phins_4_ever
E12 FH Tailgate Gang
NHC does not call it a wobble but a result of the ridge. (Avila might be sleeping :laugh)
That is a good and safe forecast discussion, leaving the door open.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT1+shtml/082100.shtml?
Let's see how long it will stay over land, how much over land and how the forecast models react to that on the next runs.
Apparently the ridge to the north of Irma has been stronger than
expected, and the initial motion remains westward, or 280/11 kt.
That is a good and safe forecast discussion, leaving the door open.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT1+shtml/082100.shtml?If the eye continues to move over the Cuban Keys and does not move
inland over the main island of Cuba, then Irma would likely not
lose much intensity during the next day or so.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT1+shtml/082100.shtml?
Let's see how long it will stay over land, how much over land and how the forecast models react to that on the next runs.