Of course, you have to have employees and players that take up the cause to support the CEO or HC, but the culture of the company starts at the top. If you have a CEO/HC that no one respects, the company will not succeed long term and good people will leave or worse yet stay and quit. Thats the Dolphins. No one is held accountable, players do what they want, they don't buy in, but they stick around go through the motions and collect their paychecks. No cohesion. No North Star. It's well known around the league, based on other players and pundit comments over the years that you punch the Dolphins in the mouth and knock them down, they are probably not getting up.
Chris Perkins: Step by Step guide to fixing Fins Culture
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All of the things you wrote are player problems. A HC is basically powerless to “instill” anything. He can vocalize his visions for the team, but if the players do what you wrote here there’s nothing the HC can do about that.
Everyone thought, including me, that BB was some sort of hard ass that kept his players in line. As soon as Brady left we saw who really kept those players in line… it was Brady.
I don't have to explain anything except what I already have. You can cherry pick if you want to. The FACTS are he was fired because of performance, cutting off conversation with his coaches the last month and a half of the season, and going on a complete power trip, while firing every player or coach that questioned him in any way.
You do know it is a full season right? So those huge losing streaks he had every year are just as important as the winning streaks he had because together they NEVER were good enough to get us in the playoffs. THEN he has the audacity to play the race card nationally and then spill the supposed beans on the organization after he was fired, when he clearly had no issues working for them when this was supposedly happening. The dude is a no accountability race card playing POS.
Mello Yello
Active Roster
Tua was 13-8 (61.9%) starting for Flores as a rookie or 2nd player player on one of the youngest rebuild franchises.
Tua is 25-16 (60.9%) starting for McDaniel as a 3rd to 5th year veteran trading nearly 2 drafts for veterans on win-now deals.
I had to do a little research after reading this. Great little nugget there!
Check this out. I looked at Tua's passer ratings under both HCs:
Flores
W - 96.9
L - 76.7
McDaniel
W - 111.9
L - 85.1
So, we can definitely say that the passing game was more efficient under McDaniel, both in the wins (which were way better) and in the losses. Unfortunately, I cannot say exactly how these bumps in passer rating correlate with win%. I would guess both are appreciable...even the 8-points in the losses.
Here's what I noticed that scared me...
#1
Tua has never had a season where his passer rating didn't dip in the final weeks. I looked at as many (regular season) games as I could from December thru early January and noticed the following:
2020: 7 point drop in passer rating
2021: 12 point drop in passer rating
2022: 23 point drop in passer rating
2023: 13 point drop in passer rating
2024: 15 point drop in passer rating
Flores years:
9.5-point drop in passer rating at the end of the season. This is a drop of ~10%.
McDaniel years:
17.1-point drop in passer rating at the end of the season. This is a drop of ~17%.
I know there are a lot of narratives about teammates being injured but this is every single season for 5 years in a row! This does not speak to a guy who's game can elevate on the biggest stage.
#2
Tua has a career rating of ~98 against both the Jets and Pats. That's roughly 87 during the Flores era and 105 during the McDaniel era. He's always been at or above his seasonal average against the Jets and Pats.
That makes sense since neither team is particularly good.
Unfortunately, there has always been a marked drop against the Bills. This is independent of whether we're looking at the Flores or McDaniel data. Tua's just worse against the Bills, often to the point of being really bad:
Career vs Bills: 80 rating....that's 18 points lower than his career rating!
Flores era: 60 (a drop of roughly 33%)
McDaniel era: 95 (a drop of roughly 7%)
While that doesn't look too bad in the McDaniel era, it still confirms that Tua is repeatedly struggling against our biggest adversary. Moreover, Tua's Buffalo numbers in the McDaniel era are heavily bolstered by the 2022 data where his ratings were actually great versus Buffalo. However, over the last couple of years his ratings against Buffalo aren't great: 93, 63, 57, 125.
Point is, he's too often playing expressly bad football against Buffalo. Now, this may be in line with the rest of the NFL...Buffalo does have a good defense!
In any case, I think he's got to find a way to eliminate those expressly awful games and turn them into something more respectable. He's not the only reason we're losing to Buffalo but he's not always helping. It's getting to the point where I think Buffalo looks forward to playing Miami largely because they kind of do well against Tua...
...that's not good.
For their careers, Tua has a 91 PR average in Dec. Josh Allen has a 92 PR. Mahomes has a 96 PR.
And we really should look at comparing competition against the same/like teams. What if Allen played mostly bottom half defenses while Tua played mostly top half? We’d expect a PR to fall when playing better defenses.
