With 1st round draft pick the Miami Dolphins will select a guy in this list... | FinHeaven - Miami Dolphins Forums

With 1st round draft pick the Miami Dolphins will select a guy in this list...

MexDolfan

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Adam Schefter has announced in his twitter account (@AdamSchefter) a list of players invited to NFL draft: Luke Joeckel, Geno Smith, EJ Manuel, Chance Warmack, Bjoern Werner, Jonathan Cooper, Sharrif Floyd, Lane Johnson, Ezekial Ansah, Kenny Vaccaro, DJ Fluker, Eric Fisher, Menelik Watson, Cordarrelle Patterson, Xavier Rhodes, Tavon Austin, Margus Hunt, Barkevious Mingo, Dee Milliner.

NFL.com's official list of attendees for upcoming draft event: Ezekiel "Ziggy" Ansah, DE, BYU; Tavon Austin, WR, West Virginia; Jonathan Cooper, G, North Carolina; Eric Fisher, T, Central Michigan; Shariff Floyd, DT, Florida; D.J. Fluker, T, Alabama; Luke Joeckel, T, Texas A&M; Lane Johnson, T, Oklahoma; Dion Jordan, DE, Oregon; Eddie Lacy, RB, Alabama; E.J. Manuel, QB, Florida St.; Dee Milliner, CB, Alabama; Barkevoius Mingo, CB, LSU; Cordarrelle Patterson, WR, Tennessee; Eric Reid, S, LSU; Xavier Rhodes, CB, Florida St.; Sheldon Richardson, DT, Missouri; Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia; Desmond Trufant, CB, Washington; Kenny Vaccaro, S, Texas; Chance Warmack, G, Alabama; Menelik Watson, T, Florida St.; Bjoern Werner, DE, Florida St.

With Dolphins requiring to expose new jersey on national TV, there almost certainty Miami will be picking a guy within that list.

That said this is my analysis on each guy:
Prospect nameAnalysisProbability
Bjoern WernerA defensive piece that makes sense as pass rusher.9.00%
Lane JohnsonSeveral draft specialist have mocked him as top 10 pick, so Miami would have to trade up some spots to get him.8.50%
Ezekial AnsahHis lack of experience could lead him to be available and he's a better option than Werner.8.00%
OtherThinking some BPA on the draft board could be out of the refered list, let's say Tyler Eifert or Star Lotulelei.8.00%
Xavier RhodesI think this draft class is deep on DB talent. I gave him some probability because many persons are mocking him as BPA.7.00%
Margus HuntI think this is another fine option for pass rush.7.00%
Barkevious MingoA fine DE/OLB that would fit on our defensive rotation.7.00%
Chance WarmackA great value that would fortify our O-line but would no excite fan base.7.00%
Desmond TrufantI disagree about taking a DB here, there's gonna be similar players in next rounds.6.00%
DJ FlukerHe's the 4th top tackle of the class, and could represent a decent way for filling a need.6.00%
Jonathan CooperThis could be safety net once Dolphins lost top O-liners.5.50%
Kenny VaccaroA baller, but I don't see him as a true upgrade over our young safeties.5.00%
Tavon AustinGreat talent, but a slot receiver should be a priority for lower rounds.4.00%
Dee MillinerA Utopian option. This is the only DB talent that would justify jumping up into top 6.3.00%
Sheldon RichardsonGreat DT, but he's out of my radar as he doesn't look like a NT to me.3.00%
Cordarrelle PattersonHe's a sexy pick but with all free agency additions it looks like a wasted pick.2.00%
Sharrif FloydI don't see Miami Dolphins trading up for him and only great fortune would place him available at 12th spot.2.00%
Eric FisherFor some analysts he's the best tackle and everybody is projecting him at top 5 spots. Like Joeckel he is a long shot.1.00%
Luke JoeckelWould require a huge effort to jump to 1st overall pick. Pretty unlikely.0.50%
Menelik WatsonThis British athlete would be so overdrafted at 12th spot. Only some unknown fact would lead Ireland to pick him.0.50%
Eddie LacyIt's clear Ireland and crew will add a RB within 2013 class. It's also clear that won't happen at 12th spot.0.00%
EJ ManuelI don't see Dolphins picking a QB on first round.0.00%
Geno SmithLike I said, no QB. And this guy is a poor man's version of Ryan Tannehill. NEXT!0.00%
Total100.00%

I've updated this post adjusting probabilities.
 
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I think that list is subject to change. Schefter said as of right now, that was the list. But, if they were to choose one of those players, I am either trading up for LJ, or drafting Austin. LJ is my #1, but I still would like to see them go after Eifert before Austin.
 
Not a lineman... CB or DE or TE or WR. Lineman will def be 2nd pick.
 
There is no way that the team would limit themselves to those guys. Absolutely no way. Not saying they won't draft any of them, but if they get an amazing offer to trade down get get some crazy high draft picks for next year, they may take it. Having a guy come up and hold up the jersey isn't worth passing up on a better trade/player who isn't there. That is ridiculous.
 
Miami is not going to select somebody just to unveil a new jersey. If they pick someone in attendance it's because he is at the top of their board.
 
nah.. the entire list isnt first rounders and that doesnt even include Eifert.
 
i am not trading up for anyone .... i stay at 12, and if our targeets are all gone - then try and fall back a few slots to pick up at least 1 other day 2 pick. then maybe parlay our picks into 5 top 64 picks (later RD1 and 4 RD 2 picks) ...
 
Miami will (hopefully) choose the best player for their team out there, not just pick someone so they can show off the new jersey. There'll be plenty of time to market the new jersey during the preseason and season. Plus, its not like a ton of people are gonna buy the rookie's jersey because it looks cool if we draft a OT or CB or whatever. Most people buy position players' jerseys.
 
Miami is not going to select somebody just to unveil a new jersey. If they pick someone in attendance it's because he is at the top of their board.
Don't discount the merchandise impact of this.

Team can make whatever special event aside of Draft event, but being a National TV event it's critical for our FO to expose the new jersey at Radio Music Hall.

That's for the business side of it, the sports side agrees about picking BPA.
 
lmao at the thought that Miami makes a pick to get the jersey on TV.
 
It's a pretty comprehensive list, but a couple of those guys could be 2nd rounders like Hunt. Looking at Miami's biggest weaknesses as of now it's CB opposite Grimes and offensive tackle. The Dolphins need to find some offensive guards as well to develop behind Igcognito and Louis, who are both on 1-year contracts. And, we can't forget pass rusher which could be the team's #1 target.
 
I think MexDolfan is probably right about the thread premise, though. They do want to unveil the new jersey at the draft. How are the invites sent out?
 
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