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Samphin's keys to the game -week 1 Denver Broncos

Samphin

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Well, Sunday should be one of the most anticipated openers for the Miami Dolphins ever. New coach, new quarterback, new offensive and defensive systems. Basically, and mercifully, nothing like last year's debalce of a team. With all the new shiny things, hopefulyl comes a new attitude, one that allows our players to compete and have a gameplan that is actually useful as well as adaptable to expose in game weaknesses that are found.

Now, this won't be a post where I say we need to tackle better, stay disciplined and not got penalties. Those go without saying. This post here is more of a gameplan to beat the Broncos.

Week 1 sees us taking on Denver. A solid middle of the road team that can realistically finish first in its division, or very well finish last. They have some serious strengths but also some glaring holes that Miami will need to capitalize on. So without further introduction...Samphin's keys to the game:

-The D-Line
Denver's d-line is week. Trevor Pryce is the only player on the line that really concerns me. For some strange reason, Denver thought it would be a good idea to import the line of one of the worst teams in the league last year and make it their own. Ebenezer Ekuban, Courtney Brown, Gerard Warren, and Michael Myers have all come over from the Cleveland Browns and make up, along with veterans like Marco Coleman and John Engleberger, one of the least impressive group of guys in the league.
-The Solution
Run. Run often and run right at the line. For how bad Denver's line looks, they make up for it with Linebackers who can run and hit with the best of them. Therefore it is crucial that Ronnie Brown and Sammy Morris are able to get some yards in the middle. The O-line is going to have to drive the d-line back and get on those LB's quickly. Pulling Hadnot on sweeps and counters may be an option to to get those fast linebackers out of position and hopefully get our RB's into the secondary.

-The Secondary
Champ Bailey is good. Champ Bailey is really good. John Lynch, the hard hitting safety, is also in the secondary and the two of them could severly limit thepassing game. Denver also has three rookie CB's to go along with Champ and the rest of the safeties are not world beaters.
-The Solution
Spread them out. As good as Champ Bailey is, he also has a hamstring injury. It isn't anything that will keep him out, but I wouldn't mind testing it by sending Chambers or Boston deep. As I mentioned, Denver has three rookies in their secondary. Three rookies playing their first game in the NFL on one unit isn't something you see very often. Scott Linehan really needs to try and exploit this by getting four receivers on the field for some plays. Chambers, Boston, Booker and Welker could cause the seocndary to have fits, and with Denver's already discussed D-line likely to put little pressure on Frerotte, he, in theory, could have plenty of time to find his veteran receivers.

-The Running Game
It has been said that only two things in life are guarenteed. Death and taxes. You can make an argument that a third should be added: Denver having a 1000 yard runner. Year after year this team seemingly has a different running back break the mark with relative ease. This year should be no different. Talented runners Tatum Bell, and Mike Anderson are joined by Giants castoff and bulldozer Ron Dayne. All three can run well and behind this cut blocking o-line, should be able to have success again this year.
-The Solution
Keith Traylor. More specifically, his gut. Traylor is our replacement for Bowens. He needs to clog up those lanes on the inside and force Denver into second and third and long situations. He will have some help from veterans Zgonina and Holliday but Traylor is going to be key to stopping the run inside. On the outside, Taylor and Carter are going to have to contain because if these backs get to Sam Madison or the other corners, Miami will be in trouble. Another option is to bring a safet up do to Denver's wide receivers but I would like to avoid that due to how vulnerable we could end up being if coverage is blown on a playaction.
-The Passing Game
Jake Plummer has been around for awhile now and knows what he is doing, well with the eexception of his facial hair anyway. He has had a good camp and his two main receivers in Rod Smith and Ashley Lelie are always a threat. Beyond those two though, their isn't much in the way of receivers. Denver has five TE's on their roster and using the west coast offense, you know they will seemingly have at least one in their every down. Putzier is a quality TE.
-The Solution
Blitzkreig. On obvious passing downs, Plummer needs to be pressured and often. Plummer is notorious for making boneheaded or "creative" plays when he is put in a pinch. Sending Seau, Thomas, corners, safeties from all directions is sure to confuse him to the point where he might throw it right to one of our defenders. The key will be to mix it up however. We don't want to just send Seau or Thomas. We also don't want to have Taylor rushing on every play, the key will be to mix it up pre and post snap as to not be so predictable. This defensive scheme is designed to cause turnovers, and it will have to do that early this season to help put the offense in good positions.

So those are some of the main keys I see going into this game. Obviously, in game adjustments will need to be made. However, I feel if Miami sticks to these basic principles this week, they can leave Sunday afternoon with a victory under their belt.

