Agree with the first paragraph. We are above average, slightly above.
Disagree with the second paragraph. Every team that makes the playoffs does not have an equal chance. It isn't even a debate. History clearly shows that home teams, division winners in general, have won more than wild cards. I would be surprised if that weren't the case, TBH. Do wildcards occasionally make a run? Yes, but let's not pretend it's common.
As much as it pains me to agree with
@MrChadRico .......lol....... I think what he said about only being 4-6 top tier teams at any given time is accurate.
But that's the point, I'm not saying wildcard teams have just as good a chance to reach, or even win a Superbowl, my point is those so called not quality teams like the Giants twice, Raiders, Patriots, Cowboys, Bills, Broncos, Titans, Ravens, Steelers, and Packers have all reached the Superbowl at a disadvantage, which shows that though it's tough, teams as wildcard can reach the the big show, and are quality teams. Once you reach the playoffs, it's a new season, but teams that reached it are the top teams in their conference that year.
If Miami had not lost so many players last year, with the way they were playing, would they have not ended up with the overall #1 position into the playoffs?
If Tua had not gone down, would Miami not have won 8 to 9 games to this point this year, with again a possiblity of again winning 11 games?
People can tell me that Miami is not playing like a top team right now. Agreed
People can tell me that because we don't have a good backup, and Grier is incapable of finding a quality backup, when Tua is out, we are closer to bottom tier team then top. True
But when Tua is playing, and injuries are not devastating, Miami can beat anyone...Well almost anyone (Bills have Miami's number right now, and it's called Josh Allen).
ChadRico is right, because of mental toughness, and injuries Miami has issues winning against other top teams, but it's not talent or ability that has stop them from performing, but stupid mistakes. Miami had the Bills and Cards beat this year, all Miami had to do was drive for the lead, while taking as much time off the clock as possible, so that when the Bills and Cards got the ball back, they would have little to no time to drive for a FG (We know our D is suspect, why put it in their hands), but we did beat the Rams, the team that this past week beat the Bills.
Maybe I'm wrong, but I have eyes, and know what I have seen from this team with Tua, so not thinking they're a quality team just does not allow me to fall on that side.