The Dolphins’ Jarvis Landry has some cryptic tweets. Let’s try to make sense of them | Page 11 | FinHeaven - Miami Dolphins Forums

The Dolphins’ Jarvis Landry has some cryptic tweets. Let’s try to make sense of them

This is not to say Landry is worth 14 million just to show that the lack of TD's as a team and the supposed long drives because of the mount of targets he gets is the reason we don't have a top offense is not true. Below you will see the avg drive of the top 10 scoring offenses in the NFL in 2016 excluding the Saints, Patriots, and Packers because of the elite QB's they each have giving them a signifact boost. The top is the avg drive each team has and the bottom is their averages in scoring drives. Also the Steelers and Bills were tied for 10th which is why there are 8 teams and not 7.


Cowboys Avg Drive start 28.8/Avg time per drive 3:05/Pts per drive 2.45/Avg Plays 6-Net Yds 34.8
Avg Drive start 31/Avg time per drive 4:08/Avg Plays 8.4 Avg Yds 60.9/ 81 scoring drives 49TD/27FG


Falcons Avg Drive start 29.3/Avg time per drive 2:47/Pts per drive 2.90/Avg Plays 5.9-Net YDS 38
Avg Drive start 32/Avg time per drive 3:26/Avg Plays 7.4 Avg Yds 60/ 95 scoring drives 58TD/34FG


Colts Avg Drive start 28.3/Avg time per drive 2:45/Pts per drive 2.24//Avg Plays 5.9-Net YDS 32.3
Avg Drive start 30/Avg time per drive 3:48/Avg Plays 8.3 Avg Yds 59.5/ 77 scoring drives 46TD/27FG


Cardinals Avg Drive Start 29.5/Avg time per drive 2:31/ Pts per drive 2.03/Avg Plays 5.7-NetYDS 29.5
Avg Drive start 34/Avg time per drive 3:24/Avg Plays 8 Avg Yds 57.8/ 76 scoring drives 48TD/21FG

Raiders AVG Drive Start 31.7/Avg time per drive 2:37/ Pts per drive 2.11/Plays 5.6 YDS-Net 30.7
Avg Drive Start 38/Avg time per drive 3:08/Avg Plays 7.2 Avg Yds Avg 53.2/ 81 scoring drives 46TD/29FG


Chargers Avg Drive Start 28.1/ Avg time per drive 2:42/Pts per drive 2.09/Plays 5.8-Net Yds 31.4
Avg Drive start 33/Avg time per drive 3:53/Avg Plays 8.3 Avg Yds 59/ 75 scoring drives 43TD/26FG


Bills AVG Drive Start 28.9/Avg time per drive 2:42/Pts per drive 2.14/Plays 5.9-Net Yds 31.8
Avg Drive start 34/Avg time per drive 3:31/Avg Plays 8.0 Avg Yds 59.4/ 71 scoring drives 46TD/19FG


Steelers AVG Start 27.3/Avg time per drive 2:42/Pts per drive 2.16/Plays 5.8-Net Yds 32.7
Avg Drive start 32/Avg time per drive 3:37/ Avg Plays 8.0 Avg Yds 59.1/ 74 scoring drives 46TD/24FG


Miami Avg Start 28.0/Avg time per drive 2:27/Pts per drive 1.81/Plays 5.0-Net Yds 28 YDs
Avg Drive start 35/Avg time per drive 3:16/Avg Plays 6.8 Avg Yds 59.8/ 63 scoring drives 42TD/16FG

When we score we do it faster than any of those top 10 offenses besides the Raiders, when we score we also do it in fewer amount of plays than any of those top 10 offenses. I think one of the biggest factors holding us on back on offense are 2 things.1. Consistency and 2. Negative yardage. Last year we lost 1142 yards to offensive penalties but we also lost 216 yards to sacks and our rushing offense had 14.244% negative rushing yards second only to Tampa Bay (although I don't know how accurate the rushing #s are). Just the QB sack yards and penalties alone are 1358 yards. Only the Jaguars and the Rams had more negative yardage between QB sacks and offensive penalties. Catching 5 yard passes may not be desirable but its better than - yards. Fix those issues and this offense may just rise to top 10 with Jarvis Landry leading the WR's. Pay him? I don't know, but don't blame him.
Doesnt the fact that our scoring drives use less plays and less time mean that there was a/some chunk play(s) somewhere in the drive?
 
