Dolphins Have This Secret Weapon Who Will Help Them Beat The Jaguars On Sunday | Page 3 | FinHeaven - Miami Dolphins Forums

Dolphins Have This Secret Weapon Who Will Help Them Beat The Jaguars On Sunday

The jags are the exact type of team that gives us fits since we can’t block on offense and can’t stop the run on defense. I’m expecting a loss.
 
Aqua and Orange said:
This is the kind of game we blow the doors off of the other team while we are likely mathematically eliminated.

Time to inflate those Tannehill stats, and give the stubborn coaches enough points to confuse Mr. Magoo Ross as to what to do this offseason. I can't wait!
Click to expand...
Mr Magoo was a Rutgers alumni not Michigan
 
we will win this game. Jags are done this yr. or we play around
 
Last edited:
adamprez2003 said:
Exactly. I don't know why people still don't understand that a betting line isn't a prediction of the score but rather a prediction of the point where both sides will bet the same amount of money
Click to expand...

Its not that either. Vegas can't "balance the books" every game. They have a rooting interest in almost every game.
 
CoryMatthews said:
How bad is it that as fans the only excitement we get is rooting for another team to lose.
Click to expand...
Circumstantial. I am sure I wouldn't root for the Patriots to lose as much if not for the decade plus of winning through cheating. In a league which is set up for parity cheaters stand out.

And this is certainly not the only excitement I have with the NFL.
 
Rowdy1972 said:
Its not that either. Vegas can't "balance the books" every game. They have a rooting interest in almost every game.
Click to expand...

Your version is correct but the other version dominates conventional wisdom. That is never going to change. People love the image of mysterious men behind the curtain who have inside information and somehow know where the money will go and what the result will be. They tweak everything to balanced action and love it when the public hands them victory via juice no matter which side prevails.

Meanwhile I used to watch sportsbook manager Nick Bogdanovich kick the tall file cabinet at the Horseshoe night after night while desperately rooting in the sides the house needed. He intentionally wore hard toed shoes so he wouldn't hurt his toes. When famed poker player Doyle Brunson wagered $55,000 on every bowl game in 1989 it severely slanted our outlook on all of those games. During the Miami/Alabama matchup in the Sugar Bowl, Nick was sweating the final minutes to such emotional extent he was basically crying. During Alabama's final drive Nick put his hand on my shoulder and said, "I swear, Gary, if we can somehow pull this one out I'll never complain about another result as long as we're here." The 3 or 4 of us in the small office all broke out into laughter. Nick was guaranteed to be whining about something the next day. Very good guy who is still in the business at high level, but gad did he sweat any result the house needed. Even on slow nights he'd be calling me from his home and asking me to check the computer and read out to him what side we needed in every basketball and hockey game, and for how much.

That is reality. It is hardly balanced action. I have no idea how anyone can think that you get a steady stream of equal tickets on both sides and equal money on both sides, even if the line never moves. The joint across the street can be heavy one way while you are heavy the other way. But it doesn't make sense to move the number because every other joint is at your number. You are going to "buy a bet" on a number that nobody else is using.

As I mentioned last week, a pointspread is indeed a prediction of the outcome. It is a prediction of the final score. I got chief Nevada oddsmaker Michael Roxborough to agree to that on the Stardust Line radio show nearly 30 years ago. Roxy was one of the few guys in that town who knew what a joke it was that outsiders held Las Vegas in such awe. He didn't mind admitting things that some of the sportsbook managers would never say in public. Those managers are the worst of the worst in wanting to pretend they have special formulas to produce the sacred pointspread. What a farce. Take away the publicly available power ratings and they have nothing. They would be scrambling to know which side would be favored, let alone by how much.

BTW, there was money on Jacksonville today. The spread dropped to Dolphins -3.5

But to demonstrate the absurdity of pretending that the spread is not a prediction of the outcome, the Dolphins one-team over/under betting line is 21 points. The Jaguars one-team over/under is 17.5 points.

Gad, where did they get that? Did they guess? Did those sound like logical numbers?

Or did they look at the relationship between the spread and over/under? Let's see, that would be Dolphins favored by 3.5 points and a total of 38.5

Nope, no way to get to 21 and 17.5 from there. The pointspread and game total are obviously not a prediction of actual points scored or points allowed.
 
Probably the least enticing game to watch this weekend in the NFL.

Jacksonville is going to run the ball 40 times and Kessler is just atrocious

Ryan Tannehill will "efficiently" lead us to less than 20 points
 
BobDole said:
This team is so hard to predict. They could easily get the doors blown off again with the Jax D or we could take advantage of a reeling team with a bunch of turnovers. Doesn't really matter either way. Every road leads to nowhere.

Click to expand...


Well played BobDole!

We are the lords of winning meaningless games and getting BLOWN OUT when it REALLY matters!

Reminds me of a fraud who can't get it done in crunch time!

I'm pretty sure legit aquatic mammals are NOT chokers and

I bet they're not pleased by the way Ross has degraded the name "dolphin."

10 Years of Ross = 72 wins 86 losses

Truth is -- the Dolphins are now a PROVEN LOSER!

>>> insert sad bottlenose face <<<
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top Bottom