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Interpret these stats....

inFINSible

Don't believe everything you think.
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These are AJ Feeley's stats but, let's try to keep this thread from devolving into another back and forth session about AJ, please, just interpret the facts, maams....:)

By yard lines C A % Y YPA T/I 1stD 1stD% QBR

OWN 1-20 - 26/42 61.9 245 5.83 0 0 12 46.2 78.0
OWN 21-50 - 96/181 53.0 908 5.09 0 12 44 45.8 39.6
OPP 49-20 - 55/102 53.9 609 5.95 3 2 35 63.6 73.5
OPP 19-1 - 14/31 45.2 131 4.23 8 1 10 71.4 83.5​

I thought these were interesting stats from last year.....I really love the red zone stats....8 Tds and 1 Int.....That's great, that's 1 Td for every 4 attempts from inside the opponents 20....That's high dollar real estate and he got it at a bargain!.....I'm going to look at other QBs around the league to see how he compares after I'm done here...

But what is up with the abysmal stats between our own 20 and the 50??!! What causes that large of a disparity from the stats of every other spot on the field?? I'm totally confused about that, anybody got any ideas?
 
the touchdown part does make sense. Much easier to throw a touchdown when you are closer to the endzone. I would think that his interceptions would be higher on the opp. side of the field. 11 touchdowns and 3 interceptions is pretty good.
 
Dol-Fan Dupree said:
the touchdown part does make sense. Much easier to throw a touchdown when you are closer to the endzone. I would think that his interceptions would be higher on the opp. side of the field. 11 touchdowns and 3 interceptions is pretty good.

Actually the closer u get to the red zone the harder it was for offenses in the passing game since the WR'S have less room to make moves and less room for the CB'S to get burned.
 
Dol-Fan Dupree said:
the touchdown part does make sense. Much easier to throw a touchdown when you are closer to the endzone. I would think that his interceptions would be higher on the opp. side of the field. 11 touchdowns and 3 interceptions is pretty good.
Alright, That makes sense. It also looks like that when the play calls for the ball to be thrown quicker he gets better. I wonder how many of those 12 INTs in the "bad zone" happened when the play call was for a long pass? The reason I ask is that the o-line would directly effect the outcome of a longer pass play while it seems like a shorter pass play puts more responsibility on the shoulders of the QB....does that seem right?
 
GRYPHONK said:
Actually the closer u get to the red zone the harder it was for offenses in the passing game since the WR'S have less room to make moves and less room for the CB'S to get burned.

That is true and it should increase the interceptions, however how many 50 yard touchdown passes are there in a given season? The answer is not very many.
 
GRYPHONK said:
Actually the closer u get to the red zone the harder it was for offenses in the passing game since the WR'S have less room to make moves and less room for the CB'S to get burned.
That's right too but, technically it's still easier to throw a TD from closer than longer, especially if you have weak blocking up front.
 
yeah, he did great when he made it to the redzone.

i remember like all his INT's for TD's were usually not very long returns, so that makes sense.

i was watching highlights from last year, he looked great and poised...and i watched highlights of frerotte, he was placing the ball perfect in minni.

i think who ever starts will do a decent job once they get used to the offense. both are capable.
 
inFINSible said:
Alright, That makes sense. It also looks like that when the play calls for the ball to be thrown quicker he gets better. I wonder how many of those 12 INTs in the "bad zone" happened when the play call was for a long pass? The reason I ask is that the o-line would directly effect the outcome of a longer pass play while it seems like a shorter pass play puts more responsibility on the shoulders of the QB....does that seem right?

memory serves me right most of his interceptions where quick passes. Maybe the need to make the big play is greater at that point. Once you are in the opponent side of the field you have the field advantage and you still have a shot for a field goal. If you are stuck on that zone, the need to get out of it is greater as you will give the other team good field posistion and also it isn't as bad as when you are inside your own 20. So I would guess that it is enough of a comfort zone to make more risks and it is a big pressure zone as getting out of it is very important to winning the game.
 
inFINSible said:
But what is up with the abysmal stats between our own 20 and the 50??!! What causes that large of a disparity from the stats of every other spot on the field?? I'm totally confused about that, anybody got any ideas?

My thought is that defenses and coverages in this area of the field are a lot harder to read than in the red zone. My theory is that the defenses have a lot more options in this section of the field.

Also, if you're attempting to throw into the endzone, and your receivers are covered, it's a lot easier to read that quickly and throw out of the endzone -- thus fewer interceptions. He may be assuming earlier in the drive that something is developing downfield -- thus leading to poor decisions.
 
DrAstroZoom said:
My thought is that defenses and coverages in this area of the field are a lot harder to read than in the red zone. My theory is that the defenses have a lot more options in this section of the field.

Also, if you're attempting to throw into the endzone, and your receivers are covered, it's a lot easier to read that quickly and throw out of the endzone -- thus fewer interceptions. He may be assuming earlier in the drive that something is developing downfield -- thus leading to poor decisions.

I would assume the opposite. The shorter the field the more things defenses can do.
 
Dol-Fan Dupree said:
memory serves me right most of his interceptions where quick passes. Maybe the need to make the big play is greater at that point. Once you are in the opponent side of the field you have the field advantage and you still have a shot for a field goal. If you are stuck on that zone, the need to get out of it is greater as you will give the other team good field posistion and also it isn't as bad as when you are inside your own 20. So I would guess that it is enough of a comfort zone to make more risks and it is a big pressure zone as getting out of it is very important to winning the game.
I wonder how much it also has to do with the defense knowing that the Dolphins o-line couldn't hold out their pass rush for more than 2-3 seconds, giving them the opportunity to jump the short routes with great regularity. I don't think they had to worry about the long routes at all.

I also wonder how many times the play called for a long route and Feeley checked down to a shorter route, to try and use that as a hot route that we didn't have, because he knew they wouldn't have the time to go long? IIRC, most of his INT-TDs happened before Bates took over and added hot routes to the package. It makes me think that the receivers and Feeley were so far on different pages in the beggining that they may as well have been in different books.
 
inFINSible said:
I wonder how much it also has to do with the defense knowing that the Dolphins o-line couldn't hold out their pass rush for more than 2-3 seconds, giving them the opportunity to jump the short routes with great regularity. I don't think they had to worry about the long routes at all.

I also wonder how many times the play called for a long route and Feeley checked down to a shorter route, to try and use that as a hot route that we didn't have, because he knew they wouldn't have the time to go long? IIRC, most of his INT-TDs happened before Bates took over and added hot routes to the package. It makes me think that the receivers and Feeley were so far on different pages in the beggining that they may as well have been in different books.

Also not having a running threat also hurt a lot.
 
GRYPHONK said:
Actually the closer u get to the red zone the harder it was for offenses in the passing game since the WR'S have less room to make moves and less room for the CB'S to get burned.

actually it is easier
all the receiver has to do is one move, or run across the field, or a fade pattern, or a curl pattern, or most popular, a play fake pass which usually leaves the tight end or fb or rb wide open.
 
Wait a minute!....Call Erroneus Flint!....I think we've discovered traces of momentum!!
 
Dol-Fan Dupree said:
Also not having a running threat also hurt a lot.
So he was trying to do everything himself and make something happen in this dangerous zone ya think??......
 
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