Originally posted by knoxpk
Tatonka, I for 1 think you had a valid question. You wanted stats to support soem of our beleifs and I think I have them for you. Last year he had 84 tackles in 13 games which equates to about 6 1/2 tackles a game. he had 11 "stufs", 2 sacks, 1 forced fumble and 1 int. Thats a total of 15 "impact" plays in 13 games- or just over an average of 1 per game(1.15 a game)! Last year Junior either Led the team in takcles or was 2nd on the team in tackles in 6 of 13 games. Obviously you realize he was injured and slowed part of the season as well. But still this old, hobbled player managed to be in the top 2 almost 50% of the time.
At the pace he played last year in 3 less game he wouldve ended up (most likely) with stats as impressive as what he had in 2001,1999 and 1997.
In 1997 when he as just 28 years old he had 97 tackles in 15 games ( 6.46 a game) 9 stuffs ,7 sacks ,1 forced fumble and 1 int.
The only MAJOR difference was the fact he had 5 less sacks last year. Seau had a total of 18 impact plays in 15 games(1.2 a game)in 1997.
When I say impact play I am referring to an OBVIOUS negative yardage play (sack or stuff) or a forced turnover(INT or Fumble).
Now combine that with the fact that he is playing on a talented "D" that has good pressure from the front 4 a good secondary and a very talented middle LB and it easy to see why we are sure that Seau will only elevate this "D".
Compare to Rodgers in 16 games he had just 74 tackles 2 int's and 4 stuffs 0 sacks and 0 Forced Fumbles. That is 6 impact plays in 16 games or .37 per game. So basically 1 "impact play" every 3 games. Now what "IF" we couldve got one more IMPACT play in the Jets, NE or Miiny game? Well we are hoping that the law of averages works in our favor. The evidence shows he is good for that one per game and a little more every 6 games or so.
One more thing to consider, I bring this up b/c the issue of age seems to be a BIG factor when discussing Junior.
How Old was Hardy Nickerson in 1999 and how many years was in he in the league when he made the Pro bowl for the BUCS in 1999?
I ask this becasue I see a parallel.
Here it is: All Pro player, Up in age, competing on a team where he ISNT the only major talent on the squad.
Tatonka I hope this satisfies your thirst for knowledge as well as your curiousity concerning Dol-Fans optimism.
pk