ESPN's Football Power Index ratings are live. Let's predict the 2025 season, including playoff chances for 32 teams and potential draft order.
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Can any of the other AFC East teams challenge the Bills?
They
could, but no individual team is particularly likely to do so. Buffalo is the only AFC East team with a positive FPI rating and would be considered more than a four-point favorite over each of the other three on a neutral field. And the Bills have a 65% chance to win their division -- the highest of any team in the NFL by a hefty margin.
Of course, that leaves more than a 1-in-3 chance that someone else will win the AFC East. That's mainly due to the uncertainty of football -- the FPI might be overrating the Bills or underrating someone else, or one of the other teams could luck into the division title despite not being as good as Buffalo overall.
But that variance will always be there. In the meantime, the Bills are again in as good a position as it gets to win their division.