In this thread I will post college stats for the QBs eligible in this draft, as well as stats for some QBs in the past drafts going back to 2009, maybe 2008. For the past drafts, I will not examine a lot of QB but just the ones who were drafted--call it a sample size. For the 2018 draft, we will look at as many Qbs as we can. PURPOSE: The primary purpose is basically to predict the QB success in transitioning from college to NFL based largely on college stats. The secondary purpose is to have data on hand for choice evaluation of QBs. ANALYSIS: To evaluate QBs I will analyze them by setting specific benchmark values to their college stats. I will RED flag data that does not meet the benchmark value. I will also YELLOW flag borderline values. In addition, I will GREEN flag exceptional data. BENCHMARKS: They are set by trial and error to get the best predictive fit. For the purposes of this analysis I will use Carson Wentz as the standard. I will only look at the senior year of production. NOTE: Obviously you are free to set benchmarks if you wish as you like in your own analysis. But, I am going to set my benchmarks in this thread. In addition, you are free to arrive at your own conclusions about Qbs based on the stats. I will share my conclusions. We are dealing with stats here, which are facts, no opinions, and even though the benchmarks are arbitrary, they will be applied to everyone equally. So, if anyone feels there is bias in arbitrary benchmarking, it is applied equally to all. DATA: I will benchmark the following data: ATTEMPTS, COMPLETION PERCENTAGE, ATT/Sack, ATT/int. ATT/TD. and I will introduce a new field and call it RELIABILITY. Reliability will be calculated as: Completions percentage x ATT/SK x ATT/int divided by ATT/TD. BENCHMARKS will be as follows: Yellow flag - borderline Red Flag - poor Green flag - exceptional ATTEMPTS: Should be over 350 Yellow flag 280-350 Red Flag under 280 COMPLETION PERCENTAGE: Should be between 63% and 67.5% Yellow flag 61-63% Red flag below 61% and over 67.5% ATT/SK: Should be 17.9 and over Yellow flag is 17-17.89 Red flag is under 17 Green flag is 34 and over ATT/INT: Should be over 35.8 Yellow flag is between 34 and 35.79 Red flag is under 34 Green flag is over 70 ATT/TD Should be under 14 Yellow flag is between 14 and 16 Red flag is over 16 Green flag is less than 10.5 RELIABILITY: Should be 28.5 to 70 Yellow flag is between 70 and 117 Red flag is under 28.5 and over 117 In addition, I will introduce a few more benchmarks: AGE: should not be 24 and older on draft day WINNING: must have a good winning record, nor borderline 6-6, or 7-6 ONE-YEAR: Cannot have one year of production in college. CHAMP: I will also give weight to National Champions over those who are not, if they clear the benchmarks. Based on the above benchmarks, I will deem quarterbacks undraftable who have red flags, or mutliple yellow flags, unless there is a green flag to offset some value. Those who do not have red flags, or have green flags that offset red flags will be deemed draftable. (I posted this on some other dolfan sites, so if you have seen it before, this is a more elaborate explanation of the methodology. I will not offer the spreadsheet for viewing but the data will be posted in the thread as a post.) Again, this is an open forum math/data exercise, so please do not get mad if I scratch your favorite QB because I am too strict. I also like some traits for quarterbacks who will inevitably get scratched. This does not mean that a QB should be drafted, it just means that I would not draft that QB. Lets get to it, and look at some quarterbacks.