Super Duper Club
- Feb 8, 2005
- Reaction score
- Las Vegas
I don't think there are many layers. There is irrational fear and there is logic. j-off-her-doll described the way you are supposed to look at it...if Tua is 50% to hit big then you boost your odds to hit big with another guy who is also 50% or thereabouts.j-off-her-doll makes some interesting points. We most likely will not see a pick this high again in the next decade (assuming we stay at 3). QB is the most important position and the chances of getting it right increase with another blue chip prospect. While the 3rd pick isn't free, it seems like a luxury pick for a 10-11 win team. I am not advocating the pick of a quarterback at 3, but the front office should think about it, right? We have seen this franchise with a top quarterback (Marino) and without one (since Marino). We all hope Tua is that guy.
Completely hypothetical since there is no way to know this right now...but if Tua ends up being a top 12-15 quarterback in the league and a kid like Wilson is a top 5 quarterback in the league, do you make that pick? This probably isn't a great comparison because I am just throwing some names out regardless of where they were drafted, but if you drafted Matt Ryan, would you double down and draft Aaron Rodgers the following year.
I know there are so many layers to this decision like salary cap, who gets playing time, qb controvery and its effect on team dynamics, etc. J-off should start a new topic on this. I would be curious to see people weigh in on this.
I've argued this type of thing for years, including when the Redskins and Giants were picking ahead of us last year. Were they really going to settle for Dwayne Haskins and Daniel Jones? Now one is already gone and you can argue the other franchise is actually in worse shape because it seems intent on Jones and his annual 6.5 YPA. Daniel Jones has to be the only quarterback in modern history who has never managed 7 YPA in any season -- college or pro -- yet continues to be named starter when healthy. Maybe those franchises are thrilled with the two linemen they took. I would not be. Jigsaw puzzles are not pretty at all when the biggest piece is missing. Those early spots should be reserved for players who score points, as Bill Polian has insisted.
That's even more true now, with scoring way up across the league. Although I think some of that was due to no fans, and therefore more of a practice type of environment. Fans amp up defensive intensity.