Not thrilled. I really don't like the look of those first two games, exactly the opposite of last year when I bet the over 6.5 partially because I thought we had a great shot at 2-0 out of the box.
The first two games will be near pick-em but the opponents own some advantages. New England is logically great in openers, as already emphasized in this thread. That's particularly true on the road and within the division. They've had several lopsided wins in that spot. The comparative struggles have been when they open as big favorites at home, and barely escape with the win.
Of all the games on the schedule, I was hoping to avoid playing at Buffalo early. They'll have a considerable energy advantage to open the game, after defeating us twice last season. That's the old Fury of Anti-Revenge angle. It is particularly lethal in the first few weeks, before other variables intervene. Since it's so early, and the Bills' division opener, they'll have us in their sights for months, frenzied to attack.
We've really got to hope that Buffalo is out of sorts during preseason and entering September. Key injuries or other distractions. That type of chaos can sometimes distract from the anti-revenge advantage.
Anyway, it looks like another season with an over under of 8 wins. I wouldn't be surprised if it played out very similarly to last year, with the books opening it low, in the 7 or 7.5 range, and then bet up to 8. I won't play unless it's 6.5 again, which is doubtful. Cantor Gaming took too much of a hit on the glaring mistakes they made and didn't get away with them. Even if it is 6.5 I wouldn't be as confident as last year. I think there's more potential for dispersion this season, high or low.