What are your thoughts?
 
Great Post.....I agree on all points.

One thing I am happy about is Denver starting Mike Anderson. He seems like a straight north south runner. Where I have noticed us getting burned on in pre season..is the counter runs and cut backs. We seem to over pursue alot. With Anderson in we will see less of that.

Plummer can be a dumb dumb..so bring da heat soon and bring it often. (Can anyone really remember saying "bring the heat" or blitzkrieg and the Miami D in the samer sentence? I cant....Aint it grand!!!! I love it!!!!)

Go Phins!!!!
 
Good stuff man !!!!
I don't think Denver's D-Line is as weak as you think it is though..
During the preseason game against the Colts, Manning was running for his life the whole time.
 
I strongly agree that the best and most effective way to gain yardage on the ground is to run right at the LB's. They are all extremely quick, but i dont recall either of them being thick in the jeans except for the Williams kid from "The U". Gold and Wilson are lean body type guys, we need to get our big bodies up on them as opposed to run outside. Maybe some of that misdirection quick pitch stuff we used agains jacksonville could be effective to keep them guessing and possibly bust a big one.

Aside form that, and it goes without saying, NO TURNOVERS!!!!!! It would be nice for a change huh?
 
It's also important to make sure to not make boneheaded plays through the air ourselves. On passing downs we should keep Heath and Ronnie (<sometimes) in, or send one or another on a delayed route to chip some DEs or LBs blitzing. Hopefully doing that will help Gus from having to make decisions with defenders in his face on every passing down. Use some misdirections to take advantages of their speed. Some counters, reverses, and bootlegs would be nice. Overpursuing LBs can leave Randy and Ronnie open.
 
Hidden stats about Denver. Best 1st down team in football a year ago. For the fins to win this game and most games this year, 1st down defense will be the key. This team can hunt and will be able to pressure the passer, but if its 2nd and 3 the games Coach Saban and Coach Muschamps want to play will be limited.

Denver had 3 major flaws last year and it remains to be seen if they are corrected. They were in a -9 in the turnover ratio and that doesn't just fall solely on Jake, they did not take the football away last year.

They were in the bottom 10 in terms of red-zone efficiency on offense. They had no problem moving the ball but inside the red zone they struggled big, they believe that a more versatile Stephen Alexander will improve them there.

Denver was also in the bottom 10 in every coverage and return unit a year ago. Sauerbrun was added to punt and Darrent Williams will do the bulk of the returning. They gain Ian Gold back and he will improve the teams unit but they also lost core teams players in Terry Pierce and Don Spragan.
 
BenchFiedler said:
Good stuff man !!!!
I don't think Denver's D-Line is as weak as you think it is though..
During the preseason game against the Colts, Manning was running for his life the whole time.

Did anybody else read Payaton's lips after the second sack.:yell:
 
Samphin said:
Plummer needs to be pressured and often.

even if we completely shut down the denver running game we will still lose this game if we do not get consistent pressure on jake the snake. imo getting in plummer's grill is more important than shutting down their run.
 
thecoordinator said:
even if we completely shut down the denver running game we will still lose this game if we do not get consistent pressure on jake the snake. imo getting in plummer's grill is more important than shutting down their run.

I think that too. Good thing the one thing our defense can do on any down is get pressure on the QB with our line and blitz scheme.
 
One key to the game is to NOT have Gus Ferotte hit the wall again....

Mod Edit: Take your smack talk to the depths forum.
 
Samphin said:
Well, Sunday should be one of the most anticipated openers for the Miami Dolphins ever. New coach, new quarterback, new offensive and defensive systems. Basically, and mercifully, nothing like last year's debalce of a team. With all the new shiny things, hopefulyl comes a new attitude, one that allows our players to compete and have a gameplan that is actually useful as well as adaptable to expose in game weaknesses that are found.

Now, this won't be a post where I say we need to tackle better, stay disciplined and not got penalties. Those go without saying. This post here is more of a gameplan to beat the Broncos.

