Another Take on the Offensive Line, Ryan Tannehill, and Sacks in 2013 | Page 14 | FinHeaven - Miami Dolphins Forums

Another Take on the Offensive Line, Ryan Tannehill, and Sacks in 2013

When will FH mods realize the OP is a troll

The only reason I read these threads nowadays is so I can be there when the mods finally drop the hammer. These threads would serve a purpose if Shou was willing to discuss the stats he posts, but he's not... you only get personal attacks like "You fail to understand" or "You suffer from confirmation bias" with 0 reasoning offered.
 
These threads would serve a purpose if Shou was willing to discuss the stats he posts, but he's not...
If you ("wonderl33t" that is) have any questions about the original post I'd be happy to answer them. :)
 
Of course Ryan Tannehill is one of the variables in the totality of sacks. All quarterbacks are.

While this article from Football Outsiders doesn't cover the entire 2013 season, it does try to break down why sacks occur. You should see that the Dolphins offense line gave up 35 of the 45 sacks due to blown blocks. According to Football Outsiders, a blown block is when a blocker is simply physically beaten by a defender.
http://www.footballoutsiders.com/under-pressure/2013/under-pressure-sacks-confusion

Although the data you referenced above is certainly interesting and reflects a great contribution to the current thread (which I appreciate :up:), the problem with it is that when you combine the percentage of sacks due to blown blocks and confusion (presumably what would reflect the fault of the offensive line), it doesn't add to the percentage of variance in sack rate accounted for by the variables in the original post. The percentage of variance accounted for by the three variables combined is still 62%, which is no different from the percentage of the variance accounted for by the two variables in the original post, percentage of pressured dropbacks and time to release the ball.

Moreover, the two variables in the original post are significant predictors of sack rate in the model, and the third variable (based on the data you presented above) is not.

So, the upshot of that, in other words, is that Ryan Tannehill remains the biggest outlier in the league when you consider the variables that actually predict sack rate, and that isn't changed at all by the inclusion of the data you referenced.

Why would you presume that? Missed blocks due to confusion at time can also be contributed to the quarterback, running back or tight end.

Predict sack rate? Are you saying the rate at which quarterback is sacked the same for all sixteen games?

We get the same result when we restrict the new variable in the model to blown blocks only, excluding confusion. 62% of the variance in sack rate is predicted, and the percentage of blown blocks is not a significant predictor.

Sack rate is nothing more than the number of sacks divided by the number of pass dropbacks on the season.
Once again a thread with tons of views and lots of posts, with the only attack of the actual evidence consisting of the above, which was responded to by my including the referenced data in the original model (with the additional work done by me, mind you, out of respect for the poster and the data he alluded to).

Someone please do me a favor and PM me if and when a post is made similar to the one above, and I'll be happy to respond thoughtfully and respectfully. Until then, I'll consider the matter closed, and won't plan to return to the thread. :)
 
Didn't I see the OP on The Big Bang Theory??

OK, let's stipulate that Ryan is indeed holding the ball too long. What's the solution? I think the solution is for the coaching staff to teach him not to hold the ball so long. Is someone advocating that we start Matt Moore instead?
 
Once again a thread with tons of views and lots of posts, with the only attack of the actual evidence consisting of the above, which was responded to by my including the referenced data in the original model (with the additional work done by me, mind you, out of respect for the poster and the data he alluded to).

Someone please do me a favor and PM me if and when a post is made similar to the one above, and I'll be happy to respond thoughtfully and respectfully. Until then, I'll consider the matter closed, and won't plan to return to the thread. :)

In other words... la, la, la, la, la, la, la, I'm not listening to anyone.......

Time to release the ball and percentage of pressured drop backs have little to do with sack rate whether there is an coincidental correlation or not. They have nothing to do with who was responsible for the sacks. Nothing.

There has been numerous posts in this thread giving real information about sacks and their cause. You ignore all of it because it doesn't fit your preconceived agenda. You are a joke.
 
If you ("wonderl33t" that is) have any questions about the original post I'd be happy to answer them. :)

I have nothing to say that hasn't already been said and dodged, deflected and distracted.

---------- Post added at 10:53 AM ---------- Previous post was at 10:51 AM ----------

62qQyBQ-1.jpg
 
Once again a thread with tons of views and lots of posts, with the only attack of the actual evidence consisting of the above, which was responded to by my including the referenced data in the original model (with the additional work done by me, mind you, out of respect for the poster and the data he alluded to).

Someone please do me a favor and PM me if and when a post is made similar to the one above, and I'll be happy to respond thoughtfully and respectfully. Until then, I'll consider the matter closed, and won't plan to return to the thread. :)

Well, here's another criticism of your thread- you focus on, as relevant factors, a combination of the time that it takes a QB to get pressured and the QBs release time. No where do you account for an obvious criteria- a QBs ability to evade the pass rush, which if done successfully will buy time and remove the "QB pressured" tag from protecting OLs on any given play, thus skewing your data. So basically, if you're looking for an answer as to your thesis as to why RT is such an outlier as top # of times sacked, look no further:

1. The OL blew chunks
2. Tannehill does not have particularly good pocket presence or ability to avoid a pass rush, especially when he's forced to stay in the pocket
3. The idiot Mike Sherman forced Tannehill to stay in the pocket despite heavy pressure to a porous OL, negating his inherent athleticism, escapability and 4.65 speed.

