Just as many pro bowlers have been selected in the 2nd half of the first round as the 1st half. The idea that a top 10 pick guarantees success is silly
149 Pro Bowlers and 70 All-Pros drafted in the 1st half of the 1st Round since 1998.
86 Pro Bowlers and 32 All-Pros drafted in the 2nd half of the 1st Round since 1998.
And just doing a quick look at the 20 who went to the most Pro Bowls from those top 10 picks, only Joe Thomas played for a team that never accomplished anything in that time.
The draft is multifactoral, for sure, but there is no doubt whatsoever that you have a better shot at landing a top talent the earlier you pick. If NE had top ten picks every year, you think they **** it up like the Browns did all those years? Of course not. They'd just have more rings and likely some undefeated seasons.