Week 1 sees us taking on Denver. A solid middle of the road team that can realistically finish first in its division, or very well finish last. They have some serious strengths but also some glaring holes that Miami will need to capitalize on. So without further introduction...Samphin's keys to the game:

-The D-Line
Denver's d-line is week. Trevor Pryce is the only player on the line that really concerns me. For some strange reason, Denver thought it would be a good idea to import the line of one of the worst teams in the league last year and make it their own. Ebenezer Ekuban, Courtney Brown, Gerard Warren, and Michael Myers have all come over from the Cleveland Browns and make up, along with veterans like Marco Coleman and John Engleberger, one of the least impressive group of guys in the league.
-The Solution
Run. Run often and run right at the line. For how bad Denver's line looks, they make up for it with Linebackers who can run and hit with the best of them. Therefore it is crucial that Ronnie Brown and Sammy Morris are able to get some yards in the middle. The O-line is going to have to drive the d-line back and get on those LB's quickly. Pulling Hadnot on sweeps and counters may be an option to to get those fast linebackers out of position and hopefully get our RB's into the secondary.

-The Secondary
Champ Bailey is good. Champ Bailey is really good. John Lynch, the hard hitting safety, is also in the secondary and the two of them could severly limit thepassing game. Denver also has three rookie CB's to go along with Champ and the rest of the safeties are not world beaters.
-The Solution
Spread them out. As good as Champ Bailey is, he also has a hamstring injury. It isn't anything that will keep him out, but I wouldn't mind testing it by sending Chambers or Boston deep. As I mentioned, Denver has three rookies in their secondary. Three rookies playing their first game in the NFL on one unit isn't something you see very often. Scott Linehan really needs to try and exploit this by getting four receivers on the field for some plays. Chambers, Boston, Booker and Welker could cause the seocndary to have fits, and with Denver's already discussed D-line likely to put little pressure on Frerotte, he, in theory, could have plenty of time to find his veteran receivers.

-The Running Game
It has been said that only two things in life are guarenteed. Death and taxes. You can make an argument that a third should be added: Denver having a 1000 yard runner. Year after year this team seemingly has a different running back break the mark with relative ease. This year should be no different. Talented runners Tatum Bell, and Mike Anderson are joined by Giants castoff and bulldozer Ron Dayne. All three can run well and behind this cut blocking o-line, should be able to have success again this year.
-The Solution
Keith Traylor. More specifically, his gut. Traylor is our replacement for Bowens. He needs to clog up those lanes on the inside and force Denver into second and third and long situations. He will have some help from veterans Zgonina and Holliday but Traylor is going to be key to stopping the run inside. On the outside, Taylor and Carter are going to have to contain because if these backs get to Sam Madison or the other corners, Miami will be in trouble. Another option is to bring a safet up do to Denver's wide receivers but I would like to avoid that due to how vulnerable we could end up being if coverage is blown on a playaction.
-The Passing Game
Jake Plummer has been around for awhile now and knows what he is doing, well with the eexception of his facial hair anyway. He has had a good camp and his two main receivers in Rod Smith and Ashley Lelie are always a threat. Beyond those two though, their isn't much in the way of receivers. Denver has five TE's on their roster and using the west coast offense, you know they will seemingly have at least one in their every down. Putzier is a quality TE.
-The Solution
Blitzkreig. On obvious passing downs, Plummer needs to be pressured and often. Plummer is notorious for making boneheaded or "creative" plays when he is put in a pinch. Sending Seau, Thomas, corners, safeties from all directions is sure to confuse him to the point where he might throw it right to one of our defenders. The key will be to mix it up however. We don't want to just send Seau or Thomas. We also don't want to have Taylor rushing on every play, the key will be to mix it up pre and post snap as to not be so predictable. This defensive scheme is designed to cause turnovers, and it will have to do that early this season to help put the offense in good positions.

So those are some of the main keys I see going into this game. Obviously, in game adjustments will need to be made. However, I feel if Miami sticks to these basic principles this week, they can leave Sunday afternoon with a victory under their belt.

What are your thoughts?

Nice Post! One thing to note on Plummer is how bad his road numbers compare to his home numbers. The probability for bonehead plays is far larger away from Denver. We definitely need to pressure him into mistakes.

For whatever reason, I feel like the former Brown's lineman will end up doing ok this year. I think they will have far better coaching and more talent around them. Guys like Brown and Warren have the tools to be good players. I think the change of scenery will do them some good. Hopefully not this week though!
 
Ebenezer Ekuban, Courtney Brown, Gerard Warren, and Michael Myers have all come over from the Cleveland Browns and make up, along with veterans like Marco Coleman and John Engleberger, one of the least impressive group of guys in the league.
LOL you obviously didn't watch any preseason game tape did you?

Jake Plummer has been around for awhile now and knows what he is doing, well with the eexception of his facial hair anyway.
:lol: That's awesome! Well played. We were calling him porn-stache for awhile.

