Given our injury problems at RB last year and the iffy future of Brown and soon-to-not-have-a future of Williams, running back is absolutely an area of concern.
Now, I've personally been a fan of Spiller's since his high school days and think he has more potential as an every down back than he's given credit for (maybe not Chris Johnson, but certainly Felix Jones).
But at #12? That's a lot to give up for a guy you're not even sure has a future as a full time or at least half time RB, even for a team that runs the ball as much as we do.
I mean think about next year. Whose touches does he replace?
Cobbs? Sparano's favorite player and key special teamer?
Hilliard? Who only got into games because Cobbs went down and even then only had like three or four carries a game?
Or do you make the backfield some sort of demented three headed thing, with Spiller taking away from both Brown and Williams? So in that case you're talking about activating 4 RBs and getting rid of Hilliard altogether, since after what he showed last year he'd certainly get snatched up by someone. And in that scenario, who do you deactivate to make 53? Clemons? Garner? Haynos?
See what I mean? It's a year too early for a RB that high. There's just no space on the roster until Ricky retires, especially with how versatile Cobbs is.
I'm personally zeroing on the most likely pick being Gresham. He's an elite player at a position of need and is more likely to be there at #12 than Berry. Now of course we'd all prefer Berry. Given our depth at DL he'd be a tempting selection with the #1 overall pick if we had it. But we don't, and there are a bunch of teams ahead of us with problems in the secondary (I personally can't imagine any scenario where he gets past Seattle, Cleveland AND Jacksonville).
As for the whole McClain/Spikes thing -- I just don't think it's going to get figured out until they start testing them athletically. For all the talk of McClain being the slam dunk top ILB, there's simply no way he's a Top 15 pick if he can't run faster than 4.7. Remember, Willis ran a 4.49 at the combine and a 4.37 at his pro day -- both at 240 pounds -- and was the #11 pick. Ridiculous, I know, but it takes ridiculous numbers like that to be taken that high, and I don't see anyone anywhere predicting he'll show anything close to that kind of athleticism.
Also, given the NFL caliber of coaching and the sheer, National Championship talent around him -- most significantly Mount Cody in front of him -- I just don't know why so many people are drooling all over him this early.
And don't take this like I'm some kind of numbers obsessed Al Davis guy. But the truth is that raw speed does matter. Look at how teams figured out all they had to do against us was run simple out routes to the TE against our five man rush. Crowder and Ayodele -- two relatively slow ILBs (Crowder ran a 4.75, I'm pretty sure. Not sure what Ayodele ran, but since he's 31 it doesn't matter anyway. He's slower now than whatever it was) -- couldn't keep up in man coverage. That simple, stupid play killed us all year, especially in the second half when they were both dinged up. It was maddening. But it was the predictable result of having slow ILBs.
Are McClain and Spikes slow ILBs? We'll see. Neither one shows eye popping speed on the field, that's for sure. So I think we should all caution ourselves from simply believing that because they were the defensive leaders of two of the best defenses in college football that they're automatically the two best ILBs in college football. This kind of thing, as experience has shown us, is rarely the case.