DeDolfan
Practice Squad
Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Attention Dolfans (only)!
Attention Dolfans (only)!
- Thread starter njfinfan
- Start date
Here is some comparisons of the winning prcentages of the teams beaten
Of the Eagles' 10 wins, the aggregate record is
is 0.431. That includes beating 3 teams with
winning records: Green Bay, Carolina, Dallas.
For comparison sake:
Of the Rams' 10 wins, the aggregate
record is 0.400. That includes beating 3 teams
with winning records: Green Bay, Baltimore, and
Minnesota.
Of the Chiefs' 11 wins, the aggregate
record is 0.385. That includes beating 3 teams with
winning records: Green Bay, Baltimore, and Denver.
Of the Patriots' 11 wins, the aggregate
record is 0.552. That includes beating
6 teams with winning records: Philadelphia, Tennessee,
Dallas, Indianapolis, Denver, and Miami (twice).
Of the Dolphins 8 wins the aggergate
record is .380 This includes beating 2 teams
with a winning record Baltimore and Dallas
Now I ask who has beaten tougher opponents
as teams play through different 'spurts' of 'greatness' I think a little bit broader perspective needs to be looked at.
I would also add in spanking the Bills when they were 'red-hot superbowl bound' would contend qualify as a good win. At the same token, the Giants game (who at the time with there very good D and better then average O) was also a quality win...on the road.....beating the Jets at their house on the road.....
i.e...the NFC is not as strong as the AFC and look below as to what schedule you would rather have?
Sep 8 Tampa Bay Lost 0-17
Sep 14 New England Lost 10-31
Week 3 BYE
Sep 28 @Buffalo Won 23-13
Oct 5 Washington Won 27-25
Oct 12 @Dallas Lost 21-23
Oct 19 @N.Y. Giants Won 14-10
Oct 26 N.Y. Jets Won 24-17
Nov 2 @Atlanta Won 23-16
Nov 10 @Green Bay Won 17-14
Nov 16 N.Y. Giants Won 28-10
Nov 23 New Orleans Won 33-20
Nov 30 @Carolina Won 25-16
Dec 7 Dallas Won 36-10
Dec 15 @Miami 9:00pm
Dec 21 San Francisco 4:15pm
Dec 27 @Washington 8:30pm
Sep 7 Houston Lost 20-21
Sep 14 @N.Y. Jets Won 21-10
Sep 21 Buffalo Won 17-7
Week 4 BYE
Oct 5 @N.Y. Giants Won 23-10
Oct 12 @Jacksonville Won 24-10
Oct 19 New England Lost 13-19
Oct 27 @San Diego Won 26-10
Nov 2 Indianapolis Lost 17-23
Nov 9 @Tennessee Lost 7-31
Nov 16 Baltimore Won 9-6
Nov 23 Washington Won 24-23
Nov 27 @Dallas Won 40-21
Dec 7 @New England Lost 0-12
Dec 15 Philadelphia 9:00pm
Dec 21 @Buffalo 1:00pm
Dec 28 N.Y. Jets 1:00pm
Sagarin's ratings reflect a schedule difficulty (strength of schedule SOC for the Eagles at 19.78 and 21.50. That's #6 in SOC vs. #18.
HoustonTexans 22.1
NewYorkJets 21.88
JacksonvilleJaguars 21.86
NewEnglandPatriots 21.83
IndianapolisColts 21.58
MiamiDolphins 21.5
BuffaloBills 21.5
NewYorkGiants 21.23
WashingtonRedskins 20.91
TennesseeTitans 20.88
SanDiegoChargers 20.79
NewOrleansSaints 20.63
AtlantaFalcons 20.57
TampaBayBuccaneers 20.44
OaklandRaiders 20.36
CarolinaPanthers 20.11
ClevelandBrowns 19.92
PhiladelphiaEagles 19.78
DallasCowboys 19.75
PittsburghSteelers 19.67
ArizonaCardinals 19.67
BaltimoreRavens 19.32
CincinnatiBengals 19.17
DenverBroncos 18.84
GreenBayPackers 18.8
KansasCityChiefs 18.68
ChicagoBears 18.4
DetroitLions 18.21
SanFrancisco49ers 18.12
SeattleSeahawks 18.07
St.LouisRams 17.73
MinnesotaVikings 17.7
Not only have we played tougher opponents.....and even with our Offense stinking up so BAD we have been a hair from being 11-2 this season.....
I would also add in spanking the Bills when they were 'red-hot superbowl bound' would contend qualify as a good win. At the same token, the Giants game (who at the time with there very good D and better then average O) was also a quality win...on the road.....beating the Jets at their house on the road.....
i.e...the NFC is not as strong as the AFC and look below as to what schedule you would rather have?