Denver has five TE's on their roster and using the west coast offense, you know they will seemingly have at least one in their every down. Putzier is a quality TE.
Expect us to run out of some two TE sets. First for max protection second because they are fast and young and we like the idea of your aged tight ends running down field deep against them. You'll see a ton of motion this game.
 
Kaylore said:
LOL you obviously didn't watch any preseason game tape did you?

:lol: That's awesome! Well played. We were calling him porn-stache for awhile.

Expect us to run out of some two TE sets. First for max protection second because they are fast and young and we like the idea of your aged tight ends running down field deep against them. You'll see a ton of motion this game.


Our aged TE's? I assume you mean LB's? Thomas is solid in coverage and still quick. Channing Crowder is young and has some speed as well. The problem you run into is that Miami will be playing a lot of zone and less man to man. However, from Denver's POV, yes, I would expect the RB's and TE's to have a lot of looks, especially if Miami blitzes like I expect them too.
 
Hi Fish fans...are you guys gettin' pumped yet? Three days and counting...

Interesting analysis on the Broncs. I'd like to weigh in with some non-smack/more intelligent conversation. Here's my own analysis.
Samphin said:
-The D-Line
Denver's d-line is week. Trevor Pryce is the only player on the line that really concerns me. For some strange reason, Denver thought it would be a good idea to import the line of one of the worst teams in the league last year and make it their own. Ebenezer Ekuban, Courtney Brown, Gerard Warren, and Michael Myers have all come over from the Cleveland Browns and make up, along with veterans like Marco Coleman and John Engleberger, one of the least impressive group of guys in the league.
OK...good question...one we've heard from everyone else as well, so let me respond.

First, the "Browncos" players were brought in to be added to a unit that finished 4th in the NFL last year. Talent has never been the issue with any of these guys, with Brown, Ekuban, and Warren all high 1st rounders and Engleberger a 2nd. It's been more a situation thing, with Cleveland failing to utilize these players talents and a general breakdown of their whole team. So far things appear to be much different with them in Denver. Pre-season returns are in and you should know that this defensive line wasn't just good...they were VERY good. Shanny's said he'll be dissapointed if Warren isn't in the pro-bowl this year. Engleberger has been a terror off the edge. If Brown can somehow stay healthy and play to his potential, this is a dominating defensive line. He has yet to even step on the field but will be in uniform for this game.

Second, our 4th ranked defense from last year was missing All Pro DE Trevor Pryce, who has returned healthy and also been moved to the right side where he's going to be considerably more dangerous rushing the passer than he was playing inside at DT or on the right side at DE. We are better just on this addition alone.

