Just realize that around half the people on the website think anything other than 0-16 is a failed season, and they will not listen to any other form of logic or reasoning. If it works in Madden, it will work in real life right? Nevermind that the last 1st overall QB picks were: Kyler Murray (small sample size), Baker Mayfield (juries not out yet), Jared Goff (good QB, not elite), Andrew Luck (retired now, was great/almost-elite when he played), Cam Newton (played at Elite level maybe 2 seasons in total), Sam Bradford (bust), Matt Stafford (great but never Elite), Jamarcus Russell (bust), Alex Smith (good QB, not elite).
The only choices there in the last 13 drafts that were elite were Andrew Luck and Cam Newton....so there's no logical reason to expect 1st pick == Elite QB