This is not to say Landry is worth 14 million just to show that the lack of TD's as a team and the supposed long drives because of the mount of targets he gets is the reason we don't have a top offense is not true. Below you will see the avg drive of the top 10 scoring offenses in the NFL in 2016 excluding the Saints, Patriots, and Packers because of the elite QB's they each have giving them a signifact boost. The top is the avg drive each team has and the bottom is their averages in scoring drives. Also the Steelers and Bills were tied for 10th which is why there are 8 teams and not 7.


Cowboys Avg Drive start 28.8/Avg time per drive 3:05/Pts per drive 2.45/Avg Plays 6-Net Yds 34.8
Avg Drive start 31/Avg time per drive 4:08/Avg Plays 8.4 Avg Yds 60.9/ 81 scoring drives 49TD/27FG


Falcons Avg Drive start 29.3/Avg time per drive 2:47/Pts per drive 2.90/Avg Plays 5.9-Net YDS 38
Avg Drive start 32/Avg time per drive 3:26/Avg Plays 7.4 Avg Yds 60/ 95 scoring drives 58TD/34FG


Colts Avg Drive start 28.3/Avg time per drive 2:45/Pts per drive 2.24//Avg Plays 5.9-Net YDS 32.3
Avg Drive start 30/Avg time per drive 3:48/Avg Plays 8.3 Avg Yds 59.5/ 77 scoring drives 46TD/27FG


Cardinals Avg Drive Start 29.5/Avg time per drive 2:31/ Pts per drive 2.03/Avg Plays 5.7-NetYDS 29.5
Avg Drive start 34/Avg time per drive 3:24/Avg Plays 8 Avg Yds 57.8/ 76 scoring drives 48TD/21FG

Raiders AVG Drive Start 31.7/Avg time per drive 2:37/ Pts per drive 2.11/Plays 5.6 YDS-Net 30.7
Avg Drive Start 38/Avg time per drive 3:08/Avg Plays 7.2 Avg Yds Avg 53.2/ 81 scoring drives 46TD/29FG


Chargers Avg Drive Start 28.1/ Avg time per drive 2:42/Pts per drive 2.09/Plays 5.8-Net Yds 31.4
Avg Drive start 33/Avg time per drive 3:53/Avg Plays 8.3 Avg Yds 59/ 75 scoring drives 43TD/26FG


Bills AVG Drive Start 28.9/Avg time per drive 2:42/Pts per drive 2.14/Plays 5.9-Net Yds 31.8
Avg Drive start 34/Avg time per drive 3:31/Avg Plays 8.0 Avg Yds 59.4/ 71 scoring drives 46TD/19FG


Steelers AVG Start 27.3/Avg time per drive 2:42/Pts per drive 2.16/Plays 5.8-Net Yds 32.7
Avg Drive start 32/Avg time per drive 3:37/ Avg Plays 8.0 Avg Yds 59.1/ 74 scoring drives 46TD/24FG


Miami Avg Start 28.0/Avg time per drive 2:27/Pts per drive 1.81/Plays 5.0-Net Yds 28 YDs
Avg Drive start 35/Avg time per drive 3:16/Avg Plays 6.8 Avg Yds 59.8/ 63 scoring drives 42TD/16FG

