the **** we? Finheaven VIP Donator

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    You should've just given me that money. Why? Who cares? :d-day:
     
  6. JCane

    JCane Administrator Finheaven VIP Donator

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    Never bet with your heart.
     
  7. ANUFan

    ANUFan A True Fan Donator

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    Man good luck with that. The fins have been a strange team for along time! They are generally for me at least hard to predict. When you think they should win they tend to lose and when you think they have very little to no chance they tend to win. Over 7.5 games...thats tough and wouldn't surprise me in the least if they did achieve it!
     
    Last edited by a moderator: Jun 2, 2012
  8. MadDog 88

    MadDog 88 Smoke 'em Jay Finheaven VIP

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    Who did you bet it with?
     
  9. Burlington-phin

    Burlington-phin Member

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    good luck hope you win
     
  10. NY8123

    NY8123 Sophisticated Redneck Administrator Finheaven VIP

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    But you gotta bet a long shot now and again if so it might as well be a team from the heart.
     
  11. CANDolphan

    CANDolphan Seasoned Veteran

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    Not really, you should bet a long shot when you have proper information. Most betting sites aren't even giving a full 1:1 for over 7.5 wins, so he's not even betting a long shot. I'd bet the under, to be honest. It seems like easy money.
     
  12. SCall13

    SCall13 Finheaven QB

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    Threw down $5000. I feel good about it. Going to Afghanistan mid season. But It's going to happen.
     
  13. Phin-Omenon

    Phin-Omenon Ramblin' Man

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    I like it, you got some stones! I couldn't put that much on something I have no control over. However I think you made a good bet. Good luck.
     
  14. Nublar7

    Nublar7 Retired Finheaven VIP

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    Congrats in advance on your winnings. :up:
     
  15. allsilverdreams

    allsilverdreams Starter Finheaven VIP Donator

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    you must not bet to often.
     
  16. PhillyFin4621

    PhillyFin4621 Rookie

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    I hope you win.. Everyone can't throw $2,500 on the fins and be like F it..
     
  17. MDFINFAN

    MDFINFAN Reach for the Stars Super Donator Donator

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    What bad economy? Please email me what you do..I need some extra cash..LOL
     
  18. Danny68

    Danny68 Dolphins on 3! Super Donator Finheaven VIP Donator

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    Guaranteed Win!!
     
  19. roy_miami

    roy_miami 2020 cant get here soon enough Donator

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    Good luck.

    The first hurdle will be to see who's named the starting QB. I think Garrard is your best chance at getting over 7.5 and Moore is a close second, but if Tannehill is named the starter I think we're officially getting ready for next season.
     
    Last edited by a moderator: Jun 3, 2012
  20. Dsteve

    Dsteve Well-Known Member

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    prob should have waited a little longer to see who the qb is.
     
  21. Semedi

    Semedi Pro Bowler

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    [​IMG]
     

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  22. Clipse

    Clipse mediocrity sucks

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    This. Safe bet you won't be seeing that money again.
     
  23. CalDolFan10x14

    CalDolFan10x14 Your QB for the next 10 years. Finheaven VIP Donator

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    Going at least .500 won't be a tough task this season, IMO. I would definitely throw some money on that if I could...and yea I get all that ''bet with your heart'' stuff, but hell Moore led is to 6 wins in the second half of the season. No reason to think he can't do that and a couple more through the season with an easier schedule.
     
  24. SuperMarksBros.

    SuperMarksBros. Formerly Fiedler for MVP

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    Las Vegas empire is built on suckers pissing their money away.
     
  25. Thumper1016

    Thumper1016 A True Fan

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    Good luck bro, I wouldnt be able to handle losing that kind of money on a bet.
     
  26. ITS!MATEO

    ITS!MATEO A True Fan

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    Would tell you good luck, but i'm sure you got this bet by a couple games :brewskis:
     
  27. Manning2012

    Manning2012 Active Member

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    die hard, hope u win bro
     
  28. roy_miami

    roy_miami 2020 cant get here soon enough Donator

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    I wonder how often they change the line by a full game or more on these things? like if they change the line to 8.5 you could bet 2500 on the under and have a freeroll to win 5k if we go exactly 8-8.
     
