Almost have to worry about Dorian looping back.....
Adv 29; 11am
View attachment 23788
That forecast track is still on the careful side. Most models have Dorian turn faster/earlier but a couple of forecast models and some ensemble members still show a little later turn so the NHC while shifting it further East was not as aggressive.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT5+shtml/311456.shtml?
Dorian is now pretty much exactly East of West Palm Beach (approx 400 miles) and the winds have increased to 150mph. Eye is 15 miles in diameter.
Dorian is still a small and tight Hurricane with tropical storm force winds up to 50 miles out and hurricane force winds 25 miles out. And that won't change too much during the forecast period.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCMAT5+shtml/311455.shtml?
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT5+shtml/311455.shtml?
Everything south of Boynton Beach (on the East side of Florida) is now outside the cone.
View attachment 23792
I think our resident Bahamanian
@tylerdolphin is on Spanish Wells which should be far enough south of Dorian. I am not sure about
@Bahamafin and
@BahamaFinFan78. Mabe they can check in with us.