Those Last 4 Games - Yikes

SF Dolphin Fan

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Keep hearing that and don't want to disagree completely. But, if Miami losses one of the next 3 and splits the last 4, that is still in the hunt and a remarkable record based on FH predictions this past summer. Clearly, winning the next 3 would make the path MUCH easier.
Yes, 10-6 could get them there. It will be fun to look at the standings for a change, instead of checking in on what players are rising and falling in the NFL draft!
 

jazz015

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As of now I think the raiders and bills are the most winnable. The raiders are the perfect match because flores is going to strip away the running game and make carr beat us. The bills pulled it out thanks to playing a much less cohesive unit. If we can get the lead on them, it will force Josh Allen into unfavorable situations where he struggles.

KC/NE will be the hardest because one is the best team in the league. Then bill belichick is going to throw some things at Tua he has never seen. This will be the toughest of the two.
 

LANGER72

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Our defense creating turnovers seems to be our catalyst to wins this year. And soecial teams play.
As Tua and the offense continue to improve, and we stay healthy, we have a good shot to 10-6
 

Marino1313

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If we keep playing all 3 phases like we have been, I’m confident. How long can we sustain that though?
 

Mach2

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If we keep playing all 3 phases like we have been, I’m confident. How long can we sustain that though?
I guess a person's answer would depend on whether they see the current success as a smoke and mirrors illusion, or a product of great coaching, disciplined players, and superior game planning.

I believe the latter. Obviously better teams are going to be more challenging and I expect, ultimately, that we need more "horses" (skills) on offense, and more experience from our young offensive line.
 

1972forever

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Let’s get through the next 3 games before we even contemplate what might happen over the final 4 games. I have no doubt Flores and the players aren’t looking past the Broncos and therefore I‘m not either.
 

Lovethefish

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no doubt. It’s their path to use a felger term. Line up and run tbe rock and use cam as a primary ball carrier situationally... it’s the only path really for them
It’s a dangerous team - not in glamorous or fancy way.
Solid OL & RB stable.
QB killer in short yardage
Secondary personnel will slow you down
Coached better than anyone
They are built to slow it down and win 20-17.
 

Lovethefish

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I guess a person's answer would depend on whether they see the current success as a smoke and mirrors illusion, or a product of great coaching, disciplined players, and superior game planning.

I believe the latter. Obviously better teams are going to be more challenging and I expect, ultimately, that we need more "horses" (skills) on offense, and more experience from our young offensive line.
Good points. I would add the QB will elevate his play and carry the team.

I agree - We do need some “horses” as you said. I call them game changers - others might say some ammo for Tua.

A developed Tua - a WR1 and RB1 brings this team to Steelers - KC level.
 

gofins60

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If these were the Dolphins of the last 8 years (before Flores), then I'd expect to see them heading into Buffalo in Week 17 having beaten both the Chiefs and the Raiders, but losing to the Jets and Patriots making it impossible to win the division, and needing to beat the Bills just for a shot at a Wild Card.

However, those Dolphins are gone (thankfully!), so I couldn't even guess how they'll do. I do believe that they'll get after Mahomes and have a chance to beat KC, but they'll probably have trouble against other teams with a strong running game and/or mobile QBs like Allen and Newton. (I hate saying that because I've never liked Newton.)
 

marino2duper73

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Here's an exercise I like to do. If you use ESPN's percentages of who will win each game, you can map out how the remaining schedule for every team will go.

MIA (6-3)
53.2% chance of winning (@DEN)
68.8% chance of winning (@NYJ)
65.5% chance of winning (CIN)
24.6% chance of winning (KC)
50.1% chance of winning (NE)
35.8% chance of winning (@LV)
37.9% chance of winning (@BUF)

If you move the decimal place over 2 places to the left and add them all up, you get 3.359. So basically what that says is we're likely to get 3 more wins and have about a 36% chance of getting a 4th. So most likely we'll be 9-7 but could get to 10-6.

Of course ESPN percentages isn't the end all be all but it's an interesting way to look at it. I'll post the rest of the AFC teams in contention below.

PIT (9-0): .858 + .499 + .772 + .568 + .732 + .642 + .672 = 4.743 (14-2)
KC (8-1): .758 + .550 + .883 + .752 + .577 + .828 + .862 = 5.210 (13-3)
IND (6-3): .455 + .550 + .529 + .442 + .648 + .355 + .788 = 3.767 (10-6)
BUF (7-3): .740 + .400 + .429 + .616 + .498 + .618 = 3.301 (10-6)
BAL (6-3): .684 + .497 + .884 + .712 + .882 + .817 + .756 = 5.232 (11-5)
LV (6-3): .240 + .489 + .729 + .555 + .639 + .639 + .617 = 3.908 (10-6)
TEN (6-3): .314 + .447 + .615 + .713 + .694 + .346 + .541 = 3.670 (10-6)
MIA (6-3): .532 + .688 + .655 + .246 + .501 + .358 + .379 = 3.359 (9-7)
CLE (6-3): .519 + .635 + .382 + .285 + .535 + .674 + .326 = 3.356 (9-7)
My head just exploded.
 
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