Sep 8 Tampa Bay Lost 0-17
Sep 14 New England Lost 10-31
Week 3 BYE
Sep 28 @Buffalo Won 23-13
Oct 5 Washington Won 27-25
Oct 12 @Dallas Lost 21-23
Oct 19 @N.Y. Giants Won 14-10
Oct 26 N.Y. Jets Won 24-17
Nov 2 @Atlanta Won 23-16
Nov 10 @Green Bay Won 17-14
Nov 16 N.Y. Giants Won 28-10
Nov 23 New Orleans Won 33-20
Nov 30 @Carolina Won 25-16
Dec 7 Dallas Won 36-10
Dec 15 @Miami 9:00pm
Dec 21 San Francisco 4:15pm
Dec 27 @Washington 8:30pm
Sep 7 Houston Lost 20-21
Sep 14 @N.Y. Jets Won 21-10
Sep 21 Buffalo Won 17-7
Week 4 BYE
Oct 5 @N.Y. Giants Won 23-10
Oct 12 @Jacksonville Won 24-10
Oct 19 New England Lost 13-19
Oct 27 @San Diego Won 26-10
Nov 2 Indianapolis Lost 17-23
Nov 9 @Tennessee Lost 7-31
Nov 16 Baltimore Won 9-6
Nov 23 Washington Won 24-23
Nov 27 @Dallas Won 40-21
Dec 7 @New England Lost 0-12
Dec 15 Philadelphia 9:00pm
Dec 21 @Buffalo 1:00pm
Dec 28 N.Y. Jets 1:00pm
Sagarin's ratings reflect a schedule difficulty (strength of schedule SOC for the Eagles at 19.78 and 21.50. That's #6 in SOC vs. #18.
HoustonTexans 22.1
NewYorkJets 21.88
JacksonvilleJaguars 21.86
NewEnglandPatriots 21.83
IndianapolisColts 21.58
MiamiDolphins 21.5
BuffaloBills 21.5
NewYorkGiants 21.23
WashingtonRedskins 20.91
TennesseeTitans 20.88
SanDiegoChargers 20.79
NewOrleansSaints 20.63
AtlantaFalcons 20.57
TampaBayBuccaneers 20.44
OaklandRaiders 20.36
CarolinaPanthers 20.11
ClevelandBrowns 19.92
PhiladelphiaEagles 19.78
DallasCowboys 19.75
PittsburghSteelers 19.67
ArizonaCardinals 19.67
BaltimoreRavens 19.32
CincinnatiBengals 19.17
DenverBroncos 18.84
GreenBayPackers 18.8
KansasCityChiefs 18.68
ChicagoBears 18.4
DetroitLions 18.21
SanFrancisco49ers 18.12
SeattleSeahawks 18.07
St.LouisRams 17.73
MinnesotaVikings 17.7
Not only have we played tougher opponents.....and even with our Offense stinking up so BAD we have been a hair from being 11-2 this season.....
Sagarin's system works for Sagarin .
What I show is the simple truth not some contrived calculation by Sagarin so he can sell his material LOL
Sagarin quote "my system works, so listen to me" LMAO
Let me add
You want to buy into the system go ahead, but the facts remain those winning percentages are what they are and there is no changing them.
Last edited by a moderator:
It may not be the best....but it takes more into consideration then just a W/L record. I think it is safe and fair to make the assessment that the AFC (at least this year) is much tougher then the NFC....and the W's earned count for more (for lack of a better phrase) when determining the strength of opponents a team has played. I don't hold Sagarin's ranking's as gold.... :)
DeDolfan
Practice Squad
I'll consider current trends before any other. What happened in weeks 1-2 have little, if any, bearing on weeks 14-16. In other words, the eagles are getting stronger as the season goes on. We on the other hand are so damn herky jerky, up and down, nobody can get a handle on them. Any prediction of us kicking anybobies butt is rather silly right now because we have no way of knowing which team shows up to play, Hyde or Jeckyll. If that team shows up that beat the 'boys on Thanksgiving Day, then quite simply, the eagles do not stand a chance. Question is, who is willing to take THAT bet? I sure ain't. This teams demonstrates no consistency at all and it is a serious problem.
I edited above
I'll give you that the AFC "appears" tougher, we won't know until the SB. But the winning percentages are what they are and you can only play who is on your schedule, that Sunday.
The problem with Sagarin's ratings they due not account immediately for intangibles - injuries/what players are coming back, who's has a streak (trend), Ect. the "imprecise probabilities" if you will. If Sagarin system actually worked every sports book in the world would be broke.
njfinfan
Finheaven's "First Lady"
I've always believed and voiced many times that the Dolphins only consistency is their inconsistency. It's still the truth and I'm just hoping that the team that played Dallas is the one that plays Monday night.