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Dolphin Playoff Chances

How likely is it that the Dolphins make the playoffs

  • Total voters
    183
  • Poll closed .
roy_miami said:
I think we need to win all four and even that might not be enough. That loss to Baltimore is really going to come back to haunt us like many of us predicted at the time.
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There's no way Baltimore goes 3-1. 10-6 gets us in IMO. But yeah, that Baltimore loss was devistating.
 
I went with 30%, largely because of Baltimore having the tiebreaker. Even if the Dolphins finish 3-1 in their last 4, the Ravens still have to lose twice. And in that scenario, if the Dolphins' 1 loss was to the Steelers or Jets, then we'd have to count on them losing at least 1 as well. I know it's obvious but it would have been REALLY nice if the Dolphins had found a way to close one or more of those games they blew after leading late in the 4th quarter (Bills, Bucs, Panthers).

I'd be interested to know what all goes into these play-off probability calculations, and how heavily different statistics are weighted.
 
40 percent here. It all hinges on Pitt IMO. We beat them they are eliminated, if not they are alive.
Baltimore should lose twice. It would be freaking awesome if they lost at Minnesota this week!
I could see Baltimore going 3-1 and getting in. But I could see them going 1-3, in that case 8-8 gets us in (if we beat Pitt)
 
Went with 0% just to mess with everyone....lol.......there's always a chance but they need to prove they can win when they have to and over the years they have let us down time an again. Hope this time is different.

Ozzy rules!!
 
Of course we make the playoffs!!! How the **** else is Ireland going to stick around???
 
70% because I assume we win Sunday. If we lose then I will have to reevaluate down to 30%
 
Well I went and said 90%....but it came with a caveat that we win this Sunday which I think we will. Sure, part of it is because I tend to be a homer and a glass half filled kind of fan. But on the other hand, I see the defense playing better, and the oline is starting to play better as well. Add to the fact that RT seems to be scrambling a tad bit more and I really think this team is playing its best ball as a whole, I feel strongly that we will in fact finish out 3-1 winning against Pitt, Bills, and Jets. Go Fins!!!!
 
I went with 70 because Miami's schedule compared to the others looks pretty favorable, but will be pretty tough (@Steelers, 2nd shot at the Pats in Miami, @Bills, shot to sweep Jets in Miami).

We beat the Pats, I raise my % to 90.
 
My instinct is 35%. I went with 30% here, since there are so many teams still in play. I prefer to tilt low than high in a situation like that.

Three divisional games means we aren't likely to get lucky and catch someone napping. Those divisional opponents always want to smack you or ruin you, even if they are done for the season.
 
Miami, Baltimore, and Pittsburgh all have about a 30% chance each according to statistical modeling to get that last spot.

Beating Pittsburgh is absolutely critical. All of the remaining games are huge, but this one perhaps the biggest.
 
geez, win a game 23-3 and fanboys get all "jergens & tissue box" crazy. we lose to Pitt and its back to thumb sucking in the dark again
 
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