Third, I did a little checking on how the Fish performed last year against these same defensive line guys when they were in Cleveland. Miami got just 10 points and averaged only 3.9 yards per play. Obviously Ricky Williams was missing, but I'll address that in a minute.
-The Solution
Run. Run often and run right at the line. For how bad Denver's line looks, they make up for it with Linebackers who can run and hit with the best of them. Therefore it is crucial that Ronnie Brown and Sammy Morris are able to get some yards in the middle. The O-line is going to have to drive the d-line back and get on those LB's quickly. Pulling Hadnot on sweeps and counters may be an option to to get those fast linebackers out of position and hopefully get our RB's into the secondary.
Obviously in the NFL if you can run on somebody you'll probably win, but I'm looking for a reason to believe that Miami has a better running game than last year, or actually since RW was gone in 2004, let's say a better running game than 2003 when Williams was available. Ricky averaged a woefull 3.5 yards per carry in 2003 and I don't see the current O-line operating with Brown, a rookie in his first real NFL game to be any real improvement. Miami finished a pathetic 27th in YPC average in 2003, dropping to 32nd last year with Ricky gone. So even if you consider Brown as good as Ricky was in 2003, a (very questionable assumption since he's playing his first game) it is unlikely your rushing game has improved much based on the talent level. Perhaps schemes and coaching can impact that however. We shall see. Denver's D finished 4th against the run last year even without Pryce, and by all accounts we are not just better, but much deeper as well, able to rotate two full units of talented D-line guys in and out. This will be helpful if it's hot. I understand it's going to be 90 with the usual humidity. Tough, but not worse than the Arizona game last week where it was 100 at game time and obviously much hotter on the field. Our 2nd unit beat the Cards starters in that game.
-The Secondary
Champ Bailey is good. Champ Bailey is really good. John Lynch, the hard hitting safety, is also in the secondary and the two of them could severly limit thepassing game. Denver also has three rookie CB's to go along with Champ and the rest of the safeties are not world beaters.
-The Solution
Spread them out. As good as Champ Bailey is, he also has a hamstring injury. It isn't anything that will keep him out, but I wouldn't mind testing it by sending Chambers or Boston deep. As I mentioned, Denver has three rookies in their secondary. Three rookies playing their first game in the NFL on one unit isn't something you see very often.
All three rookies have been outstanding so far but you won't see all three in there at once, two at the most if we go dime. Darrent Williams at CB has been sensational and he's the nicklel back. He's being talked about as a potential starter by the middle of this year. Don't let the 5'8" stature fool you. This dude can play, and he can also pack a big wallop. I doubt he'll take Boston though if he's in there, more likely Walls who is 6'4" will be on him. Bailey says he's 100% and he was held out the last two games purely for precaution. Ferguson's been solid at safety but Lynch is the guy I'd throw at. He still hits a ton but has lost a step in coverage.
-The Running Game
Talented runners Tatum Bell, and Mike Anderson are joined by Giants castoff and bulldozer Ron Dayne. All three can run well and behind this cut blocking o-line, should be able to have success again this year.
-The Solution
Keith Traylor. More specifically, his gut. Traylor is our replacement for Bowens. He needs to clog up those lanes on the inside and force Denver into second and third and long situations.
OK...Keith Traylor...I'm amazed to see Keith is up to 337 pounds? Is that true? This guy started with us a 260 lb LB a LONG time ago. One thing you need to realize, is that big, heavy, and especially OLD D-line guys are not a good antidote for this this type of running game. Denver's O-line forces the opposing D-line to move laterally on every running play instead of straight ahead. Traylor is not the guy I'd want in the middle for this job. He's big, but slow and easy to cut for our quick and mobile guys up front. On a unit that fell all the way from 5th to 31st against the run from '03 to '04 it's not a good thing to have oldsters like Traylor and the ancient Junior Seau still starting. I look for Denver to run at will against this unit unless sloppy field conditions make footing a factor. In last years game the Broncos rolled up 196 yards on the ground to 70 for the Fish and dominated them in time of possession outgaining the Fish 415 to 215 in total offense. Miami had a woefull 3.5 yard per play but kept it close on the strength of winning the turnover battle 3-1. Traylor, Junior and ZT are all a year older now. That can't be a good thing.
-The Passing Game
Jake Plummer has been around for awhile now and knows what he is doing, well with the eexception of his facial hair anyway. He has had a good camp and his two main receivers in Rod Smith and Ashley Lelie are always a threat. Beyond those two though, their isn't much in the way of receivers. Denver has five TE's on their roster and using the west coast offense, you know they will seemingly have at least one in their every down. Putzier is a quality TE.
-The Solution
Blitzkreig. On obvious passing downs, Plummer needs to be pressured and often. Plummer is notorious for making boneheaded or "creative" plays when he is put in a pinch.
Yea...everyone's gonne get in their shots on Jake, and deservedly so. But perhaps the most notable thing about our preseason was the plays Jake DIDN'T make. Zero interceptions. He seems to be finally picking up the right habits in our offense. The best play I saw this preseason was Jake rolling out on our 6 yard line, and you could see a WR come open 10 yards downfield...not wide open though...just a step. It looked possible to hit him from the end zone view, but Jake pulled it down and took the 2 yard loss instead of risking the pick. We'll see if he's learned the lessons well or not now that it's the real thing. Blitzing may work, but remember that Jake is significantly better outside the pocket than he is in it. That strategy could backfire.
What are your thoughts?
Final thoughts...a lot of people are looking at the close game last year in Denver as an indicator, but that's usually iffy to compare year to year results. The game was closer than expected because of the turnovers we had but Denver has also shown a tendency to wear down in the second half of the year. We went 7-3 in the first 10 games last year and 3-3 down the stretch. This has been an ongoing problem and there are some reasons for it but the main thing I see here is that the Miami game last year was played in week 14. Don't expect a repeat performance in the opening game.

Special teams were our albatross last year, and the punting game should be much better with Todd Saurbrun here now. KO and punt coverage units concern me however. If the Fish can break a big play or two there they could hang in there and make it closer than I expect.

Finally, Bronco fans have certainly seen much more of Gus than you guys have, and when I say we don't fear this guy...that's an understatement. Gus is basically a statue in the pocket, and as a journeyman career backup, he's the easiest assignment QB-wise we face this year, with the possible exception of Patrick Ramsey in Washington. With a rookie runner in his first game, a rookie head coach, a defense that ranked at the bottom of the league last year in stopping the run and Gus at QB, I'll be dissapointed if we don't beat the Fish by 20. Prediction: Denver 34 Miami 10
 
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