First off I have my doubts about your timeline. But, let's pretend it is accurate. Why cut a guy you know has the potential to be a high quality backup, and eventual starter? We've had enough Ray Lucas action among our backup QBs to warrant that maybe, just maybe, we should keep a guy in this system long term to be our backup and that we we don't keep underperforming the mediocre quarterbacks that we keep bringing in here.
Let me hit you with some reality. The following are the QB ratings of players we DUMPED over the last decade, since dumping them, versus the QB ratings of our QBs over the same time period...
QB Ratings
Damon Huard 2001-2007 vs. Miami QBs 2001-2007: 85.8 vs. 71.9
Brian Griese 2004-2007 vs. Miami QBs 2004-2007: 76.1 vs. 68.7
A.J. Feeley 2005-2007 vs. Miami QBs 2005-2007: 77.8 vs. 71.2
Sage Rosenfels 2006-2007 vs. Miami QBs 2006-2007: 87.3 vs. 70.4
Joey Harrington 2007 vs. Miami QBs 2007: 77.2 vs. 69.6
Daunte Culpepper 2007 vs. Miami QBs 2007: 78.0 vs. 69.6
Notice a trend? The only ones missing, really, are Gus Frerotte and Ray Lucas. Lucas will never get a shot in the NFL ever again. But, give Frerotte time, he just might outperform us yet...the way the trend goes. Next is Cleo Lemon, watch him end up playing better than our guys this year.
This is what I'm talking about when I say premature reactionation. We've absolutely not had any premium talent at the QB position over the years. Not denying that and I'm sure some idiot out there is going to pretend that's what I'm saying when I'm clearly not. However, what assets we did have, we consistently traded out for worse assets...simply because we were disappointed and kept chasing the hot dot.
You know, the average mutual fund investor underperforms the mutual funds they invest in. What does that mean? It's the same thing. Mr. Lay Investor decides he's going to invest his money in a mutual fund, so he picks the fund with a hot recent track record. Ride the hot hand, he thinks. Then that fund goes through some reversion to the mean, and eventually, recent performance sucks and Mr. Lay Investor says screw this crap, I'm taking my money elsewhere. So he finds the new hot dot. Then THAT fund goes through some reversion to the mean. By the time he gets done with 30 years of investing, each of the funds he invested in could have earned an annualized 11%, while Mr. Lay Investor earned an annualized 7% and he wonders why.
We paid a hefty price for the rights to John Beck. Why would we just suddenly give those rights up, after 1.5 training camps? Sounds like pure overreaction, to me...the kind that has plagued this franchise and sent it to the basement.