This is comically predictable. The Dolphins are going to leak every might-happen, could-be scenario imaginable if they think it sounds positive and will sway a small segment of the population to vote Yes.
Then they can quietly drop the matter and say they never promised anything, if the vote passes.
I'm a huge soccer fan, but as I posted months ago when the renovation issue arose, if the stadium is still viable for pro soccer then what have we accomplished in terms of remodeling the lower bowl?
It's a horrendous stadium in terms of home field impact. That's all I care about. Nothing will change upon this desperate patchwork. I've studied home field impact in football and basketball for nearly 30 years and I'm not aware of a single example of a patched stadium that miraculously transformed from a glorified neutral site to a dungeon for the opposing team.
Like a cheap maiden claiming horse, Sun Life Stadium has a track record, and it's worthy of the glue factory, or in this case implosion, not 400 million additional wasted dollars and decades of likely mediocrity for any team that calls it home. I have no idea how we're content to ignore the devastating numerical realities in favor of subjective fantasy. The Dolphins averaged more than a 7.5 point net advantage per game in the Orange Bowl from 1966 to 1986, despite starting out as an expansion franchise. The average was 24.3-16.8. In the Robbie Bowl we've forfeited nearly 2/3 of that edge, with an average edge of only 2.3. It breaks down to 21.5-19.2. To be fair, the '70's/early '80s Dolphins were superior overall to the '87-'12 version, as evidenced by road games. Miami had a +.6 net advantage from '66-'86 on the road, compared to -2.2 from '87 through '12.
So we're 2.8 points worse on the road and a ridiculous 5.2 points inferior at home. That's how I arrive at the estimate that we forfeited 2 to 2.5 points per game at Sun Life, compared to the Orange Bowl. At least the Dolphins made the foolish choice decades ago, a leap of faith. Paul Dee and the moronic Canes had two decades of evidence before making the masochistic switch in 2008. The Orange Bowl was demonstrably superior to the typical home venue while it's difficult to argue that Sun Life doesn't dwell near the bottom of the pack.
Here's a link from a guy who has broken down the numbers for every team, home and road, since 1980. It's similar to what I use for betting purposes. Notice that Sun Life is well down the list of home impact at 2.04. I can tell you that bettors right now don't allow 2 points for Sun Life. It's closer to 1.5. Our 2.04 would be lighter if he excluded 1980 through 1986, when we were still in the Orange Bowl:
http://www.boydsbets.com/home-field-advantage-in-the-nfl/
