Well we won 4 games last year, but about 8 others could/should have gone either way. Mia to me last year was at least as good as any 6 or 7-win team. I think the addition of a stud RB, AJ feely more experienced and(if) he throws less INTs for Tds, the departure of Dave, (who alone cost us a couple games), and the addition of saban and linehan should translate to another 4 or 5 wins. While losing surtain may cost, I think it's almost evened out with a bolstered pass rush in K.karter. Anyway, just a guess but if surtain stays we're a playoff team at 10-6, if he doesn't we'll be scrapping it out and 9-7