Phanatical
Official Daunte Hater
Dolphins won't beat the Jets the last game of the season and will manage to lose some other games they shouldn't. Sorry, but we won't be seeing the playoffs this year.
First off, we will have to go at least 4-1 to finish 10-6. That is a bare minimum requirement, but that may still not be enough.
It looks likely that we will need to go 5-0 (11-5) to get in the playoffs (because we'd probably lose most tie-breakers at 10-6).
Indy is virtually a lock for #5 seed, with an easy schedule remaining:
@Cle, Cin, Det, @Jac, Ten
Good chance they go 4-1 (11-5), but even if they only go 3-2, they'll be 10-6; and their conference record (first tie-breaker) is better than ours so far (6-2 vs. our 5-4 so far).
So, the battle will come down to the #6 seed:
Baltimore has a BRUTAL schedule remaining:
@Cin, Was, Pit, @Dal, Jac
If they go 2-3, they will end up 9-7.
Assuming they beat Cin & Jac, they MUST lose to Was, Pit & Dal. If they beat any of those 3 teams, then they will be 10-6, and win the tie-breaker against us (head-to-head).
New England has these games left:
Pit, @Sea, @Oak, Ari, @Buf
If they lose 2, they will be 10-6, then we'd go to tie-breakers:
1. split head-to-head;
2. division record (they are 3-2 now; we are 2-2 now);
3. common games (they're 7-3 now; we are 6-3 now);
4. conference record (we're both 5-4 now);
5. strength of victory (whatever this is???).
What happens if the Jets lose a game between now and the time we play them, then we beat the Jets. We would have the same record, so who would win the division?