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Dorian and Hurricane Preperation

By the speed, I think the amount of rain is going to be the biggest issue for a larger group...the amount of time it is going to take to go up Florida is going rough for a lot of people. (I'm not discounting those that will be impacted by the wind, which will be devastating for many).
 
Michael Scott said:
FH meteorologists, what do you think the effects will be in West Pines if that track proves accurate?

Have a feeling we're going to get a consensus later this evening, or late tonight.
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West Pines like in Pembroke Pines? Some wind....rain. If that track would hold up like the 11am update predicts it probably would be a strong Florida thunderstorm with some higher wind gusts, maybe some minimal tropical storm force winds. But it is hard to determine 4-5 days out.
FSU Truth said:
By the speed, I think the amount of rain is going to be the biggest issue for a larger group...the amount of time it is going to take to go up Florida is going rough for a lot of people. (I'm not discounting those that will be impacted by the wind, which will be devastating for many).
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Actually the last two advisories gave me hope. They are not as bad as one would think. The forecast models are pretty much in sync up to 3 days. And the question is: will Dorain keep the speed and is lifted to the north as predicted. Is it slowing just a tad and is lifted north earlier missing Florida all together. Or does Dorian speed up and the north turn happens later.
Right now the hope should be a slow down or at least hold the speed.

Like I said earlier: outside the size difference Dorain's forecast mirrors so much Floyd in 1999.
 
I thought he might have meant Pembroke Pines, but I've never heard of anybody calling it West Pines. Pretty much all of Pembroke Pines is West, lol.

I'm hoping to not lose power in Plantation. If I do, I'm heading for a hotel until it's back on (hopefully close, but I don't care how far or in what direction). Not dealing with this heat and humidity.
 
circumstances said:
I thought he might have meant Pembroke Pines, but I've never heard of anybody calling it West Pines. Pretty much all of Pembroke Pines is West, lol.

I'm hoping to not lose power in Plantation. If I do, I'm heading for a hotel until it's back on (hopefully close, but I don't care how far or in what direction). Not dealing with this heat and humidity.
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Yeah, it probably more like someone says "I live in West Boca". There is no such thing as West Boca. It is more a description of the unincorporated area (outside city limits) of Boca Raton. There is even a West Boca High School and a West Boca Medical center. :lol:
 
Phew, been a long night and day. This storm is giving everyone fits but it appears we've settled on the bullseye as between Southern Blvd -> Indiantown Road (either Mar a Lago or Jupiter Inlet) depending what you believe will result of the warm and shallow combination once this slow as hell storm.

Its going to be an insanely wet storm for those of us south of the eye. They're expecting 20-25 inches of rain over 12 hours at PBI, based off the state rep who is sitting with us.

We've given the nod to deploy over 25,000 linemen. If you see a lineman or a vegetation clearance specialist, say hi and be cool. These dudes' jobs suck.
 
I am not at home so I can't post pictures but the latest forecast has landfall further north followed by an immediate turn to the north. Looks indeed like Dorian is slow enough to let the ridge pass by. Every little deviation could change that though.
 
phins_4_ever said:
I am not at home so I can't post pictures but the latest forecast has landfall further north followed by an immediate turn to the north. Looks indeed like Dorian is slow enough to let the ridge pass by. Every little deviation could change that though.
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As I've been saying, pulling for a clean miss.

This ain't my first (or 20th) rodeo.
 
circumstances said:
As I've been saying, pulling for a clean miss.

This ain't my first (or 20th) rodeo.
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Absolutely. Considering the natural movement of hurricanes and the tendency to move along the perimeter of a ridge the chances have increased that it might miss. The NHC used the word 'offshore' for the first time when talking about a possible track. But the slightest deviation can change that.
 
phins_4_ever said:
Absolutely. Considering the natural movement of hurricanes and the tendency to move along the perimeter of a ridge the chances have increased that it might miss. The NHC used the word 'offshore' for the first time when talking about a possible track. But the slightest deviation can change that.
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Which was the one everyone was convinced was going to whop us, then it wobbled and went up the east coast a few miles offshore? Matthew? Like 5 years ago.
 
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