There are alot of people getting on Sparano over this game, but I believe this play call deserves its own thread.
Let's analyze the situation here.
3rd and literally 3-4 inches at the NYJ 41 yard line. You are playing a jets defense who has struggled against the run all year, and has a great pass defense. Your quarterback is Matt Moore, who is by from a top tier QB. The success rate of picking up the first down with the QB sneak is conservatively 90% with the distance that needed to be gained. Passing roughly 50%. If the first down is picked up only 6-8 more yards need to picked up to give Carpenter a chance for a FG that he would make more times than not.
The playcall is a conventional pass- incomplete. Sparano then decides to punt with inches to go @NYJ41 yard line. Why throw the ball with inches to go at the jets41 if you're going to punt the ball? Great punt, but sequence of events is beyond beyond mind boggling.
This is not about being an armchair quarterback, anyone who is relatively good at math knows the play call didn't give them the highest probability to succeed.
Flat out mind-boggling.
Let's analyze the situation here.
3rd and literally 3-4 inches at the NYJ 41 yard line. You are playing a jets defense who has struggled against the run all year, and has a great pass defense. Your quarterback is Matt Moore, who is by from a top tier QB. The success rate of picking up the first down with the QB sneak is conservatively 90% with the distance that needed to be gained. Passing roughly 50%. If the first down is picked up only 6-8 more yards need to picked up to give Carpenter a chance for a FG that he would make more times than not.
The playcall is a conventional pass- incomplete. Sparano then decides to punt with inches to go @NYJ41 yard line. Why throw the ball with inches to go at the jets41 if you're going to punt the ball? Great punt, but sequence of events is beyond beyond mind boggling.
This is not about being an armchair quarterback, anyone who is relatively good at math knows the play call didn't give them the highest probability to succeed.
Flat out mind-boggling.
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