Won't know until draft day.
Generally speaking I think the following:
1. Seems like you can get a good OLB on into the 2nd and maybe even 3rd rounds. I haven't been in love with Koa Misi but he could be there at #43. I do like Thaddeus Gibson and Jason Worilds. Ricky Sapp could be available at #43. Hard to know what their feelings are on Eric Norwood, but he's an option. Jermaine Cunningham is a candidate as well.
2. Seems like you can get a good TE on into the 4th and maybe even 5th rounds. I know that my favorite guy Dennis Pitta will be gone by then but guys like the athletic Clay Harbor and Dorin Dickerson, and underrated guys like Tony Moeaki, Garrett Graham and Andrew Quarless could all be there in the mid rounds.
3. Once you get beyond Dez Bryant, Demaryius Thomas, Golden Tate and perhaps Arrelious Benn, things break down very quickly at the WR position. Speedy guys that are shrimps (Jacoby Ford, Kyle Williams, Andre Roberts, Emmanuel Sanders), bigger guys that are plodders (Chris McGaha, Brandon LaFell, Blair White, Dezmon Briscoe, Freddie Barnes, Eric Decker, Riley Cooper, Shay Hodge), great athletes with questionable hands and/or experience (Carlton Mitchell, Taylor Price, Marcus Easley, David Gettis), productive players without great size or speed (Damian Williams, Dexter McCluster, Jordan Shipley, Mardy Gilyard, Jeremy Williams) and one guy with perhaps the full package that is ridiculously handicapped by a bad head and attitude (Mike Williams). Not very exciting.
4. The only free safety prospects I can see everyone in the room agreeing on would be Earl Thomas, Nate Allen and Major Wright. You have to take Earl at #12 or forget about him. Nate Allen is no lock to make it to #43. Major Wright might not make it to #74.
So...all in all...if it were up to me we'd be building up to a question of whether Dez Bryant is available at #12 or not. If he is, then I take him and I don't look back. That would mean you're hoping Nate Allen falls to #43 and if he does you take him, then an OLB in the 3rd and TE in the 4th. If not you grab an OLB in the 2nd, hope for Major Wright in the 3rd, and take a TE in the 4th. If Major Wright isn't available in the 3rd I think you bump up that TE choice to the 3rd round, and quite possibly skip out on the safety class altogether and just have Culver and Clemons duke it out for the start.
If Dez Bryant is not available at #12, we could be looking at going with Earl Thomas early, then hoping that Tate, Thomas or Benn falls to #43. If one of those guys does not fall then I think they grab an OLB in the 2nd round, and I could see them going for like an Andre Roberts in the 3rd round, then hoping one of the TEs they like drops into the 4th round. But, I would think Benn is fairly likely to fall to #43 and so I could see them grabbing a Thaddeus Gibson in the 3rd and then, let's say Clay Harbor in the 4th.
To that end, that could be why the Dolphins seem intent on bringing in a Guard/Tackle via free agency (Adam Terry? Chester Pitts?), and why they could be looking at Travis LaBoy to be their starting LOLB so that their 2nd or 3rd round rookie wouldn't feel pressure to start immediately. Also, I have a feeling that the Pats are refusing to cut Adalius Thomas and trying to trade him because they think the Dolphins or Jets will get him.
Won't know until draft day.
Generally speaking I think the following:
1. Seems like you can get a good OLB on into the 2nd and maybe even 3rd rounds. I haven't been in love with Koa Misi but he could be there at #43. I do like Thaddeus Gibson and Jason Worilds. Ricky Sapp could be available at #43. Hard to know what their feelings are on Eric Norwood, but he's an option. Jermaine Cunningham is a candidate as well.
2. Seems like you can get a good TE on into the 4th and maybe even 5th rounds. I know that my favorite guy Dennis Pitta will be gone by then but guys like the athletic Clay Harbor and Dorin Dickerson, and underrated guys like Tony Moeaki, Garrett Graham and Andrew Quarless could all be there in the mid rounds.
3. Once you get beyond Dez Bryant, Demaryius Thomas, Golden Tate and perhaps Arrelious Benn, things break down very quickly at the WR position. Speedy guys that are shrimps (Jacoby Ford, Kyle Williams, Andre Roberts, Emmanuel Sanders), bigger guys that are plodders (Chris McGaha, Brandon LaFell, Blair White, Dezmon Briscoe, Freddie Barnes, Eric Decker, Riley Cooper, Shay Hodge), great athletes with questionable hands and/or experience (Carlton Mitchell, Taylor Price, Marcus Easley, David Gettis), productive players without great size or speed (Damian Williams, Dexter McCluster, Jordan Shipley, Mardy Gilyard, Jeremy Williams) and one guy with perhaps the full package that is ridiculously handicapped by a bad head and attitude (Mike Williams). Not very exciting.
4. The only free safety prospects I can see everyone in the room agreeing on would be Earl Thomas, Nate Allen and Major Wright. You have to take Earl at #12 or forget about him. Nate Allen is no lock to make it to #43. Major Wright might not make it to #74.
So...all in all...if it were up to me we'd be building up to a question of whether Dez Bryant is available at #12 or not. If he is, then I take him and I don't look back. That would mean you're hoping Nate Allen falls to #43 and if he does you take him, then an OLB in the 3rd and TE in the 4th. If not you grab an OLB in the 2nd, hope for Major Wright in the 3rd, and take a TE in the 4th. If Major Wright isn't available in the 3rd I think you bump up that TE choice to the 3rd round, and quite possibly skip out on the safety class altogether and just have Culver and Clemons duke it out for the start.
If Dez Bryant is not available at #12, we could be looking at going with Earl Thomas early, then hoping that Tate, Thomas or Benn falls to #43. If one of those guys does not fall then I think they grab an OLB in the 2nd round, and I could see them going for like an Andre Roberts in the 3rd round, then hoping one of the TEs they like drops into the 4th round. But, I would think Benn is fairly likely to fall to #43 and so I could see them grabbing a Thaddeus Gibson in the 3rd and then, let's say Clay Harbor in the 4th.
To that end, that could be why the Dolphins seem intent on bringing in a Guard/Tackle via free agency (Adam Terry? Chester Pitts?), and why they could be looking at Travis LaBoy to be their starting LOLB so that their 2nd or 3rd round rookie wouldn't feel pressure to start immediately. Also, I have a feeling that the Pats are refusing to cut Adalius Thomas and trying to trade him because they think the Dolphins or Jets will get him.
I have been a member for a few years but have never posted. thought I would give it a try. CK I always look forward to reading your post. My question is I noticed you did not mention a NT do you think they will wait till the 6-7 rounds to draft one to develop or is there someone round 3-4 that they may like?
So basically Ck your thinking is, you only see them taking a NT if one of the premier guys slip farther then they should? or do you see them not doing it all , like if Cam Thomas is available somewhere around the 4th for some reason or Cody at #43 etc..