When we score we do it faster than any of those top 10 offenses besides the Raiders, when we score we also do it in fewer amount of plays than any of those top 10 offenses. I think one of the biggest factors holding us on back on offense are 2 things.1. Consistency and 2. Negative yardage. Last year we lost 1142 yards to offensive penalties but we also lost 216 yards to sacks and our rushing offense had 14.244% negative rushing yards second only to Tampa Bay (although I don't know how accurate the rushing #s are). Just the QB sack yards and penalties alone are 1358 yards. Only the Jaguars and the Rams had more negative yardage between QB sacks and offensive penalties. Catching 5 yard passes may not be desirable but its better than - yards. Fix those issues and this offense may just rise to top 10 with Jarvis Landry leading the WR's. Pay him? I don't know, but don't blame him.
do you have a link to this, I'm interested in seeing a full team by team break down, ( what's in bold )
 
do you have a link to this, I'm interested in seeing a full team by team break down, ( what's in bold )

I went to pro-football-reference.com and did the math myself but here is where I found penalties and QB sacks. For the penalties scroll down to Offense and it will show you a lot of overall team stats for all teams. For the QB sacks i just went to passing stats for 2016 and grouped it by team because some teams had more than 1 QB start. The Browns alone had 3 QB's with 18-21 sacks each. Here are the links

https://www.pro-football-reference.com/years/2016/

https://www.pro-football-reference.com/years/2016/passing.htm
 
He sounds like a 15 year old girl that makes everything about themselves on social media. Not surprising as his playing style is exactly the same thing. All about himself.
I know one thing, in my opinion, he looks like a complete idiot with that stupid mechanical robot thing he does after every catch. Generally, I like Jarvis, but there comes a point where is he really worth all this? As many have pointed out he's a slot receiver without speed. Dude can catch and run after the catch I'll give him that, but just because he's the best receiver on our team does not warrant him getting top four receiver money.
 
Doesnt the fact that our scoring drives use less plays and less time mean that there was a/some chunk play(s) somewhere in the drive?

Yes most likely, which is the point. People who are against signing Landry to a big deal say that running the offense through him results in long slow scoring drives, or that we can't be a high scoring offense because of it. Yet on average we scored faster than 7 of the top 10 offenses and did it in fewer plays than 8 of the top 10 offenses. I'm not saying he's worth outrageous money, I just don't agree that we can't be a top offense with him a primary target or because he is our primary WR our drives are long and slow.
 
I strongly agree with the sentiment that if Joe Philbin had not kept Rishard Matthews in his doghouse for THREE YEARS because the guy had gone out to his car during halftime of a pre-season game (or whatever stupid thing it was), Miami likely would have had a good wide receiver on the field, may have been able to make a more productive draft selection in the 1st round of 2015, and also may have been able to retain Matthews by not pissing him off.

In hindsight, I dislike Joe Philbin more than I did when he was here. Some of the personnel moves the Dolphins made during his time in Miami were reasonable -- like trading Vontae Davis because he kept showing up for practice drunk -- while some of them were really infuriating. I think I blame Ireland for Dansby though, to be fair. Dansby took a shot at Ireland on the radio and that was that.

Matthews was not a good player during those three years. He played a fair amount and he was not good. When he changed the way he prepared and became a good player he played a lot more.

He was a 7th round pick that was undisciplined (which is one of the reasons he dropped to the 7th round), then he matured and became one of the better receivers in the league by his 4th year. You can choose to look at that as stupid Philbin keeping a great player on the bench the whole time or you can look at it as a developed player, a success story.

Here are our yards per play numbers:

2015
Landry- 1.30 yards per snap
Matthews- 1.27
Parker- 0.89
Stills- 0.78
Jennings- 0.50

2014
Landry-1.11 yards per snap
Wallace- 1.05
Matthews- 0.64
Gibson- 0.59
Hartline- 0.58
Sims- 0.56
(Stills-1.51 yards on each of his 617 offensive snaps in 2014. Which is better by far than any Dolphin receiver.)

