My guess would be around 5 or 6 per. Now thats not unreasonable for an every down back but after all of the other positions are addressed will there be that much to spend on him?
What part of his game over the last couple games would warrant a contract like that? Hes had a missed 2012 and followed it up with a year where he rushed for under 3.5 YPC.
Last year's market:
Reggie Bush: 4 years @ 16 million. Coming off 1200 all purpose yards and 8 TD's.
Steven Jackson: 3 years @ 12 million. Coming off 1500 all purpose yards and 4 TD's.
Shonn Greene: 3 years @ 10 million. Coming off 1200 all purpose yards and 8 TD's.
Rashard Mendenhall: 1 @ 2.5 million. Coming off injury.
Ahmad Bradshaw: 1 @ 2 million. Coming off 1230 all purpose yards and 6 TD's.
Mike Goodson: 3 @ 6.9 million.
LeGarrette Blount: 1 @ 1.75 million
You could then probably argue this RB FA pool is deeper:
Ben Tate, Rashad Jennings, Darren McFadden, MJD, Knowshon Moreno, Andre Brown, Donald Brown, Rashard Mendenhall, Ahmad Bradshaw, Toby Gerhart, James Starks, LeGarrette Blount.
So with all that said, I can't see any scenario where he's making more than $4 million annually. MJD's coming off 1100 all purpose yards and 5 TD's, and he's 29 and he's coming off a down year. Something between $2-4 should get it done, and that makes him a good value. SJax is MJD last year but with superior production, so there's no reason he'd make more in a deeper FA RB pool.