And guess what? You missed all of this, because it's not buried in some obscure stats. If you would have WATCHED the games and had a clue as to what you were watching, and if you knew from the news that Tannehill was forced to stay in the pocket by Sherman, then maybe you would have seen where your statistical analysis went wrong.

In other words, as usual, you're barking up the wrong tree, connecting dots that shouldn't be connected, and arriving at erroneous conclusions. I've viewed a lot of your threads here and on thephins, most notably the ones that you started around the time that you were banned for, basically, being an annoying little s***. Would you like to guess the correlation that I noticed? You never proved a damn thing. What you do, however, is come up with dumb statements like WRs are interchangeable and of little inherent value- bad enough, but then I saw on this site you saying that QBs are far overrated as per TDs- which leaves as a causative factor randomness. Sorry Shouright/Gravity, but your work is crap. It's interesting, in small doses, but your desire to string out your debates, rehash your debates and repackage your debates, on top of being annoying, is what got you banned from thephins in the first place. You made a pariah out of yourself over there, I don't ever remember a more disliked poster, ever, and you seemed to enjoy it. We'll see if history repeats itself over here.
 
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Well, here's another criticism for your thread- you focus on, as relevant factors, a combination of the time that it takes a QB to get pressured and the QBs release time. No where do you account for an obvious criteria- a QBs ability to evade the pass rush, which if done successfully will buy time and remove the "QB pressured" tag from protecting OLs on any given play, thus skewing your data.

Because of all of these nonsensical arguments by Gravity, I have read dozens of articles discussing sacks. Nobody uses QBs release time as a factor. Why? Because it is not relevant.
 
If you look at the track record of the original poster here and on thephins, a few things become clear:

1. He enjoys aggravating other posters.

2. He takes an almost perverse pleasure in starting threads that receive a large number of posts, seemingly even greater pleasure when the large number of posts is a result of negative reaction to his OP and subsequent posts. In other words, his original posts are designed to piss off and aggravate other posters.

3. He'll poke at the same points from multiple angles, trying to get his point out like a fart trying to escape a box, looking for cracks in the walls.

4. It's no mystery as to why he was banned form thephins- he craves attention, and negative attention is not a problem. He specifically looks for statistics that make little sense but are somewhat difficult to disprove, then challenges other posters to "prove me wrong." A shrink would have a field day with this guy. If there are any shrinks out there, go to thephins and check out some of his previous threads. Same methodology, same results- misuse statistics, aggravate posters who otherwise come here to enjoy themselves, take pleasure in aggravating posters as the number of posts in the thread grows. He was truly proud of himself when one of his threads in the other site caused so much aggravation and response that hit hit 1,000 posts or so. The OP, of course, took great delight in this. And eventually he was banned from the site- gee, I wonder why.

Remember when he found the loophole effectively enabling him to restrict posting in his threads to those naive enough to treat his antics seriously? For grins, do you have any links back to the final episode over there? :up: Clearly, when it comes to vacuum-visioned OCD Raymond had nothing on him.
 
Remember when he found the loophole effectively enabling him to restrict posting in his threads to those naive enough to treat his antics seriously? For grins, do you have any links back to the final episode over there? :up: Clearly, when it comes to vacuum-visioned OCD Raymond had nothing on him.

Not off hand. There was some weird rehashing of thread topics, repackaging the ideas in thinly veiled new threads, after iirc old threads were locked because they just became too annoying. Also, other posters' threads were turned into hijack targets, taken off on rather obvious tangents to get back to his ocd points and agenda. Weird stuff, but even worse it was annoying stuff. I've never in my life seen a poster take such apparent glee in annoying other posters. It was bizarre.
 
This all makes sense.

If you have avg seconds per sack,
If you have total pass plays,

then you have the # of times the QB should be sacked vs actually sacked based on seconds for each pass play before ball is thrown.

If actually is higher then should be, well...

one: you have a problem lol, and

two: what is it?

Normally you couldn't really say right? you'd have to look at each sack and find the reason on it. But when you insert a number like 4 seconds, where if sack time is over that its QBfault, if under its linefault, you can find cause without looking at each play, and just have a general problem to blame. interesting, but still it's just finding a general problem right? Each play has different causes, different people or combinations of people to blame right? and that information will never take into account scheme right? It's an interesting topic but just doesn't really give anything substantial or singular to blame REALLY. It sort of does but it's misleading imo.
 
We finally get rid of the bastard, but you still give people nightmares by bumping his thread...please...let him die in piece.
 
The OP's stats are shady, and I simply do not believe many of them are accurate.
 
The OP's stats are shady, and I simply do not believe many of them are accurate.

What a fantastic post. Glad you felt the need to bump this thread just to start the trash talking once more. Very noble and productive of you.
 
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