  29. MDphinfan02

    MDphinfan02 Well-Known Member

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    Dude you are nuts!! But when we go 11-5 you will be the mannnnnnn
     
  30. Stefins

    Stefins Just a Dolphins Fan

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    I just wish I had an extra $250 to bet!
    Good luck....
     
  31. Awsi Dooger

    Awsi Dooger A True Fan

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    Very seldom. You either have to guess correctly from the outset -- "taking a lead" -- or get an immediate jump on the line when an unusual situation occurs, like a key injury that will drive the number down, or a major trade that could drive it up. Normally the trades are rumored for several days, at minimum, and the over/under might be taken off the board as a precaution.

    My friends and I did get a jump on a number this year -- Cleveland under 6. It's as low as 4.5 now. But the middle is hardly free. We had to pay -120 on the under 6. To play the over 4.5 right now costs a minimum of -130. So you are cutting into potential profit if your initial wager was correct and the "hedge" or "middle" bet loses, i.e. Cleveland wins 4 games or fewer.

    I still have no idea why anyone would jump on the Dolphins over 7.5 in the early going. It's not a bargain, by any stretch, and the number figures to go down, if anything. There are already some spots using 7 with juice on the over. To tie up money for 7 months or more you need a theoretical advantage that matches or exceeds your other options for those funds, like simply putting it in a bank. I don't see how Miami over 7.5 offers that type of edge. I guess it sounds cute on message boards among fellow fans.

    Here is a link that lists every team and the consensus over/under number and juice. You'll note the Dolphins are 7.5 under forty, which translates to -140 on under 7.5 and +120 on over 7.5. I hope the OP managed +120 or better. Otherwise he's already worse off than anyone who walked into a sportsbook today and decided to bet the Dolphins over.

    At far right is the betting trend. It's extremely early, and low volume, but you'll note the trend on Miami is overwhelmingly under -- 95% to 5% over. That's what I mean, no reason to rush. If the widespread instinct is under and you are betting over, it doesn't make a fleck of sense to play now. Let them move it your way.

    http://props.scoresandodds.com/sect...ered a Loss)&sporttype=510&startdate=6/4/2012
     
  32. roy_miami

    roy_miami 2020 cant get here soon enough Donator

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    Didn't check out the site yet but if I was forced to bet on the Dolphins I would bet the under just to take advantage of the line dropping to 6.5 or lower in case tannehill is named the starter or we suffer some big injuries. There is no way its going to move up from 7.5.
     
  33. NY8123

    NY8123 Sophisticated Redneck Administrator Finheaven VIP

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    It is what it is, a bet. If you're not prepared to loss it then don't bet it. If you're going to bet a long shot might as well be for a team you root for. There are plenty of other ways to win your cash back with better odds and lines.
     
  34. lotion

    lotion Jane Gum

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    Good bet. What do you get on the over ?
     
  35. Tunaphish429

    Tunaphish429 1st Ballot Hall of Famer Donator

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    Not gonna be easy to get to 8 wins..Good luck tho.
     
  36. ticalian

    ticalian Member

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    Say goodbye to $2500
     
  37. Zounds

    Zounds CPA4LYFE Donator

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    I'd say its a pretty fair bet....50% chance Miami can finish 8-8 imo
     
  38. Crazysimon

    Crazysimon Scout Team

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    So it looks like I made a huge mistake. I put my young families situation in jeopardy for this team. CRAP. I need things to turn around.
     
  39. PinecrestFinFan

    PinecrestFinFan Member

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    If you considered this as one of the wins when you made the bet, then yes you did make a mistake.
     
  40. dolfan_101

    dolfan_101 A True Fan

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    wait... seriously?? i recommend some serious counseling of a multitude of varieties homes.
     

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