I'll stick to what I posted yesterday, when someone estimated the trade down from #2 and the Surtain trade were each 25/75 underdogs: The Surtain trade was almost a given because it made cap sense and had been rumored for so long, without Miami denying it. The deadline was April 23 and resolution on April 22. Completely logical. On the other hand, the trade down depends on equal value that is mathematically determined by those charts. If Saban sticks firm to that chart or relatively close, a trade is extremely unlikely to happen. The players are blanketed in ability and no one is going to ignore that and donate in our direction. We either make the chart gurus cry with far less than equal compensation, or we stick to #2. I'll project the latter scenario.