Numbers game: updated playoff probabilities | Page 2 | FinHeaven - Miami Dolphins Forums

Numbers game: updated playoff probabilities

Lets stayed focused on Sunday. We literally need to take this one game at a time.
Yes one game at a time. Thats all we can focus on. We could probably say this about a bunch of plays but if there were two plays this year I wish went our way they would be the 4th down the Panthers converted and the Bills RT fumble at the end when he got crushed.
 
I think baltimore loses the next 2 games and we win the next 2. We lock up the final wild card spot after the buffalo victory.
 
I'd love so say I can see us winning out. That win over the Steelers gave me a serious boost of confidence in this team to seal a win. But, our offense is so makeshift now that it'll be hard to outscore the Pats. While there have been plenty of decent contributions from different players over the last few games, if you take Charles Clay out of the equation we are looking at 5-8. He's been that important to this offense.

Somebody - probably the Pats - will find a way to shut down Clay and then we're struggling to put points on the board with the scraps from the larder. No Keller, no Binns, no Gibson, no Miller. Sunday would be a great game to try and work Matthews and/or Egnew into the gameplan. But unless Clay can magically keep doing his thang unchecked, we'll have to rely on defensive scores to stay in touch, imo.

It's not the end of the world if we lose to the Pats - and hell we might beat them anyway - but I'm not as convinced of a win as I was with the Steelers game, by any stretch.
 
We are already in the playoffs. Baltimore will likely drop one, which makes every game from here on out an elimination game.

Win out. Huge game this week, not just for our playoff chances, but because our coach and QB are 0-3 vs the Cheaters and I don't even want to think about going into next season with an 0-4 mark on them.
 
If you guys win out you will make it.

I think Baltimore will lose at least 1 and if they lose 2 then if we win out we'll make it but you guys are in a great spot.

I was noticing that on a simulator last night. We can beat Patriots and Bills but if we lose to Jets in final game we would lose tiebreaker to Jets if they win out.
 
We can lose to the Pats and Bills and still get in. Not that I'm condoning limping into the playoffs but its still a possibility. That's with the Ravens beating Detroit and losing to NE and Cincy. And the Chargers winning their last 2 at home against the Raiders and Chiefs. There are just so many possibilities. But if we do make the playoffs, now is the time to get hot and ride it into postseason.
 
If we beat the Pats I don't see how we miss the playoffs.....this would be the biggest win of the season if they can pull it off, we are playing well enough to do it but it will take 4 quarters to kill em and still Brady might pull out a win, i hope its a driving rain storm all game
 
If we beat the Pats I don't see how we miss the playoffs.....this would be the biggest win of the season if they can pull it off, we are playing well enough to do it but it will take 4 quarters to kill em and still Brady might pull out a win, i hope its a driving rain storm all game

Gronk being out is a HUGE plus....we don't need rain....we need to continue to play solid on both sides of ball and we will win out. I really believe this team (Fins) is not the same one of a few weeks ago. Our offensive line is playing miles better, in fact the entire offense is playing better. We may be getting hot at the right time :)
 
I was noticing that on a simulator last night. We can beat Patriots and Bills but if we lose to Jets in final game we would lose tiebreaker to Jets if they win out.

I doubt we beat Carolina but you never know.
 
They got humbled, It could send the train off the tracks.

I hope so but it could piss them off ready to play their best game though having Rob Ryan face them a week earlier can't hurt.
 
Realistically the 3 teams that have a legitimate chance at the 6 seed are Bal, SD and Miami. Miami could win the division if they win out but that would require the Bills to win in NE week 17 and that is highly unlikely.
 
none of that matters of Baltimore doesnt lose a game.

Gronk being out is a HUGE plus....we don't need rain....we need to continue to play solid on both sides of ball and we will win out. I really believe this team (Fins) is not the same one of a few weeks ago. Our offensive line is playing miles better, in fact the entire offense is playing better. We may be getting hot at the right time :)
 
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