Dorian and Hurricane Preperation

[phins_4_ever]

Which was the one everyone was convinced was going to whop us, then it wobbled and went up the east coast a few miles offshore? Matthew? Like 5 years ago.

Might have been. But the most famous one will always be Floyd. Heading directly towards Florida just to make that turn just east of the Bahamas.

 

[nick1]

I figure we'll know much more by tomorrow night it should make a turn that way if it is

 

[circumstances]

Might have been. But the most famous one will always be Floyd. Heading directly towards Florida just to make that turn just east of the Bahamas.

I looked it up. September, 2016. Latest Cat 5 ever. Was going to be a head on disaster, wobbled, and went straight up the coast over the water. I think I lost two branches.

 

[circumstances]

I figure we'll know much more by tomorrow night it should make a turn that way if it is

It is almost definitely turning North. The question is when. Sometimes you don't know right up until it happens.

 

[circumstances]

8pm NHC advisory. Looking better and better for us. Port Saint Lucie and North are the current projected landfall.

 

[phins_4_ever]

I was just getting ready to post a screen shot.

Comparing the 11am and 5pm forecast.

Adv 25 11am (previous forecast)



Adv 26 5am (Current)

 

[nick1]

8pm NHC advisory. Looking better and better for us. Port Saint Lucie and North are the current projected landfall.

View attachment 23753View attachment 23753

If that held it would basically go through me as a 4. So hopefully it keeps trending north east at a quicker rate

 

[dougb123]

it's a cat 4 130 miles an hour

 

[Adam First]

8pm NHC advisory. Looking better and better for us. Port Saint Lucie and North are the current projected landfall.

Thats great

 

[circumstances]

Thats great

For us!

 

[Adam First]

Plenty can still change. Landfall is still not for another 4 days. Feels like eternity already.

Feel like the storm will enter somewhere along the coastline and turn up over the peninsula. All scenarios are on the table right now - storm pushes into the Gulf, storm impacts the East coast, storm curves away before the coast. The problem is that we're still that uncertain. Seeing the latest model run of the European, which curves it off shore, lulls people into a false sense of security. Yesterday the European landfell a major hurricane into West Palm Beach and curved it around Lake Okeechobee. The entirety of the east coast needs to remain vigilant.

 

[phins_4_ever]

If that held it would basically go through me as a 4. So hopefully it keeps trending north east at a quicker rate

Where are you at?

 

[nick1]

Where are you at?

Rockledge which is Right above Melbourne.

 

[circumstances]

Plenty can still change. Landfall is still not for another 4 days. Feels like eternity already.

Feel like the storm will enter somewhere along the coastline and turn up over the peninsula. All scenarios are on the table right now - storm pushes into the Gulf, storm impacts the East coast, storm curves away before the coast. The problem is that we're still that uncertain. Seeing the latest model run of the European, which curves it off shore, lulls people into a false sense of security. Yesterday the European landfell a major hurricane into West Palm Beach and curved it around Lake Okeechobee. The entirety of the east coast needs to remain vigilant.

Here is my thinking.

I am in Fort Lauderdale (relatively speaking).

Fort Lauderdale is about 26.12N latitude.

Once the storm hits 26.12N latitude, it would have to either be going due West or turn due West (270 degrees) in order for the eye to make landfall in my area.

Once it passes 26.12N latitude it would have to turn back south to get me.

It is currently at 25.3N latitude, 575 miles out to sea.

See where I'm going with this?

 

[KevInMotion]

Here is my thinking.

I am in Fort Lauderdale (relatively speaking).

Fort Lauderdale is about 26.12N latitude.

Once the storm hits 26.12N latitude, it would have to either be going due West or turn due West (270 degrees) in order for the eye to make landfall in my area.

Once it passes 26.12N latitude it would have to turn back south to get me.

It is currently at 25.3N latitude, 575 miles out to sea.

See where I'm going with this?

Party at your house??