It is, but his point is, if you want to throw to Ginn even if he has extra ppl covering him, THROW IT ANYWAYS. Take a chance. At least that's exactly how I felt watching the dolphins last sunday. "For god's sake take a bleepin chance C. Pennington ."
And then when they do that and the ball gets picked off, Chad Pennington is an idiot for forcing the ball into double coverage.
Listen, I understand the difference between the concepts of attacking a defense at its weakest point, versus attacking a defense with your strongest weapon. But last year the biggest strength of this offense was its well-rounded ability to attack a defense at its weakest point and win. Miami has a bunch of solid but not spectacular skill position players that are well coached. They don't have Randy Moss.
In the end, the biggest problem this last Sunday, the reason we lost the game, was because we turned the ball over four times. Anthony Fasano has to not fumble those balls. Chad Pennington has to get rid of that ball before he gets sack/fumbled, and/or someone needs to make a better protection call that doesn't leave the 270+ pound DE Kroy Biermann a free lane into the backfield with the only thing standing between him and the QB being a 230 pound Ronnie Brown. That's not smart football. Chad Pennington needs to not make a bad read in that zone drop of Mike Peterson's that resulted in an interception. Without those plays, we probably win the ball game.
The defense yielded 10 points off four turnover, each of which gave the Falcons the ball in scoring range. Could they have scored those 10 points if they hadn't been handed the ball like that? Maybe, but doubtful. So we're talking about Atlanta walking away from this game with maybe 13 or 16 points, without the turnovers.
How many would Miami have scored if it didn't turn the ball over like that? Miami was about to have a 2nd & 4 at the Falcons' 10 yard line when Fasano fumbled that first ball. That's a very favorable down and distance mark. They could convert and have a 1st & Goal from inside the 5 yard line, which yields a touchdown more often than not. They got to the Atlanta 37 yard line, basically on the door step of field goal range, and then they get a 10 yard penalty, and throw an interception. If they hadn't done that, you don't think they get 3 points out of that drive? In the third quarter, Ronnie Brown has a 14 yard run, followed by a 10 yard pass to Anthony Fasano, this coming off the aforementioned drive where they drove the ball 43 yards down the field prior to the 10 yard penalty and subsequent interference...and not long before the drive where Pennington drove them down for a touchdown. What I'm getting at is, Miami had started to find a rhythm on offense. They had started to make plays, convert downs, get yards, etc. But, on this drive, Fasano catches one for 10 yards and fumbles again. It would have been 1st & 10 from the Miami 38 yard line, with the offense in rhythm. Could they have gotten another 3 or even 7 points out of that drive? Quite possibly.
Every turnover is worth 3 points. You have to view it like that. You turn the ball over close to, or in FG range, you're giving up 3 points. You turn the ball outside of scoring range, and the 40 yards of punt yardage that you're giving up equates to about 3 points (100 yards = 7 points). Turnovers on the goal line are worth closer to 7 points. Miami lost the turnover battle at -4. That's 12 points. They lost by 12 points. That's not a coincidence. Then you factor in other hidden yardage battles like penalties, special teams, fumble/interception returns, compare all of that with other minus plays that the other guys had, and you've got a good look at the way the ball game went.
Tony Sparano says Miami gave up 172 yards of hidden yardage, which equates to about 12 points. That's a friendly estimate, IMO. The way I see it, each turnover is worth about 40 yards. The Falcons piled on an additional 92 yards of returns on those turnovers. I tally that at 252 yards. Then you add 27 penalty yards.
On the other hand, missed FGs are turnovers. They're worth 40 yards each and Atlanta had two of them, plus they kneeled on the ball at the door step of our end zone at the end of the game...which to me is like a missed FG. A missed extra point is worth 15 yards. Atlanta's net punting average on 4 punts was only 31.0 yards, our punting average on 5 punts was 38.8 yards. That's about 35 yards lost by Atlanta in hidden yardage. On the other hand Miami's average starting field position on 5 kickoffs was it's own 17.2 yard line, where Atlanta's on 2 kickoffs was its own 47.5 yard line, and I'll call that discrepancy at about 106 yards lost by Miami.
Add it all up and Miami lost 385 hidden yards, Atlanta lost 205 hidden yards, that's about 12.5 points going against Miami. It suggests that if Miami hadn't been so much more focused on shooting themselves in the foot, they might have had a victory.