2013
Gibson- 1.41 yards per snap on 252 snaps
Hartline- 1.12 yards per on 907 offensive snaps
Wallace- 0.98 yards per snap on 951 snaps
Matthews- 0.86 yards per on 519 snaps

2012
Hartline- 1.21
Bess- 1.05
Matthews- 0.65 (232 offensive snaps)
M. Moore- 0.59 (196 offensive snaps)

This doesn't seem that out of the ordinary to me. You could argue he took an extra season to develop but there was no reason to play him over the guys in front of him, at least not statistically. Hell, we're doing similar with Caroo and Grant now only they are playing way less than Matthews did and they weren't 7th round picks.
 
I think everybody is overthinking this thing based on a couple of million dollars a year. The Fins waste stupid money on players like Alonso and Branch year after year.

Jarvis is a good football player who plays hard. We made him play for cheap this last year so yeah now you have to overpay. That’s what happens in FA when you don’t tear up a contract for a player who has outplayed his deal. Most importantly the guy suits up every week and is ready to go. You let players like Parker walk and pay Juice.
 
These are our yards per play numbers from 2012 to present:

2017
Landry 0.99
Stills 0.98
Parker 0.90
Grant 0.68
Caroo 0.48

2016
Landry 1.27
Parker 1.01
Stills 0.91
Caroo 0.24
Grant 0.00

2015
Landry- 1.30 yards per snap
Matthews- 1.27
Parker- 0.89
Stills- 0.78
Jennings- 0.50

2014
Landry-1.11 yards per snap
Wallace- 1.05
Matthews- 0.64
Gibson- 0.59
Hartline- 0.58
Sims- 0.56
(Stills-1.51 yards on each of his 617 offensive snaps in 2014. Which is better by far than any Dolphin receiver.)

2013
Gibson- 1.41 yards per snap on 252 snaps
Hartline- 1.12 yards per on 907 offensive snaps
Wallace- 0.98 yards per snap on 951 snaps
Matthews- 0.86 yards per on 519 snaps

2012
Hartline- 1.21
Bess- 1.05
Matthews- 0.65 (232 offensive snaps)
M. Moore- 0.59 (196 offensive snaps)
 
I don't get a comparison of Juice to Baldwin to justify a 12-14 Mil contract. In addition to that argument, all the comments about Juice playing tough or his heart, or the fact that he's one of our best offensive players to justify signing him long term. I can't get behind any of it. If we sign him we are looking at more mediocrity as a team down the road. I'm an older adult fan and I'm sick of watching my team make the playoffs 3 times since 2000!!! And in those 3 years, we were one & done!!! Paying a slot receiver, who doesn't get YAC, 12-14 Mil isn't going to make us a super bowl contender. Hell the Broncos are looking to get out from D. Thomas's contract in order to improve their offense. We can't as a team afford to spend that kind of money on a slot guy. It would be one more bad contract in a long line of bad contracts i.e. Suhs, Alonso, Thomas, Timmons, Maxwell, Branch and for that matter Tannehill's bad contract. This team has no leadership and is undisciplined, creating too many penalties. This team doesn't need Landry, it needs blown up!!! You can't fill the holes this team has by signing Juice long term. This teams front office reminds me of the Yankees years ago when they would sign 30 year olds to long term deals like Ellerby. I'm more in the camp of blowing this thing up & building through the draft like the Astros have done.
 
To add to my previous post. This organization's problem starts with ownership. As owner, why would you not fire our front office, Tbum and Grier. Then hire someone like John Dorsey to turn this mess around. "On June 22, 2017, the Chiefs organization and Dorsey agreed to part ways, this after posting a 43–21 record and three trips to the postseason in his four seasons as GM for the Chiefs."
 
These are our yards per play numbers from 2012 to present:

2017
Landry 0.99
Stills 0.98
Parker 0.90
Grant 0.68
Caroo 0.48

2016
Landry 1.27
Parker 1.01
Stills 0.91
Caroo 0.24
Grant 0.00

2015
Landry- 1.30 yards per snap
Matthews- 1.27
Parker- 0.89
Stills- 0.78
Jennings- 0.50

2014
Landry-1.11 yards per snap
Wallace- 1.05
Matthews- 0.64
Gibson- 0.59
Hartline- 0.58
Sims- 0.56
(Stills-1.51 yards on each of his 617 offensive snaps in 2014. Which is better by far than any Dolphin receiver.)

