When will FH mods realize the OP is a troll
If you ("wonderl33t" that is) have any questions about the original post I'd be happy to answer them. :)These threads would serve a purpose if Shou was willing to discuss the stats he posts, but he's not...
Of course Ryan Tannehill is one of the variables in the totality of sacks. All quarterbacks are.
While this article from Football Outsiders doesn't cover the entire 2013 season, it does try to break down why sacks occur. You should see that the Dolphins offense line gave up 35 of the 45 sacks due to blown blocks. According to Football Outsiders, a blown block is when a blocker is simply physically beaten by a defender.
http://www.footballoutsiders.com/under-pressure/2013/under-pressure-sacks-confusion
Although the data you referenced above is certainly interesting and reflects a great contribution to the current thread (which I appreciate :up:), the problem with it is that when you combine the percentage of sacks due to blown blocks and confusion (presumably what would reflect the fault of the offensive line), it doesn't add to the percentage of variance in sack rate accounted for by the variables in the original post. The percentage of variance accounted for by the three variables combined is still 62%, which is no different from the percentage of the variance accounted for by the two variables in the original post, percentage of pressured dropbacks and time to release the ball.
Moreover, the two variables in the original post are significant predictors of sack rate in the model, and the third variable (based on the data you presented above) is not.
So, the upshot of that, in other words, is that Ryan Tannehill remains the biggest outlier in the league when you consider the variables that actually predict sack rate, and that isn't changed at all by the inclusion of the data you referenced.
Why would you presume that? Missed blocks due to confusion at time can also be contributed to the quarterback, running back or tight end.
Predict sack rate? Are you saying the rate at which quarterback is sacked the same for all sixteen games?
Once again a thread with tons of views and lots of posts, with the only attack of the actual evidence consisting of the above, which was responded to by my including the referenced data in the original model (with the additional work done by me, mind you, out of respect for the poster and the data he alluded to).We get the same result when we restrict the new variable in the model to blown blocks only, excluding confusion. 62% of the variance in sack rate is predicted, and the percentage of blown blocks is not a significant predictor.
Sack rate is nothing more than the number of sacks divided by the number of pass dropbacks on the season.
Once again a thread with tons of views and lots of posts, with the only attack of the actual evidence consisting of the above, which was responded to by my including the referenced data in the original model (with the additional work done by me, mind you, out of respect for the poster and the data he alluded to).
Someone please do me a favor and PM me if and when a post is made similar to the one above, and I'll be happy to respond thoughtfully and respectfully. Until then, I'll consider the matter closed, and won't plan to return to the thread. :)
If you ("wonderl33t" that is) have any questions about the original post I'd be happy to answer them. :)
Once again a thread with tons of views and lots of posts, with the only attack of the actual evidence consisting of the above, which was responded to by my including the referenced data in the original model (with the additional work done by me, mind you, out of respect for the poster and the data he alluded to).
Someone please do me a favor and PM me if and when a post is made similar to the one above, and I'll be happy to respond thoughtfully and respectfully. Until then, I'll consider the matter closed, and won't plan to return to the thread. :)
Well, here's another criticism for your thread- you focus on, as relevant factors, a combination of the time that it takes a QB to get pressured and the QBs release time. No where do you account for an obvious criteria- a QBs ability to evade the pass rush, which if done successfully will buy time and remove the "QB pressured" tag from protecting OLs on any given play, thus skewing your data.
If you look at the track record of the original poster here and on thephins, a few things become clear:
1. He enjoys aggravating other posters.
2. He takes an almost perverse pleasure in starting threads that receive a large number of posts, seemingly even greater pleasure when the large number of posts is a result of negative reaction to his OP and subsequent posts. In other words, his original posts are designed to piss off and aggravate other posters.
3. He'll poke at the same points from multiple angles, trying to get his point out like a fart trying to escape a box, looking for cracks in the walls.
4. It's no mystery as to why he was banned form thephins- he craves attention, and negative attention is not a problem. He specifically looks for statistics that make little sense but are somewhat difficult to disprove, then challenges other posters to "prove me wrong." A shrink would have a field day with this guy. If there are any shrinks out there, go to thephins and check out some of his previous threads. Same methodology, same results- misuse statistics, aggravate posters who otherwise come here to enjoy themselves, take pleasure in aggravating posters as the number of posts in the thread grows. He was truly proud of himself when one of his threads in the other site caused so much aggravation and response that hit hit 1,000 posts or so. The OP, of course, took great delight in this. And eventually he was banned from the site- gee, I wonder why.
Remember when he found the loophole effectively enabling him to restrict posting in his threads to those naive enough to treat his antics seriously? For grins, do you have any links back to the final episode over there? :up: Clearly, when it comes to vacuum-visioned OCD Raymond had nothing on him.
The OP's stats are shady, and I simply do not believe many of them are accurate.