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The following are working lists of prospects that I’m predicting will or won’t disappoint as NFL players. These lists don’t take into account for how much the prospects may disappoint or surprise; it simply predicts whether they ultimately will or wont disappoint, disregarding injuries, and taking into account where they’re drafted (or expected to be drafted as of now). For example, just because Eric Henderson made the “Prospects Who Will Disappoint†list doesn’t mean I think he’ll be a bad NFL player; it just means I think his value won’t be worth where he was drafted. I’m expecting him to be drafted around the 3rd round, but I think he’ll prove to only be an situational pass rusher and career backup not worth 3rd-round value.
The prospects are ordered within their school year (arranged by seniors and juniors) and by they’re predicted draft spots, but not necessarily by who I think is the better prospect. For example, I think Dominque Byrd will be a better NFL player than Max Jean-Gilles (even though I also think Jean-Gilles will prove to be a solid player himself), but since I don’t think he’ll will be drafted ahead of Jean-Gilles, Byrd’s lower on the list.
In making these two lists, I didn’t account for injuries or the risk of injuries (Brodie Croyle, Jason Allen, Ray McDonald, and Eric Henderson, and especially Will Derting, among others, are all prospects who’ve shown problems with injuries; I didn’t account for injuries because it’s too random to predict in my opinion, and, because injuries don’t take away from the talent a prospect may have.) For players who aren’t included on either list, I haven’t formed an opinion on them. So just because Matt Leinart didn’t make the first list doesn’t mean I think he’ll be a disappointment; it just means I haven’t formed an opinion on him. (And I’m aware that not all of the juniors I’ve included will declare for the draft; in fact, most I’ve included will probably not.)
Prospects Who Won’t Disappoint
LB...A.J. Hawk...Ohio State...Sr.
RB...DeAngelo Williams...Memphis...Sr.
OT...D’Brickashaw Ferguson...Virginia...Sr.
OLB...DeMeco Ryans...Alabama...Sr.
OG...Max Jean-Gilles...Georgia...Sr.
OT...Marcus McNeill...Auburn...Sr.
DE...Elvis Dumerville...Louisville...Sr.
OT...Jeremy Trueblood...Boston College...Sr.
DT...Jesse Mahelona...Tennessee...Sr.
DE...Darryl Tapp...Virginia Tech...Sr.
QB...Jay Cutler...Vanderbilt...Sr.
C...Greg Eslinger...Minnesota...Sr.
QB...Brodie Croyle...Alabama...Sr.
WR...Sinorice Moss...Miami (FL)...Sr.
TE...Dominique Byrd...USC...Sr.
OG...Daryn Colledge...Boise State...Sr.
S...Jason Allen...Tennessee...Sr.
QB...Charlie Whitehurst...Clemson...Sr.
RB...P.J. Daniels...Georgia Tech...Sr.
DT...Larry Dibbles...Texas...Sr.
QB...Darrell Hackney...UAB...Sr.
S...Jamaal Fudge...Clemson...Sr.
LB...Will Derting...Washington State...Sr.
RB...Reggie Bush...USC...Jr.
RB...Laurence Maroney...Minnesota...Jr.
RB...Maurice Drew...UCLA...Jr.
LB...Ahmad Brooks...Virginia...Jr.
RB...Brian Calhoun...Wisconsin...Jr.
DE...Ray McDonald...Florida...Jr.
Prospects Who Will Disappoint
DT...Rodrique Wright...Texas...Sr.
WR...Jonathan Orr...Wisconsin...Sr.
DE...Eric Henderson...Georgia Tech...Sr.
TE...David Thomas...Texas...Sr.
QB...Omar Jacobs...Bowling Green...Jr.
RB...Michael Bush...Louisville...Jr.
WR...Jeff Samardzija...Notre Dame...Jr.
S...Will Herring...Auburn...Jr.
*prospects in bold are the ones I'm most confident about
-and by the way, I didn't really do this randomly; I have an explanation for why each player made whichever list
BOOMER...your thoughts?
The prospects are ordered within their school year (arranged by seniors and juniors) and by they’re predicted draft spots, but not necessarily by who I think is the better prospect. For example, I think Dominque Byrd will be a better NFL player than Max Jean-Gilles (even though I also think Jean-Gilles will prove to be a solid player himself), but since I don’t think he’ll will be drafted ahead of Jean-Gilles, Byrd’s lower on the list.
In making these two lists, I didn’t account for injuries or the risk of injuries (Brodie Croyle, Jason Allen, Ray McDonald, and Eric Henderson, and especially Will Derting, among others, are all prospects who’ve shown problems with injuries; I didn’t account for injuries because it’s too random to predict in my opinion, and, because injuries don’t take away from the talent a prospect may have.) For players who aren’t included on either list, I haven’t formed an opinion on them. So just because Matt Leinart didn’t make the first list doesn’t mean I think he’ll be a disappointment; it just means I haven’t formed an opinion on him. (And I’m aware that not all of the juniors I’ve included will declare for the draft; in fact, most I’ve included will probably not.)
Prospects Who Won’t Disappoint
LB...A.J. Hawk...Ohio State...Sr.
RB...DeAngelo Williams...Memphis...Sr.
OT...D’Brickashaw Ferguson...Virginia...Sr.
OLB...DeMeco Ryans...Alabama...Sr.
OG...Max Jean-Gilles...Georgia...Sr.
OT...Marcus McNeill...Auburn...Sr.
DE...Elvis Dumerville...Louisville...Sr.
OT...Jeremy Trueblood...Boston College...Sr.
DT...Jesse Mahelona...Tennessee...Sr.
DE...Darryl Tapp...Virginia Tech...Sr.
QB...Jay Cutler...Vanderbilt...Sr.
C...Greg Eslinger...Minnesota...Sr.
QB...Brodie Croyle...Alabama...Sr.
WR...Sinorice Moss...Miami (FL)...Sr.
TE...Dominique Byrd...USC...Sr.
OG...Daryn Colledge...Boise State...Sr.
S...Jason Allen...Tennessee...Sr.
QB...Charlie Whitehurst...Clemson...Sr.
RB...P.J. Daniels...Georgia Tech...Sr.
DT...Larry Dibbles...Texas...Sr.
QB...Darrell Hackney...UAB...Sr.
S...Jamaal Fudge...Clemson...Sr.
LB...Will Derting...Washington State...Sr.
RB...Reggie Bush...USC...Jr.
RB...Laurence Maroney...Minnesota...Jr.
RB...Maurice Drew...UCLA...Jr.
LB...Ahmad Brooks...Virginia...Jr.
RB...Brian Calhoun...Wisconsin...Jr.
DE...Ray McDonald...Florida...Jr.
Prospects Who Will Disappoint
DT...Rodrique Wright...Texas...Sr.
WR...Jonathan Orr...Wisconsin...Sr.
DE...Eric Henderson...Georgia Tech...Sr.
TE...David Thomas...Texas...Sr.
QB...Omar Jacobs...Bowling Green...Jr.
RB...Michael Bush...Louisville...Jr.
WR...Jeff Samardzija...Notre Dame...Jr.
S...Will Herring...Auburn...Jr.
*prospects in bold are the ones I'm most confident about
-and by the way, I didn't really do this randomly; I have an explanation for why each player made whichever list
BOOMER...your thoughts?