Rick Cartman
It is what it is
Six years into this, I'm glad the main objective is now playoff advancement.
Like the Panthers with Dale Tallon, this probably isn't going to turnaround until Grier is gone.
Like the Panthers with Dale Tallon, this probably isn't going to turnaround until Grier is gone.
That's a very important question. Playing from behind is not the same as playing with a lead, for both the offense and the defense. We must also factor in the health and general quality of the OL at the time, and the presence of a running game. Add in an offensive system that is difficult to communicate in road environments, and it's a wonder that the stats don't look worse.
In 2023, the Dolphins had 6 games in Dec/Jan. with 3 against teams with defenses ranked 1st, 4th, and 5th. (50% against top 5 defenses). Tua had a 98, 71, and 62 PR’s in those games.
Buffalo had 5 games in Dec/Jan with 2 against teams with the 2nd and 5th ranked defenses. (40% against top 5 defenses). Allen had a 68 and 89 PR against those 2.
Tua had a 98 against Dallas and Allen had an 89 against them.
Virginia99
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How come he's not a HC
How come he's not a HC right now?
That season the Pats (with Brady) went 2-4 in Dec. The Pats, by the time they played Miami in the second game, had already beaten Miami 48-0 and had 12 wins and the division and seeding all locked up.
I think you are unequivocally wrong...so I will agree to disagree. On to the next...
Mello Yello
Active Roster
I actually did some research about 6 months ago looking at comparing Tua to other "elites" like Mahomes, Jackson, Burrow and Allen.
I studied the data available within the McDaniel era...looking at the '22 - '24 seasons.
I looked at how well the offenses of those teams scored against all the defenses they faced (good & bad).
To address the question you're asking, I was able to highlight the better (scoring) defenses and measure how far above the norm those "elite offenses" were...
+6.7 ppg - Bills
+6.5 ppg - Bengals
+5.3 ppg - Ravens
+4.9 ppg - Chiefs
+3.3 ppg - Dolphins
So the Dolphins are scoring more than the average against "elite defenses" but they are not as good as the best teams in those difficult situations.
I do suspect that Tua has something to do with this. I find it hard to believe that Tua will ever be the best QB option in the most adverse physical circumstances.
Make of it what you will.
...and for the record:
-1.7 ppg - Chargers
Yes, that's negative, as in, below the average.
Mello Yello
Active Roster
I think the high-level leadership is really making what we'd call business / strategic decisions. By defining the priorities of the company, there exist trickle down effects that shape and re-shape the roles, responsibilities and ultimately the experiences of the employees.
In that analogy, the high-level leadership of a football team (Ownership, the FO & HC) are defining the priorities.
An Owner who's actively involved may decide he wants a Franchise QB no matter what.
A Front Office acting on that directive may decide to tank & target a QB with the first pick.
The HC may be selected to optimize the development of that QB. He will decide what the players need to learn and will hire coaches to teach that, coordinating among the coaches what is being delivered to the team.
I agree that leadership has a profound effect on what we see / experience as fans, but I also understand that the motivation of the MLB isn't coming from his intimate relationship with the Owner, the GM or the HC.
In the end, everything matters and it's a game of momentum. You want your MLB feeling like he's invested because he believes the team can win. There was no lack of effort on the '22 team that surged into the Playoffs. That defense nearly won us a Playoff game against Buffalo on the road.
People lose faith when things start failing. The constant offensive injuries to the QB, OL and more lately the WRs does a lot to disrupt the momentum that keeps players in line.
Do you have each QB’s respective passer ratings in those games. I posted a graph showing EPA for each QB drafted in 2020 against top 10 passing defenses and Tua was second behind Burrow.I actually did some research about 6 months ago looking at comparing Tua to other "elites" like Mahomes, Jackson, Burrow and Allen.
I studied the data available within the McDaniel era...looking at the '22 - '24 seasons.
I looked at how well the offenses of those teams scored against all the defenses they faced (good & bad).
To address the question you're asking, I was able to highlight the better (scoring) defenses and measure how far above the norm those "elite offenses" were...
+6.7 ppg - Bills
+6.5 ppg - Bengals
+5.3 ppg - Ravens
+4.9 ppg - Chiefs
+3.3 ppg - Dolphins
So the Dolphins are scoring more than the average against "elite defenses" but they are not as good as the best teams in those difficult situations.
I do suspect that Tua has something to do with this. I find it hard to believe that Tua will ever be the best QB option in the most adverse physical circumstances.
Make of it what you will.
...and for the record:
-1.7 ppg - Chargers
Yes, that's negative, as in, below the average.