2013
Gibson- 1.41 yards per snap on 252 snaps
Hartline- 1.12 yards per on 907 offensive snaps
Wallace- 0.98 yards per snap on 951 snaps
Matthews- 0.86 yards per on 519 snaps

2012
Hartline- 1.21
Bess- 1.05
Matthews- 0.65 (232 offensive snaps)
M. Moore- 0.59 (196 offensive snaps)
What does yards per snap reflect in your opinion... I know it's total yards/total snap, but what do you think it means?
 
He sounds like a 15 year old girl that makes everything about themselves on social media. Not surprising as his playing style is exactly the same thing. All about himself.

Funny, he acts like a 15 year old girl often on the field too... LOL
 
What does yards per snap reflect in your opinion... I know it's total yards/total snap, but what do you think it means?

It speaks to who your teams most productive receivers are. There could be mitigating factors, like the QB is conservative, or has a noodle arm, or the WR is always double teamed, the player is not 100% or whatever, that is up to you to try to decipher. Here are NE's yards per snap numbers for the past few seasons:

2017
Gronk- 1.20
Amendola- 1.16
Cooks- 1.02
Hogan- 0.74
Dorsett- 0.51

2016
Gronk- 1.53
Edelman- 1.26
Amendola- 0.91
Hogan- 0.82
Bennett- 0.81
Mitchell- 0.75

2015
Edelman- 1.32
Gronk- 1.26
Amendola- 1.13
LaFell- 0.78
Dobson- 0.67
Martin- 0.19

2014
Gronk- 1.36
Edelman- 1.21
LaFell- 1.04
Amendola- 0.44

As a test here are the teams with dominate wrs for 2017:

Atlanta
Julio Jones- 1.89
Sanu- 0.93
Gabriel- 0.70
Hooper- 0.67
Hardy- 0.58

Pittsburgh
Antonio Brown- 1.73
Smith-Schuster- 1.30
Bryant- 0.88
James- 0.41

Cincinnati
A.J. Green- 1.26
Erickson- 0.96
Boyd- 0.73
LaFell- 0.63
Kroft- 0.49
 
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Personally, I think Landry and Edelman are very comparable players. And I don't think the Patriots would hesitate in dumping Edelman if he was asking for the type of money Landry is asking for, even if age wasn't a factor. So we probably should part ways.
 
It speaks to who your teams most productive receivers are. There could be mitigating factors, like the QB is conservative, or has a noodle arm, or the WR is always double teamed, the player is not 100% or whatever, that is up to you to try to decipher. Here are NE's yards per snap numbers for the past few seasons:

2017
Gronk- 1.20
Amendola- 1.16
Cooks- 1.02
Hogan- 0.74
Dorsett- 0.51

2016
Gronk- 1.53
Edelman- 1.26
Amendola- 0.91
Hogan- 0.82
Bennett- 0.81
Mitchell- 0.75

2015
Edelman- 1.32
Gronk- 1.26
Amendola- 1.13
LaFell- 0.78
Dobson- 0.67
Martin- 0.19

2014
Gronk- 1.36
Edelman- 1.21
LaFell- 1.04
Amendola- 0.44

As a test here are the teams with dominate wrs for 2017:

Atlanta
Julio Jones- 1.89
Sanu- 0.93
Gabriel- 0.70
Hooper- 0.67
Hardy- 0.58

Pittsburgh
Antonio Brown- 1.73
Smith-Schuster- 1.30
Bryant- 0.88
James- 0.41

Cincinnati
A.J. Green- 1.26
Erickson- 0.96
Boyd- 0.73
LaFell- 0.63
Kroft- 0.49
We pretty much agree on this then. I don't think it measures ability very well but could be very useful for game modeling IMO...
 
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